Jim Martin

As far as I know.

More than 20:1 snow ratio there.

NWS Cleveland mentioning risk of snowfall rates 1-2" per hour tomorrow night across their CWA.

Northern Indiana just issued Winter Storm Warnings for their NW Ohio Counties.

0z Canadian showing a wide swath of snowfall.

So, NWS Cleveland is calling for 3-5" in NW Ohio. I suspect it is under done.

Your answer is as good as mine. Inexcusable in my opinion of how they have handled this so far. They have been the same in similar situations in years past.

Consider the snow ratio mix here. It will be higher due to the rather cold temperatures.

CLE finally issued Winter Storm Watches, but not for NW Ohio. Not exactly I buy that either.

Almost seems like at times NWS Cleveland does not care about their NW Ohio counties at all.

.SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Deep digging upper level trough through the Central Plains states will gradually shift east and become negatively tilted slightly. This will result in surface low pressure over the delta region of the Mississippi River to move northeast toward West Virginia by Monday evening followed by a secondary stronger low pressure system. The first low will be in response to an upper level positive vorticity maximum sliding into the southern Great Lakes region and then the secondary low deepens as the upper trough becomes more negatively tilted. Typically, deepening low tracks through the Panhandle of West Virginia are ideal tracks for our forecast area as this places the best frontogenetical forcing over our area. Latest upper air model soundings suggest this forcing axis will remain just south of our area as the secondary low moves northeast through Virginia. Current thinking was to lower snow accumulations slightly due to the above comments and this is in line with the WPC guidance. Will not be issuing any headlines at this time due to the long duration snow accumulation event and will not exceed the 8 inches in 24 hour time frame. However, potential for total snow accumulations up to 9 inches possible in the east with gradually lowering amounts to 4 inch totals in the Toledo to Findlay areas. From NWS Cleveland. Not exactly sure I buy this explanation.

The 18z NAM seems to move a bit back west from what I saw., I think.

I think that tweet mentioned that the high pressure on the forecast models are higher than what the high pressure is currently.

Something to keep in mind.

Also, NWS Cleveland is being tardy on their Winter Weather headlines.

IWX has issued Winter Weather Advisory for most of their CWA, including there NW Ohio counties.

Difference between the Kuchera Snowfall from WxBell and Pivotal Weather.