JBinStoughton

10 minutes ago, OSUmetstud said:

ffs. you're in maine. The pattern looks pretty nice post-christmas. 

Or is it post NYE? Or maybe MLK? How about Valentines Day? It’s coming! 

32 minutes ago, Whineminster said:

We're due for a dud winter

15-16 wasn’t that long ago

I hope this isn’t becoming another move the goalposts winter. It’s coming - wait for it. No, NOW it’s coming. Oh, well, now...

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Hopefully it’s not a frustrating winter.

Too late lol. 

17 minutes ago, SnoSki14 said:

12z Gfs looking more like the Euro, shows a puke fest all the way through the holidays. 

Really pathetic pattern overall, it might as well be a torch fest. Blinds closed till January?

Till April? 

8 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Gradient this year seems to be farther north, more like Concord/lakes region and nothing I see in the future changes that.

It’s still before mid Dec.  I don’t think “this year” holds much meaning yet.  

6 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

But, don’t forget among the mild times, you can sneak in a marginal event or two.

If we can get the party started by late Dec or early Jan that wouldn’t be half bad. We’ve certainly had to wait much longer than that before.  Let’s hope once it starts, it stays.  

3 minutes ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

Yes...exactly. Some automatically assume a blizzard is implied if you favor some sort of action, and that is not necessarily the case.

Can’t be all or nothing about everything.  Let’s keep impacting while we wait for hopefully the main course come late Dec and beyond. 

Just now, mahk_webstah said:

You can't be that old, man.

 

Some music is timeless. 

2 hours ago, Damage In Tolland said:

If you lose December, you lose an entire month of winter and are left hoping for 2 good months if you’re lucky. No thanks 

Do we have a choice? 

10 minutes ago, 78Blizzard said:

12/05 most always seems to be a favorable time, and the 18z GFS may be starting to zero in on that.

I’ll be in FL. It better wait till after the 8th 

2 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah I-90 north in the higher el cxuld see some if it ticks colder. Anyways, nice to even talk about this in mid Novie. Some years this waits until January,

Hopefully this year it continues through january, except for the part about rain south. 

2 hours ago, stadiumwave said:

JAMSTEC just updated. Has practically almost the entire CONUS below normal temps for DJF

 

http://www.jamstec.go.jp/frcgc/research/d1/iod/e/seasonal/outlook.html

Wow Jan and Feb especially 

5 hours ago, 8611Blizz said:

Judah just told Harvey 52" in Boston but he could go higher fwiw.

Only 52? Is that because he didn’t get his siberian snow advance he was hoping for?

Here’s hoping for a winter full of overachievers, from west to east and south to north!! 

5 minutes ago, TauntonBlizzard2013 said:

id bet a place like Sharon or Wrentham will do pretty well in this 

Or Stoughton lol

Anything over 50% chance of accumulating snow in mid November I’m not going to cry about.  

80-90” for Boston.  That’s a bold prediction! With that snow concentrated in first half Dec plus late Jan into Feb, that would require Feb to be one rocking month! Lots of great analysis there. 

55 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Man, everything appears to be lining up. Love seeing that warm pool showing up around AK, as well as south of Greenland. Certainly supportive of +PNA/-NAO episodes going forward. QBO appears to be weak as well, which also supports the blocking idea. Throw in the assist from a solar min and things look plain pants-tentish. Just trying not to get too carried away yet.

Probably best not to get carried away ever on a whole season. Head-scratch inducing weirdness has intervened before and will again! Fun to be hopeful though

2 minutes ago, weathafella said:

Maybe an inch before the changeover for me?   Not worried about cashing in during mid November.

Seeing any snow on the ground in this area even by the end of Nov is a great thing.   Hopefully the pattern sticks around and really delivers through the winter 

12 minutes ago, stadiumwave said:

JMA updated & its golden for DJF....all 3 months.

BLOCKING:

DEC: Strong -EPO with bouts of Atlantic blocking.

JAN: Strong -EPO, Strong -NAO

FEB: Very Strong in all 3 regions -EPO/-AO/-NAO

The biggest change was the increasing amount of blocking.

 

http://ds.data.jma.go.jp/tcc/tcc/products/model/map/4mE/map1/pztmap.php

Looks good!

3 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

Yeah Friday. Odds are cold rain for most of SNE,  but who knows.

Cold, windswept rain is ok for mid Nov. 

1 hour ago, CoastalWx said:

One thing is for sure.  No shortage of storms. 

Hopefully that’s the pattern we’re settling into, the “personality” of this winter, with cold air when we need it. Or, at least most of the time we need it. 

29 minutes ago, tamarack said:

Anyone in New England expecting wire-to-wire should get a job at Paradise on Rainier, where the average year sees over 50 feet of snow and only one season (14-15) came in with less than 400".

Road trip? 

32 minutes ago, Damage In Tolland said:

Try to relax until the season hits.

If it does...