Coach McGuirk

I had flurries on and off all day yesterday.  Hey, at least I saw SOME snow this winter. 

February can't be any worse than January, right?

Look at it this way, the snowless years make you appreciate the snow even more!

4 hours ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said:

It does give us some hope, but it is too far down the road to put any faith in right now. Like to see it inside 7 days.

Unless we get some major changes, there is nothing inside two weeks.

Maybe we'll have better luck in late January/February.  The Pac Jet can't maintain this dominance all winter long, especially in a non el-nino winter.

Where did all the cold air go?  Looking like rain at least on the GFS.

The coastal low ten days out on the 12z GFS run today is the best hope for SE snow I've seen in a few weeks.  All the traditional ingredients are in place.  Obviously, the problem is it's ten days out and likely to change.

12z another abysmal run.  No hope with the Pac jet roaring along.

A bit warmer last night as the low this morning was 19 degrees at Newport News.

59 minutes ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Long range is… depressing 

it sure is, no winter in sight

23 degrees at 4pm here in Newport News.  That is likely to be the high today.

10 degrees at Newport News Intl this morning.  But the record low was 8.

Gotta love those GFS fantasy storms.  

https://imgur.com/a/dODdOlU

Cat 5 or bust. 

It was just a tropical storm hit, I'm sure it wasn't that bad. 

I got a feeling for Feb 5.  gulf low with a cold shot coming in. 

Looking like Minneapolis is going to get a foot after all. 

3 hours ago, Swanky said:

Lurker here.

 

Would anyone happen to have (or know where to find) the surface analysis map of Maria prior to landfall? I can't seem to find it anywhere. 

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/refresh/graphics_at5+shtml/211553.shtml?swath#contents  

Maria went Cat 5 over Dominica and Cat 5 landfall over Puerto Rico. 

Maria looking really rugged. 

Lots of dry air entering from the north. 

8 hours ago, psv88 said:

Thanks Don. Looks like those barrier islands have somehow managed to survive all these years despite frequent canes. 

My favorite spot down there is Pea Island. Miles of desolate beach along the highway. Plenty of spots to get out of the car and pick a spot for the day. Often you can't see anyone. 

probably like hundreds of thousands of years...

Thank you Beau.

 

417 magazine has written an article about Joplin's recovery over the last 5 years:

 

http://www.417mag.com/417-Magazine/May-2016/Winds-of-Change/

 

Also an interesting article from back in January from the AP:

http://www.stltoday.com/news/local/metro/joplin-rebounds-strongly-after-tornado/article_cfac876e-4151-5bfd-ad2a-69256129db88.html

 

"Joplin’s population of about 50,000 people dropped by 1.3 percent within a year of the tornado. Many wrongly expected that slide to continue; U.S. Census Bureau figures from May showed the city’s population has risen to 51,316."

I'm sure they'll get hit again.  They're right in the middle of tornado alley.  Oklahoma City area is due for another big one.

Was there actually 200+ MPH winds?  I heard it was widespread 150 MPH winds, maybe 190 MPH tops.  Early reports said EF-4.  But because the tornado was so expansive, might as well make it a cat 5.  Conspiracy!