Coach McGuirk

It would not surprise me if we get a March snow.  February was so bad something might happen.

Back to back winters with no accumulating snow.  Welcome to the new normal.

Low of 26.2 this morning.  Forecast was 31.  Whatever...

Same pattern as last year, it will get cold when it is dry but when we get precip it is rain. Back to back winters without measurable snow in my time.  Bearing a miracle, I did get 1 inch of snow in early April 2007. Williamsburg, Gloucster and Mathews County got 3-4 inches.

12/26/2004, nothing was expected 2 days out. 1 Day out 3-6 inches.  Ended up with mesoscale banding right on top of me and got 14 inches of snow.  The cutoff line was Williamsburg.

10 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

Now a trip down memory lane in the opposite direction. I believe it was 2001 and they had forecast a foot + and hoisted warnings for all of central NC a day before. The day of I woke up and there was someone from the weather channel in Raleigh and they were talking about the system taking longer than expected to organize but snow was still supposed to overspread the area to the tune of 6-8”. As the day wore on it became apparent the forecast had missed badly and the storm was much further east than forecast. We went from a 12-16” forecast to getting barely a dusting. I think the eastern folks had a great storm but it was downright disheartening for us in central NC 

I know exactly what you are talking about.  It was early December 2000. I just kept looking at the radar waiting for the snow to cross the James River and it never did.  Southern Suffolk, VA got about a foot and it was a sharp cutoff from there.

Early January 2018 was the greatest snowstorm I have experienced.  It was frozen before the storm so everything stuck. Straight up blizzard in the Hampton Roads. I got 12-14 inches of snow. The low pressure system was equivelant to a cat 3.  I feel we will never see that again.

56 minutes ago, StantonParkHoya said:

The fact people even mention the CMC here other than anecdotally is hilarious. It’s a horrible model.

The writing is on the wall.

yep, we are grasping at straws.  Game over.

16 minutes ago, GaWx said:

The 0Z GEFS is significantly warmer than recent runs. Also, mean low track further north. Will that reduce mean snowfall in especially the deep south?

I want snow too but I hate to say I was right.  But, we shall see.

If I'm wrong, I will admit it.  We are tracking fringe fantasy storms 10-14 days out.  We are desperate and I get it. But, it has always turned into rain the last 2 years.  We need really cold air to make it down to these parts and I just don't see it.

We are grasping at straws.  It's over, folks.

Cold and dry or warm and wet.

5 hours ago, CaryWx said:

Give it a few days

yeah, it will go away

5 hours ago, NorthHillsWx said:

In layman’s terms: it’s gonna rain

Ollie the weather man: It gonna rain!

Unless Georgia gets snow, I don't like the look of the long range.

2 hours ago, PackGrad05 said:

We are just now getting into range of the middle of February...  and even that is still in fantasy land. 

I like the look of the long range.  

How often have we said that?

It's hard to believe any winter could be worse than last winter.  This one has a good shot.

better luck next winter

The angle of the cold air was all wrong to begin with.  We are going to have to wait for mid February for a proper reload.  Even then, who knows.

9 hours ago, CAD_Wedge_NC said:

I thought you were done with this winter... you implied that it was over.... have you repented of your sins?

I said maybe something in mid February.  Everything before that looks like rain.

18 minutes ago, Tullioz said:

Looks nice.

At least we get a fantasy storm. We need more cold air though.

It is sad that we are getting excited about a fantasy storm that is only a little snow.

Yeah, I don't think you can trust DT.

This feels like last winter.  Everything is a week away.  In this case, 2 weeks away.

This feels like last winter.  Everything is a week away.  In this case, 2 weeks away.