SOMDweather

Hopefully amounts will mesh a little more with the afternoon package. Its a borderline WSW event for the southern end St. Mary's according to the latest snow map so it will be interesting to see what they do.

Latest snowfall map from LWX has you and I in the 3-4" range and 4-6" is knocking on the door

Too funny! Sad thing is most counties would be closed over here for an inch as well lol

Anyone on the Eastern Shore get any accumulation last night? Looked pretty healthy on radar.

Looks good to me. I like your 2-4" call for us down in the southern half of St. Mary's. Hope you guys get more over there!

Snowdude wanted to thank you for jumping in to this sub-forum and giving your expertise here! Much appreciated.

I just checked the latest SREF for KNHK and it is 3" as well. Would take that in a second!

For us down here I don't think we need much of a north trend at all. Guess I need 30 miles less than you

Would be lovely for us southern folks to cash in one more time!

How is that possible with the amount of ice on the bay?

NHK is a big problem in the spring as well when we have a SE wind. Until the water warms up the temp on base can be significantly lower than even just off the base. Similar situation to DCA when they get a south wind.

Thanks. Yes KNHK is less than 10 miles from me so that would be best for me. But I have seen many times where the base is a few degrees warmer than me in Hollywood in scenarios like this.

Are any of the models giving southern md/eastern shore any front end thump tomorrow? Can't decipher from the main storm thread and haven't looked at any models...

I didn't notice any new snow in Hollywood....

You know its been a cold winter when the bay is at least 70% frozen all the way down to Cove Point?!?! Did this occur last year? If not when was the last time? Amazing since the bay is so wide from Chesapeake Beach down to Calvert Cliffs.

Will enjoy the rare occasion we are in the bullseye! URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 338 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015 DCZ001-MDZ013-014-016>018-503>506-VAZ054-170445- /O.EXT.KLWX.WS.W.0005.150216T2038Z-150217T1700Z/ DISTRICT OF COLUMBIA-PRINCE GEORGES-ANNE ARUNDEL-CHARLES- ST. MARYS-CALVERT-NORTHWEST MONTGOMERY- CENTRAL AND SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY-NORTHWEST HOWARD- CENTRAL AND SOUTHEAST HOWARD-ARLINGTON/FALLS CHURCH/ALEXANDRIA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...WASHINGTON...ANNAPOLIS...WALDORF... ST MARYS CITY...GERMANTOWN...DAMASCUS...ROCKVILLE...LISBON... COLUMBIA...ELLICOTT CITY...ALEXANDRIA...FALLS CHURCH 338 PM EST MON FEB 16 2015 ...WINTER STORM WARNING NOW IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY... * PRECIPITATION TYPE...SNOW. * ACCUMULATIONS...6 TO 10 INCHES...WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS EXPECTED ACROSS PORTIONS OF LOWER SOUTHERN MARYLAND. * TIMING...SNOW WILL INCREASE IN INTENSITY THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS. HEAVIEST SNOW IS EXPECTED LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY TUESDAY MORNING. * TEMPERATURES...MID TEENS TO LOWER 20S. * WINDS...EAST 5 TO 10 MPH. * IMPACTS...BEGINNING THIS EVENING...ROADS WILL BECOME SNOW COVERED AND SLIPPERY WITH VISIBILITIES BEING REDUCED TO ONE HALF MILE OR LESS AT TIMES. THE COMBINATION OF SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LOW VISIBILITY WILL MAKE TRAVELING DANGEROUS.

Flurries have begun in Hollywood

Not very often where the area this sub-forum covers jackpots. Anxious to see how it all plays out. Looking forward to obs tomorrow and Tuesday!

All of us in this sub-forum should be feeling really good about the trends for Mon night-Tuesday.

Looking pretty good. I like where we sit but lots of time to get screwed.

Same down here on base. Heavy burst but no sticking.

Yes you guys included as well Too bad we are still 5 days out but trends are in our favor for once it seems.

I say we lock up the latest Euro run and throw away the keys? Great for all of SO MD and lower E Shore.

I'm thinking you will be right sir

We are in the in the same boat over here in St. Mary's. Though we can say we've doubled your total