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CAPE

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Posts posted by CAPE

    Feb 5-6 2010 - Snowmageddon

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    2009-2010 was my fav winter. There are individual events in other winters I liked better than any one of the 3 biggies of that winter, but there was just something magical about it. And getting the big storm before Xmas was something I had never experienced. That was awesome, and just gave me the feeling we were on to something special. Also, the late Jan storm was awesome- 15 degrees and 7" of pure fluff, and the Feb 5th event was already on the radar. Great winter.

    Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Sadly Euro has not been a great performer for us of late, overdoing snow by quite a bit pretty consistently.  Really think 1-3 is more appropriate.

    Dont look at the 16z RAP...basically nada for SBY

     

    eta- 17z looks better, and its the extended RAP so its out of its range a tad. It also tends to run warm, but the warm temps going in and the short window are a concern.

    Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Classic snow mix rain back to snow on the end situation. My wonder is whether the bulk of accumulations are on the front or back end?

    Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G890A using Tapatalk

    Hard to say at this point. Where you are near the coast, sleet and even rain at the height is possible. Will start as snow, and it will go back to snow as the low pulls away. Per WxBell looks like 6" at Lewes right at the coast. Just few miles inland its 10-12.

    Climate Change Banter

    in Climate Change

    Posted

    I tend to stay out of climate change debates. This is my first time venturing into one of these threads. So please, dont jump me :unsure:

     

    My simplistic view- "Climate" is average weather over some time period. One accepted definition of a period over which we can assess climate for a given region, is 30 years, per the WMO. I believe the inference wrt to climate change is that the industrial age and associated pollution is influencing climate. If we look at the average daily high and low temps, average snowfall, etc for say DC, over the past 30 years, and then the 30 year period prior to that, and then again the 30 year period prior to that, what does the data show? I think everyone(or maybe not) acknowledges that we have polluted the planet over the past 100 years, so the only questions with regard to impact on climate should be to what extent and over how much time. I don't think we have these answers, thus the speculation and debate. What perturbs me are the people that couldn't do a simple heat balance calculation, professing to know anything about such things on a global scale. Unfortunately there is no way to separate ignorance, presumptuousness, and politics from the science.

    Southern MD / Lower Eastern Shore weather discussion

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Looks like places SE of Easton are going to have the best shot at 10" on the eastern shore. Snowing moderately up here with close to a half inch so far. I think I may be on the northern fringes of the heavier bands but I am fine with 5-7", even tho the forecast here is 6-10 I think the lower end of that is more likely.. Still have most of the 3 I got in that snow bomb Sat night with the front. Hope SBY and the beaches get creamed!

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