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About this blog

A few massive snowstorms have gained the respectability that every storm wants to gain.  The last few blizzards to strike the SNE region have not lived up to their predecessors.  The Blizzard of 2005 and 2015 are two storms that come to mind that blow everyone away when it comes to wind gusts and snowfall amounts in Harwich, MA.  When it comes to intensity of snowfall the Blizzard of 2005 is second to none, while the duration of the storm the blizzard of 2015 wins out.  Also wind gusts 2005 wins out over 2015 as Nantucket lost power as an 86mph wind gust hit the island, while Nantucket didn't lose power to the island in the 2015 storm where a 78mph gust ended up hitting the island.  As for snowfall amounts as I said earlier, the Blizzard of 2005 beat out the Blizzard of 2015 by two inches, 35" to 33" respectively. 

Entries in this blog

Dawn Awakening: End of the World

I could use the presence of an experienced writer who loves to write and work on a story that will blow the top off the competition.  Every movie studio will want this script someday, if we work hard on it together.  Speak up, I need you to help out.  You need to want to write with me.
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Dawn Awakening: End of the World

If you want to help with writing a movie script about the end of the world you can help me out, just add your email address I will email you a copy of the character list and the start to my new movie script I am writing.  SO I can use anyone with experience or with the love to write and who is dedicated to writing a masterpiece of art.  Thanks!   James Warren Nichols Productions
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Dangerous Snowstorms the upcoming week could spread a deep pack across SNE

Models are aggressive with storm's developing from the deep southern jet stream branch with occassional diving northern jet stream branch with cold shots, these two streams could combine to produce three snowstorms this week.  Sunday night/Monday, Wednesday/Thursday, and again the following weekend all threat timeframes for substantial snowfall.  18z GFS produces 12-18" of snow over CHH the next 7 days.  Models are in two groups, it is pretty much the EURO vs everyone else.
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Dangerous peak to hurricane season beginning

A huge start in the peak of hurricane season will begin tomorrow afternoon as a tropical wave continues to emerge off the Western African Coastline east of the Cabo Verde Islands.  The dangerous storm will develop by Monday, Labor Day. over the central tropical Atlantic Ocean.
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Could this NBA offseason be the best ever?

After the story of Kawhi Leonard now wanting out of San Antonio Spurs could change the landscape of the NBA this season.  He could go to Lakers and create a superteam with them bringing in Lebron James and Paul George.  However, the Boston Celtics will be in the mix for the top 2 player and NBA finals MVP and they could offer the Spurs a much better package of young talent and picks.  He could bring the Celtics a title next year with Kyrie Irving, Gordon Hayward, Jayson Tatum, Kawhi Leonard and
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Could Squall line bring 100-knot wind gusts to Cape and Islands?

Today is January 24th, 2019, and we could have our first severe wind threat of the year.  Models are forecasting a very intense, somewhere around 4 above standard deviations of a low-level jet stream intensity.  100-knot is very anomalous for a low-level jet strength.  If convection can tap into this jet stream at 2000 to 5000 feet, than we can see damaging winds above 90mph enter the region sometime after 18z today.  Be tuned into the timing of the passage of the severe cold front, as these sto
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Could GOM Low become a hurricane?

Models are not crazy about the tropics right now but we have two areas of interest growing in the Tropical Atlantic as I write this blog.  First area of concern is close to home, in what we call a homegrown threat, an area of thunderstorms grew into an area of low pressure earlier this afternoon and is growing with thunderstorm activity.  It developed from a leftover frontal boundary currently racing off to the Northeast over the western Atlantic Ocean.  TS Emily grew from the same front yesterd
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CONUS West Coast Ridging (ie:+PNA) could lead to winter coming in the next week or so

Next week could give SNE our first real shot at accumulating snow threats with at least two upcoming events in the next 10 days to start winter off the right way.  The GFS, EURO, and EPS mean all show favorable pattern showing up in the 3-10 day range giving SNE shots at snow finally.  With a stout +PNA ridge out west leading to northern stream disturbances diving southeastward out of Manitoba, and Saskatchewan Canada we could get a few timing issues fixed and phased super bombs could be produci
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Confidence Increasing for a Significant Coastal Storm on Saturday for SE SNE

00z and 6z models have brought an increasing amount of confidence that a significant snowstorm will impact the region sometime Saturday through Saturday night.  This looks like an all snow event once again, however, the dynamics are much better with a strengthening storm center passing just southeast of the benchmark.  Snow favors Cape and Islands and most of SE MA from the BOS to PVD corridor of I95 southeastward.  Cape Cod and the Islands have the best shot at a foot or more of snow.
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Comparing the last two GFS runs for fantasy storms

This is the 500mb imagery from the 12z GFS, from hours 300 to 384, these eight images suggest a powerful nor'easter takes about 150 mile path east of Boston, MA as a 968mb low, an offshore storm favoring the coastal regions of New England around December 16th 2017, about 15 days from now.  
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Comparing the Last Two GFS runs for Fantasy storm 2

These images on top are from the 18z GFS run tonight, from hours 300-348, they show the evolution of our southern stream disturbance phasing with the large northern stream long wave trough, acting as at least a double phased jet structured storm if not three jets with the arctic jet also getting involved.  Only triple phased streams allow a 940mb surface low to develop over DE ME.  Could a storm of this magnitude evolve in this pattern for mid month?  Absolutely, but how accurate is the model? 
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Cold could remain out west for next two weeks, by third week cold may pay us a visit

Ok the pattern upcoming for the next two weeks is quite simple.  Simply put, it remains a negative to neutral PNA, positive NAO and positive AO, this means cold air will continue to filter into the western Canada and Western US, while the eastern US and eastern Canada remain underneath a strong ridge of high pressure with southwesterly winds and warm temperatures.  By the end of October, this pattern may switch to more seasonal temperatures showing a cooling trend by the beginning of November. 
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Christmas Eve Clipper? Could it be a bigger storm?

GFS and EURO, as well as the new experimental GFS, show the potential for a clipper on Christmas Eve of next week Monday.  Six days until this event, which is not a lot of time to discuss the potential.  However, models are not squishing the energy anymore and therefore not shredding the disturbance as it goes through the flow over the eastern US.  Time will tell if this event becomes more substantial, but there is potential.
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Christmas Eve Clipper Snow Map

This is the 12z model update for the clipper snow threat tomorrow into Christmas morning.  Big snows don't look likely now, but 2-4" is still possible for the outer Cape.
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Celtics Legend Tommy Heinsohn Dies at Age 86

As Celtics Nation and the sports world knows, the one player that everyone associates with the Celtics organization for over sixty years has been the one and only Tommy Heinsohn, one of four players ever to be in the hall of fame in Springfield, MA as a player and a coach and as a broadcaster.  Tommy earned eight NBA championships with the Celtics in his nine year NBA career and two more as a Celtics head coach in the 1970s and had spend the final 39 years of his wonderful life as a NBA broadcas
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Are Catastrophic Hurricanes possible in the future?

While category five hurrianes are currently categorized at catastrohic (category five hurricane status these days) 156mph winds, these hurricanes develop with 85F+ wate temperatures, what if unforeseen circumstances bring these water temperatures to 95-97F, just a ten to twelve degree warming could lead to hurricanes with winds over 250 miles per hour.  This is trule a catastrophic level.  My novel includes the intensity of these monsters in the hurricane seasons of 2029 and 2030.  Could geolgic
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Arctic shortwave could produce its own snow for Cape Cod next Thursday

Next Thursday, the 6z GFS has a large arctic shortwave that moves southeastward from James Bay, Canada with extremely cold air mass associated with it and a high north of the region and a storm southeast of the region putting the area in an inverted trough, with northeasterly winds enhancing snowfall from Plymouth, MA to Chatham, MA with up to .5" of QPF in spots.  I will wait until the short range models are in range, these systems are quite fickle in location and small in stature leading to cl
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