Jump to content
  • entries
    217
  • comments
    28
  • views
    107,822

About this blog

A few massive snowstorms have gained the respectability that every storm wants to gain.  The last few blizzards to strike the SNE region have not lived up to their predecessors.  The Blizzard of 2005 and 2015 are two storms that come to mind that blow everyone away when it comes to wind gusts and snowfall amounts in Harwich, MA.  When it comes to intensity of snowfall the Blizzard of 2005 is second to none, while the duration of the storm the blizzard of 2015 wins out.  Also wind gusts 2005 wins out over 2015 as Nantucket lost power as an 86mph wind gust hit the island, while Nantucket didn't lose power to the island in the 2015 storm where a 78mph gust ended up hitting the island.  As for snowfall amounts as I said earlier, the Blizzard of 2005 beat out the Blizzard of 2015 by two inches, 35" to 33" respectively. 

Entries in this blog

**Winter Storm Alert** final map

This is my final map for this snowstorm.  Not as widespread with the snowfall amounts, 12:1 ratios make sense as it will get colder throughout the storm.  Ocean enhancement/effect snows will add to the amounts over mid and outer Cape Cod.  Not buying latest NAM run as the hires NAM shows significant accumulations for the south shore, Cape and Islands.  Winds might be a problem with the fluffy snowfall.  Blizzard like conditions will hamper travel tomorrow night into the morning hours on Tuesday.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

New England in general could see our first legit severe threat May 23rd 2019

A lot of signs point to a potentially damaging wind event, right now parameters are not as supportive as we want, but models show storm potential as a monster low makes it path across ME into the Gulf of Maine.  Could be quite strong winds in convection and then the backside of the low could deliver very cold air and winds off the ocean.  Also, our prayers go out for Jefferson City, MO residents and everyone who has gone through these tornadoes yesterday and this morning.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Remembering A Blizzard

Remembering a blizzard that I believed to be epic was not so long ago where I can't remember any details.  This one was two about to be three winters ago.  The winter of 2014-2015 was boring and dull as well as rarely cold to start, the first month of that winter was warm and boring.  Christmas Day was warm, it was raining and in the 50s, cleared by the afternoon.  Cape Cod winters are not promised a thing snowfall wise.  However, since the winter of 2002-2003 winters have been kinder to the sno
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Our Coastal Storm update 00z NAM and 21z SREFs

Yes more snow is on the way, and the latest models at 00z update are coming in with better results for our small but powerful coastal storm taking shape tomorrow off the Va Beach coastline and heading NEward, depends upon how far northwest this system comes in the short range will determine how much snow we get in the end
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

The business that can change the landscape of Apocalyptic thrillers

Hey everyone, I am in the workings of creating a creative business that focuses on ideas and making them into stories to tell the world.  I am focused on working on a novel and get that published first.  I have a partner now.  Not official yet, but in the process of working the kinks out.  We are going to make a novel series and perhaps make movies after each novel in the franchise that now has a name, "The Awakening Dawn" series.  Each of the three novels has titles now, they are still wor
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

3 Snowstorms in 10 days!

Upper-level jet stream dives southward from Southern Canada into the northern tier of the CONUS.  Both jet streams potentially combine to produce a heavy QPF producing storm system with all types of precipitation.  Jet stream favors a -AO/+PNA/-NAO pattern which remains extremely favorable for winter storms to impact the Northeastern US.  Stay tuned, the next ten days could feature a very impactful set of three storms.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Are Catastrophic Hurricanes possible in the future?

While category five hurrianes are currently categorized at catastrohic (category five hurricane status these days) 156mph winds, these hurricanes develop with 85F+ wate temperatures, what if unforeseen circumstances bring these water temperatures to 95-97F, just a ten to twelve degree warming could lead to hurricanes with winds over 250 miles per hour.  This is trule a catastrophic level.  My novel includes the intensity of these monsters in the hurricane seasons of 2029 and 2030.  Could geolgic
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

**Winter Storm Alert** Southeastern New England Snowstorm Map

Rain will start off our Sunday morning and will either stop entirely on Sunday night and then start as Snowfall on Monday afternoon.  It will fall heavily for a few hours as there is decent lift in the Dendrite Snow Growth zone over the Cape and Islands, if the west trend continues into the 12z runs tomorrow afternoon hours then we could see more than 8" on the Outer Cape and Nantucket.  This is my final snow map as this is the most likely amounts.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Update! August 20th, 2019

My novel is progressing, we hope it will be finished before November 1st, 2019.  We could get it published as soon as Spring 2020.  Fingers crossed! As for my NFL predictions release, that won't come until the first day of NFL games, which is two weeks from Thursday, September 5th.  I will release my thoughts than, stay tuned! Another thing, Josh Gordon is dealing with something far greater than substance abuse issues.  Most people who suffer drug or alcohol addiction are trying to mas
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Could Squall line bring 100-knot wind gusts to Cape and Islands?

Today is January 24th, 2019, and we could have our first severe wind threat of the year.  Models are forecasting a very intense, somewhere around 4 above standard deviations of a low-level jet stream intensity.  100-knot is very anomalous for a low-level jet strength.  If convection can tap into this jet stream at 2000 to 5000 feet, than we can see damaging winds above 90mph enter the region sometime after 18z today.  Be tuned into the timing of the passage of the severe cold front, as these sto
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Short Story, a love story you can get behind

I am going to start working on a new short story, an extension of the first short story, "A love Story" the story of Marie and Walter living their dream lives in SW Florida.  Check out the first short story below.  Become a fan and interact with the author, JWN Productions, in the comment section, ask him questions. A couple, a love story.docx
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

Predictions on the NFL and NBA upcoming seasons will be delayed

I don't have the time or drive to do predictions for the next seasons in the NBA and NFL this weekend, with the importance of Red Sox games and the tropical weather heating up as the date for the average first hurricane is AUG 1st, so the climo peak is coming in another 5 to 6 weeks, I will be quite busy with the weather.  I will have the predictions done before September 1st.
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

**12z Model Update for storm this weekend**

Most of the afternoon and late morning model guidance has trended towards a much larger and more severe event with the exception being the GFS, while the GFS produces over 8" of snow for the Cape, it also is weaker with the storm for Saturday.  We are less than 72 hours away from the first impacts of this winter storm, mix with rain is possible on the MA coastline, including the islands of Nantucket and Martha's Vineyard.  Winter storm watches could be issued as soon as Thursday afternoon from T
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

First Snowstorm of the season??? - November 9-11th 2017

First snow of the season looks to be supported by most of the guidance we use for forecasting our weather across the CONUS.  Our weather in New England this time of year gets particularly colder as we venture to the beginning of November through the end of March, this time period is notorious for heavy snowstorms, more so towards DEC through FEB sometimes including NOV and MAR.  This winter supports a La Nina pattern, although weak, but present should feature more of a negative PNA and positive
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0

February to bring cold and snow to the New England coastline

Right now the pattern supports a cold and snowy regime with the PNA staying positive throughout the month, while the NAO stays positive, which means a rather progressive regime stays in place and we will likely see an oscillating AO pattern which produces some polar vortex lobes of energy to phase into the southern stream disturbances and that is how we get our nor'easters.  I am still suspect thinking on the Monday storm, right now models have a second piece of energy phasing into the eastern U
USCAPEWEATHERAF

USCAPEWEATHERAF

0
×
×
  • Create New...