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Bob's Burgers

June 21st 2019

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Seeing more of a consistent signal from the Euro about this Friday, June 21st, of at least an appreciable severe weather event for parts of Kansas, Iowa, Missouri, and Nebraska. GEFS signals have been hinting at this for a little while, with a consistent ~ +4 sigma conus SCP for about a week now. 

ecm2.png

ecm5.png

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Thursday one might watch the High Plains from Denver to Cheyenne in upslope flow. SPC has the other area of interest as LLJ gets going over a boundary Kansas into Nebraska Thursday evening. Thursday could be the sleeper day for photogenic activity, esp if High Plains goes.

Friday June 21 could be the bigger coverage day, but maybe not as photogenic as on Thursday. Storms may have to go right on the boundary due to warm mid-levels (700 mb temps). Still parameters look robust up on the warm front. I'd avoid the cold front. However if something can go on the dry line in Kansas, oh boy! Wave coming out might be able to bust the cap.

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