severe potential for May 2nd and 3rd

[Minnesota Meso]

From the SPC as posted in their 4-8 day outlook on 4/27:

"POTENTIAL FOR A GREATER COVERAGE SEVERE EVENT MAY EVOLVE BY DAY 6

OVER THE UPPER MS VALLEY REGION FROM MN...IA INTO WI WHERE MODELS

INDICATE PROGRESSIVE NRN STREAM TROUGH WILL AMPLIFY UPSTREAM FROM

RETURNING MOIST AXIS. MODEL DIFFERENCES EXIST IN AMPLITUDE AND

TIMING OF THIS FEATURE...BUT A SEVERE RISK AREA MAY NEED TO BE

INTRODUCED FOR THIS REGION IN THE NEXT EXTENDED UPDATE."

From MPX afternoon AFD from 4/27:

"THE FLOW PATTERN WILL BECOME MORE ZONAL ACROSS THE NORTHERN STATES

NEXT WEEK. THERE WILL BE SEVERAL CHANCES FOR RAIN RIGHT THROUGH

THE FOLLOWING WEEKEND. TUESDAY AND THURSDAY ARE DAYS OF INTEREST

ON THE ECMWF WITH LOW PRESSURE SYSTEMS AND ASSOCIATED FRONTAL

BOUNDARIES MOVING ACROSS OUR AREA. IT WILL BE MORE SUMMER LIKE AS

HEAT AND HUMIDITY INCREASE. THIS WILL ALSO LEAD TO THE THREAT OF

SEVERE WEATHER AS WELL."

I've been watching this for the last two days. Don't know which forum to put it in, so I stuck it in the General Forecast Area..Mod's can move it

to the best board.

[Minnesota Meso]

Things do look a bit interesting, wind fields look favorable on the Euro for all modes of severe IMO, but it may be a bit further south than this, thus the inclusion of Northern IA and Northern IL

[MNstorms]

That's my spot.