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Models and Lake Effect Snow Events


Zachary Lassiter

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Use hi-res models like the ARW, NMM and RUC. The global models and other lower-res models are very poor with picking up total QPF from lake-effect storms given their mesoscale nature.

The key thing the lower-res models can catch is the overall synoptic flow, providing winds and temps in the lower levels that help determine the strength, location and duration of lake-effect events (even though they don't necessarily reflect the events well at the surface).

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