LVLion77

I am getting into the heavy action in Lehigh County as the dry slot fills in. Hope the people in Berks are ok. You do not often see that monsoon type of rain in PA!


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I am getting dry slotted! Look at the dry slot in action from west chester north to pottstown to lehigh county. Hopefully the action moves in from the west to break up the historically dry summer here.


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0.35 in first batch sw Lehigh County. I am sure we will do better later today.


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Radar looks like a pile of hot garbage

0.98 for that cell and 1.04 for the day. Best individual event for me in a very long time.


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FINALLY a direct hit from a passing cell. Can't wait to add another couple of hundredths to the tally. I'm running my soaker hoses at the moment anyway; my tomatoes were struggling.

Supposed TOR passed close to my parent's place down near Lincoln U. TOO close. That cell was trudging straight east out of Quarryville and then turned to the SE with a definite couplet visible on relative velocity. I actually called my mom to make sure they were ok.
I would not be surprised if there's storm damage and possibly a track across Rt. 1 near the 896 exit. Guess we'll find out tomorrow, though I'm not seeing anything on CAD (https://www.chesco.org/3963/WebCad-Active-Incidents) so maybe it never touched down at all. Still, scary stuff.
Oh, and I'm at .14" for the day. On the third day of previously forecasted, all-day rain and storms. What a joke. Something's wrong--predictability has absolutely gone down the toilet.

Like last weekend’s misses in my sw corner of lehigh county, missed this storm completely! Statistically this becoming improbable.


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I am at 0.98 since Thursday with a total of 3.06 for the month, I think I have a microclimate of sinking air this year in sw lehigh county. Since Thursday i have been brushed and dodged by heavy precip. Got some good lightning though. Most years I get the best of the best, and this year has been swings and misses!


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I am at 0.93 since Thursday. Sandwiched between two lines yesterday. Take Rt 100 from Macungie to just north of Pottstown and all got screwed while those to the west and especially east by only a few miles did great. Hopefully nature balances out today and I get popped.


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.45 in of rain total from the last two days, including the 10 minute downpour this morning. Its a start. Need that sun to come out  in the next few hours to provide the juice now.

Was never suppose to happen this early...maybe a shower. Late this afternoon/this evening is the time slot...

At this point this afternoon is a huge disappointment for most in SE PA.


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That little shower in southern Lehigh County this morning doubled my event total since Thursday from 0.20 to 0.40. Progress!


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Unfortunately, a large chunk of the Lehigh Valley again missed any substantial storm or rain! We are in a worsening drought.


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the sun cam out but every cotton picking t-cell was northeast of the LV into the Poconos or were SE near Philly. I say give it up Mt Holly. I have had only one t storm in three months at my house and it was only 20 minutes long- back in April. The lid is on for convectivity over the LV in the foreseeable future.  These .15 rain showers at night are keeping the lawns green but the Little Lehigh streamflow in my backyard is the lowest I have seen in over 20 years. You cannot keep ignoring hydraulic stream flows in your discussions.

this is the biggest bust of the year IMHO. We were supposed to get 1.5 in of rain by midnight. I got .19" in my gauge in Macungie. This was not even close to what was forecasted. Tonights radar looks absolutely pathetic. The 60- 80% chance of heavy rain should have been forecasted to 20-30%. Philly metro area is getting dumped on the last two weeks, high and dry north of the South Mtn range. I expect nothing more than hit and miss showers the next five days. This pesky low- shortwave is not a drought buster- just a lawn greener. many  residential wells in the LV and toward Harrisburg will be be going dry in the next few weeks.  A drought warning and emergency should be issued by PADEP by Tuesday if we do NOT get some really significant rains this weekend and I mean real back to back gully washers. The sun did not come out at all today and without the convective nature with the sun daytime heating, we are destined to light rain showers and drizzle for the next five days.

A major forecast bust thus far in the Lehigh Valley - 0.14 thus far today on my gauge.


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Last band of showers at 10p gave a quick 0.10 on my station in southwest Lehigh Valley area. I am in another small band again, perhaps I get to a bonus 1/4 inch for the day.


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100% nasty as it gets for May, would have been the biggest April blizzard on record if it happened a month ago when we had arctic air. Looks like the coastal is beginning to form over the Delmarva. 
 
 
 

I will happily admit I was wrong on the heavy rain threat for i-95. The NAM/Euro/GFS all suck donkey dick 

I wonder if truly US 222 and I 78 ends up being the boundary rather than I 95. It is going to be close. Allentown is merely sitting at a 1/2” at this point.

New 12z NAM is north like the euro. Only 1-1.5" for much of SE PA. 3Km NAM is even less than that. Severe threat now looking like the more concerning issue for Philly and Burbs as opposed to flooding. N and W burbs get crushed though.

Does anyone see the eastern PA several inch rainfall forecasts materializing today? There is a decent batch of moisture but not looking that dire at this point.

No matter the situation that New Orleans is currently in, you simply cannot argue that it wouldn’t be worse had the storm moved 10 miles to the right.   Yes they got hit hard, but they could have gotten hit harder.  What’s wrong with stating this?