wishcast_hater

Take a breath. 

Hey everybody who had outdoor plans or beach plans we can’t be upset because BxEngine said we need to take a breath.


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[mention=63]forkyfork[/mention] 12z GFS from last Monday had the right idea:

What the hell is going on up here? Rain again after finally being promised a picture perfect weekend?!! You are going to give credit to one model run a week ago and call it a win? I have said this a million times, the model suck balls. You younger guys tout technology advances all the time but the models still suck.

I left all my back yard furniture uncovered because it wasn’t supposed to rain.


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3 hours ago, bluewave said:

Looks like the warmest readings today will be following the over the top pattern we have been getting since around 2018. Onshore flow for the south facing beaches. The warmest downslope flow in the Northeast will be found in Mass and NH. So the warmest  departures and perhaps actual temperatures will be heading to our north today. 

The colors used to represent the temperatures are ridiculous and misleading. It's an obvious ploy to make things look as if the world is on fire. Go back to a chart made 20 years ago and the color representations aren't nearly as extreme.

How are we looking for the overnight period tonight Between 11 PM and 7 AM? I am scheduled to work tonight and I don’t wanna deal with the rain so I might just call in sick if it’s going to be bad.


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How are we looking for the overnight period tonight Between 11 PM and 7 AM? I am scheduled to work tonight and I don’t wanna deal with the rain so I might just call in sick if it’s going to be bad.


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Snowing here - just wet and cold. Running out of pellets for the stove and firewood is all but gone. Gonna have to suck it up and put the HVAC unit to work if it doesn’t warm up soon. Can’t buy flowers till after Mother’s Day otherwise a random frost kills them. I always hated spring more than any other season.


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It’s going to pour today. The radar is fully lit up over PA.

Still waiting….


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at some point a hurricane is going to get pushed here 

That can be said for any weather event.


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It’s going to pour today. The radar is fully lit up over PA.

It’s all going North. Not much forecast for NYC today.

GEM-LAM

They've recalibrated the temperature scale bands to bring in 'red' at 20 degrees C. (20+ degrees isn't hot)
You used to only see red scale start at 40...
Can’t stand how misleading these images are.


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1 minute ago, psv88 said:

That’s false…maybe sit this one out chief 

Now  that I hit the hornets nest regarding the religion of climate changte you will tell me how simple I am and how i dont understand the data and how ITS DEFINATELY happening and the science is settled. Save your breath.

18 minutes ago, bluewave said:

It’s the speed of the warming which is unprecedented in the last 24,000 years.

https://news.arizona.edu/news/global-temperatures-over-last-24000-years-show-todays-warming-unprecedented

 

A University of Arizona-led effort to reconstruct Earth's climate since the last ice age, about 24,000 years ago, highlights the main drivers of climate change and how far out of bounds human activity has pushed the climate system.

The study, published Wednesday in Nature, has three main findings: 

• It verifies that the main drivers of climate change since the last ice age are rising greenhouse gas concentrations and the retreat of the ice sheets.
• It suggests a general warming trend over the last 10,000 years, settling a decade-long debate the paleoclimatology community about whether this period trended warmer or cooler.
• The magnitude and rate warming over the last 150 years far surpasses the magnitude and rate of changes over the last 24,000 years.

"This reconstruction suggests that current temperatures are unprecedented in 24,000 years, and also suggests that the speed of human-caused global warming is faster than anything we've seen in that same time," said Jessica Tierney, a UArizona geosciencesassociate professor and co-author of the study.

What nonsense. The data suggests. No one can tell how warm it was 500 years ago let alone 24000.  Now  that I hit the hornets nest regarding the religion of climate changte you will tell me how simple I am and how i dont understand the data and how ITS DEFINATELY happening and the science is settled. Save your breath.

 

Once rain is on the table its a lock     

Thought this was pretty good, I’m sure someone on here wrote this lol

NASA lies.


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2 hours ago, 40/70 Benchmark said:

I think my resistance is that I would like more data before assuming large scale changes like that are the norm moving forward......but you do you.

PS: I was too warm this year.

Underhanded stuff like this is why people are not buying the "warming climate".

 

3 minutes ago, WestBabylonWeather said:

Where do I invest into the last minute 700 mile bump north 

I see your 700 miles and raise it to 800.

7 minutes ago, MJO812 said:

PB still likes this event . Let's see. I agree this will come somewhat west.

EPAWA just released a video on YouTube less than an hour ago admitting it doesnt look good BUT the 2 pieces of energy are not even in the US and wont be properly sampled until tomorrow afternoon. 

 

Finally remembered how to block users.  Added Krs4Lfe, the only other member on that list is snowman19. 

The guy from EPAWA was saying that it’s literally 3 to 4 hour window of energy that’s lagging behind preventing the phase. He isn’t throwing in the towel until the storm comes on shore tomorrow.


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Pouring rain 31. Trees and shrubs bending to the ground. Everything covered in ice.


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i know people unrightfully bash models, but I'm going to. absolutely appalling performance from D5. should not happen

This goes out to all who bow on the alter of the technology. The models suck just as much as they did 10 years ago.


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Everything encrusted in ice this morning after about 2.5 of snow. As has been the case all year the forecasts have always busted low except once back in December when I got an unexpected 6”.


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Waking up to catch up on 200+ posts on weather model and storm tracking is an encapsulation of the human emotional experience.


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Why bother? just go to the last few and you can see it’s the same song and dance as the entire winter. The south steals our snow, again.


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I don’t think I will ever be happy unless we get blockbusters but I know that’s unrealistic. I am happy we have had snow on the ground for the majority of winter - it definitely makes me happy but it’s not deep enough to really have the kids enjoy it. Hopefully tomorrow the models bring the Thursday storm back up here.


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Winter Wonderland up here. Pulled the kids around on sleds with the quad. Been snowing steady since 3:00. Having a blast. Helps that we had 3 or 4 inches from the last event that didn’t perform as forecast. If it turns to rain that’s gonna suck cause the ground is frozen solid. Currently 28 and snowing.


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Here we go with the bs. It’s gonna be LIVE, DIE, LIVE, DIE until consensus.


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