Jump to content

ncstatered21

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    121

  • Joined

  • Last visited

 Content Type 

Everything posted by ncstatered21

  1. ncstatered21
    Finally getting some great returns in the middle of the snow hole. Cheers!
  2. ncstatered21
    The last of the snow hole is still 8 miles wide lol
  3. ncstatered21
    Oof that stings. Looks like the 2 sides are finally legit filling in
  4. ncstatered21
    I mean I hate to be the bearer of HOPE and potential GOOD news for Raleigh...but the HRR increased totals from 2.5" to 3.8" over the next 12 hours. Between the 20z and 21z runs. Both NAM's show even more than that and still aren't initializing with the current correct amounts. RAP also puts down 2".
  5. ncstatered21
    The HRRR and 3k NAM are both throwing Raleigh a bone potentially. They were not on board earlier and we are in their time range for sure. That along with Fishel you have to have some hope. Now that’s assuming you’re OK with 3” while everyone around us probably gets 6”. .
  6. ncstatered21
    Giving up? You read it that way? Hmm. I mean with the orientation changing as the low moves away and higher snow ratios…there’s a chance. I didn’t read it as him giving up. .
  7. ncstatered21
    Yeah this looked much more promising than it did yesterday. Drops at least 2.5”. But I think all the Raleigh folks in here are surely already hurt cause this was literally a knife’s edge. .
  8. ncstatered21
    I’m with you there. That line is moving straight north right on the western edge of Wake Co. .
  9. ncstatered21
    Thread the needle baby! If it does negatively tilt, like Dr. Wall said, I can see how we get out of it. But who knows. .
  10. ncstatered21
    I have to say…I’ve been positive…and we may end up with something but riding this line is def not fun. .
  11. ncstatered21
    That eastern snow line splitting Wake Co in half if def retreating east. Yikes. Will keep waiting patiently. .
  12. ncstatered21
    DONT! Flurries in Holly Springs .
  13. ncstatered21
    The HRRR not on board. But it still isn’t initializing correctly and starts out showing no snow in State of NC. The regular NAM (whatever the hell it is) show more moisture on the ground currently when it initializes and has held steady with 10” max in Wake Co. I think that’s a stretch but it’s a sign.
  14. ncstatered21
    Wow. No kidding. 6z 12z .
  15. ncstatered21
    And doesn’t keep us shutdown for days. My outlook has changed since being WFH and having a toddler that goes to school (but doesn’t during snow). .
  16. ncstatered21
    Dang. If they actually play the NC State vs. Wake Forest basketball game. Think NC State might be hanging out in Winston for a day or 2. .
  17. ncstatered21
    Yeah I see some mPings like 10 minutes east of Holly Springs. Radar also looks to be filling in down south around Laurinburg
  18. ncstatered21
    Haha. Yeah nightmares of dry slot. I’m sorry for bringing the positivity. But considering the past few winters…I think multiple multi-inch events is fun to track. I’ve been lurking here since back in college, at ECU, so funny to see them getting pasted. .
  19. ncstatered21
    Looks like eastern Wake County has some snow mPings and bands coming from the south…for the Raleigh folk. Well look at it this way…if we get a few inches it’ll be a nice snow and less time needed to recover if we got something insane. And looks like many more shots at snow the next 2 weekends. .
  20. ncstatered21
    I mean I trust the people who all they do is weather (NWS). Even this: NWS CAE: “ there is not notable evidence for a significant dry slot with this system.” .
  21. ncstatered21
    Truly though. I think WRAL is going worst case scenario (for the snow lovers). If it exceeds…no one cares really and everyone is happy. If it hits…they can just say “we told ya so” .
  22. ncstatered21
    NWS Raleigh with 13% probability for Raleigh to hit 12” with WRAL saying 1% chance Raleigh hits 6”. That’s wild to me. I mean I know who I trust and luckily they are on the snow weenie end. But the discrepancy is crazy. Maybe WRAL just playing it way low and if it’s higher everyone is happy? I mean they can’t be this uneducated to only rely on a single model. .
  23. ncstatered21
    I find it crazy how far apart WRAL and NWS Raleigh are even 12 hours or less before the start. Even the 8:22pm update from NWS Raleigh has Raleigh exceeding that “1%” threshold. Also…why is WRAL obsessed with the EURO this close to game time? EDIT: I see we all literally said the same thing at the same time.
  24. ncstatered21
    HAHAHAHAHAHAHA...well I am outside the inside joke because I didn't know this was a reputation...I also don't fall under that group. Hilarious! Does anyone have Kuchera for the NWS Blend? I'm curious how much the average between all the models is overcoming the potential dry area...and assuming...it is overcoming it a good amount.
  25. ncstatered21
    Yeah I checked last night and I think this is up a few inches. I think it is more starting to line up with RAH maps earlier for total snow depth. Secondly...I have been in North Carolina a long time...but I'm not sure where "Holly Swings, NC" is...LOL
×
×
  • Create New...