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Jonesing for a chase

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About Jonesing for a chase

  • Birthday 02/03/1971

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  1. Oof, that one hurt. Remember leaving my friend’s house in Charlotte early that evening to get back to Raleigh before the snowpocalypse was supposed to happen. I would look out the car window repeatedly to look for the incoming cloud cover, only to see a star filled sky the entire night.
  2. To me it looks like if anyone outside of the mountains in the SE want a good storm, we do need to pull for a late phase. No model shows a strong high to our north, so we will need a dynamic storm with high rates to overcome a warm surface. A southerly overrunning won't cut it here.
  3. I'm not giving up on it CR, I see intriguing potential with this, guess I'm trying to jinx it. Slow down the storm on the Euro and oh boy. One of those all or nothing storms.
  4. While the Euro bombs out a hurricane in the Atlantic, but is too far north and phases a little late for us. Looking more like one of those situations again that just can't trend better for us.
  5. Don't know if I've ever seen a ridge/height anomaly from Mexico all the way to Greenland as portrayed on the EPS. Lol
  6. Euro with at least a colder looking run last night
  7. With so little consistency hard to get down or excited. Not happy with the recent models weakening our west coast ridge, Euro really strengthens a low into pacific NW that really screws up any chances of a storm. Until the major PAC players get sorted out, models will be all over the place.
  8. Yeah 12z thus far with better reinforcing cold push, more like 18z last night although PV not quite as strong. Still might get interesting.
  9. It is quite impressive how much the models changed with the West coast ridge in 24 hours. From being almost non existent to nearly bridging with that Bering sea block. That is what is knocking the cold air downhill to the SE. We need to see that persist.
  10. Yeah if only that high would tend from 1033 to 1043 we would be in business
  11. GFS squeezes out a few flakes for the clipper again, trough a little more west and stout on 0Z
  12. Yes exactly why I am still interested in this time period. Lots of time to trend a little NW and consolidate the energy at the base of the trough. One of these times models show nothing at the surface until 3-4 days out
  13. 6z also very close to something around day 7, light snow over Virginia. Need to pull for just a little more westward shift of the trough and a little digging of the energy and it might get interesting.
  14. Anyone have Euro surface maps? Probably too far east still but at 192 there is a low in the Atlantic. Just curious, I think eastern NC folks may still want to keep an eye out for this one.
  15. If the 12Z GFS would just have a little more negative tilt as the trough rolls through about day 8 we would have something to track. Euro last night had similar look at same time frame and brought some precipitation to the Georgia Florida coast. Something to watch I guess.