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J.Spin

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Everything posted by J.Spin

  1. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Even down here at around 500’ it switched over to snow about an hour ago – it’s not accumulating much yet, but the temperature is getting down toward freezing now.
  2. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    I was just checking the Sugarbush Webcams, and I see that the changeover to snow has definitely started at the upper cam at 3,900’. It looks like they built some snowmen on the camera snowboard in celebration. From what I see in the forecast, accumulations are supposed to make it all the way down to the lower mountain valleys.
  3. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Event totals: 0.7” Snow/0.52” L.E. Details from the 11:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.3 inches New Liquid: 0.04 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 7.5 Snow Density: 13.3% H2O Temperature: 32.4 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 4 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 6.0 inches Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.4 inches New Liquid: 0.03 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 13.3 Snow Density: 7.5% H2O Temperature: 29.1 F Sky: Light Snow (1 to 2 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 6.0 inches
  4. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    PF has had a post or two, and I’ve had a post or two (and you’ve had a couple of posts), so I’d say it’s about the usual in the thread for what’s there in the models. From what I’ve seen it’s just not a rock solid “yep, that’s a foot of snow for the spine” setup yet. The skins are certainly on the skis and ready though. Actually the skins are still on from one of our recent outings at Bolton when we were anticipating having to skin because of the winds, but they were able to run the Timberline Quad. There are some encouraging runs, but things can be a bit more tenuous this time of year.
  5. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Event totals: 0.9” Snow/0.16” L.E. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.4 inches New Liquid: 0.04 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 10.0 Snow Density: 10.0% H2O Temperature: 34.9 F Sky: Cloudy Snow at the stake: 10.0 inches
  6. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Event totals: 0.5” Snow/0.11” L.E. My wife said that the precipitation was a mix of rain and snow as she headed through Waterbury this evening, but snow by the time she got here to the house. I’ve had the rain gauge in summer mode, and there was no liquid in it, so I guess it’s been all snow thus far. We had a good burst of snow for a while there visible by the 30-35 db returns on the radar: Details from the 10:00 P.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.5 inches New Liquid: 0.11 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 4.5 Snow Density: 22.0% H2O Temperature: 33.3 F Sky: Light Snow (2 to 6 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 10.0 inches
  7. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Those thoughts seem quite consistent with what I’m seeing in the point forecasts around here – a touch of snow in the valley with a few inches in the hills.
  8. J.Spin

    April Discussion

    Yeah, there aren’t any time constraints on those storms, they’re just totals for each complete synoptic-scale storm cycle (or in some cases mesoscale events), however long that might be. Honestly, much of the SNE climate is so vastly different from what goes on up here in the mountains that it’s hard to make a comparison in many ways. The best bet might be to just look at 24-hour daily accumulations for comparisons vs. trying to compare individual storms.
  9. J.Spin

    April Discussion

    Things are probably a touch leaner right in the town of Stowe vs. my site, but the average number of 12”+ storms for us is right around 3 per season. So in my data, the leanest stretch for 12”+ storms was 2011-2012 – 2015-2016, similar to that stretch you mentioned above. Probably not coincidentally, those five seasons in there marked the notable stretch of below average snowfall we had around here. We seem to be making up for it over the past three seasons though, with an average or above average number of 12”+ storms.
  10. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    I saw that Ginx posted this GFS snowfall map in the April thread. I get it that it’s just for ribbing in there, but looking at the latest GFS run as well as some of the other models, there are actually five potential shots of snow in the next ten days up here: one tonight, one Friday, another on Monday, then Wednesday, and then again next Friday. It’s hard to say how these will all sort themselves out, but with the elevations in play, there’s always potential for something interesting around here. I’m sure most folks would rather have the slopes switch right to warm sunny days and corn snow skiing, but an active pattern like that is definitely nice vs. the April doldrums that can sometimes happen, where’s it’s not quite warm enough to really soften the slopes, but we also aren’t getting much in the way of snow.
  11. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    That’s very cool PF, such an impressive amount of water still in the pack. Are you going to run a snow survey at the 3,000’ plot as well? I really hadn’t been back by the boardwalk and those beaver ponds until a couple months back when I did some sidecountry there with my older son. For those that aren’t familiar with the area, I actually labeled Barnes Camp on my map from the day: It’s such an interesting, relatively broad area of the notch, and really cool and accessible when it’s all frozen and covered with snow. It can probably hold the cold quite well. We dropped in from the main entrance near the top of the Sunny Spruce Quad (there’s probably a name for that area, but I don’t know what it is) and generally headed skier’s left. This brought us down among the ponds and the boardwalks, but I guess you can also head to the right and get some of those lines father up in the notch.
  12. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    As March is in the books and move onward into April, I took a look at where the current season sits among others in my data set. While this season is behind some others such as 2007-2008 and 2010-2011 in terms of total snowfall to date, it is now setting the bar in at least one category: number of storms. The old record for number of accumulating storms during a season was 58 in 2013-2014, but current season has moved right past that number. This season is currently at 61 storms and counting, and for the first time ever, I had to add a fourth column to the data in my AmWx signature image: This season has also been a strong one for snowpack, so it’s also going to come out tops in snow-depth-days for the period of my data set. Average April snowfall at our site would put this season’s snowfall around the 200” mark, but we’ll just have to see how the month plays out. The models definitely show several possible storms with chances for snow right out through mid-month, so it does look like there will be opportunities for additional snowfall on the season.
  13. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    I am a native Vermonter (although certainly not seven generations on my dad’s side, so not quite by the hard core definition). The half days off during the week for skiing/other winter sports is quite variable, and as you surmised, it can depend on proximity to a local hill. Growing up in the Champlain Valley School District, we didn’t have any of the midweek days off, but we did have the Bolton Valley afternoon/evening programs that mreaves mentioned. In the school program that we currently participate in through Stowe Mountain Resort, the schools seem to have a mix of midweek and weekend days. For our boy’s grammar/middle school (BJAMS), the time slot is Sunday afternoons, but for the Stowe School System, they have a Friday Program, which has long been a tradition there. Having a designated midweek day seems to be more common in the mountain towns local to the resorts, but even there it’s still quite variable.
  14. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Yeah, I hear it around as well; it just seems like it’s the same old bitching and moaning that happens every year (sort of like the requisite bitching and moaning that has to be done about April weather in SNE). I can’t say I like this time of year as much as fall, but there are so many things about it that I really enjoy. I love the ridiculously deep snowpack in the local mountains, the elevation snowstorms that deliver those great late-season powder days, the soft spring skiing days, the deserted ski resorts and rock-bottom prices on lodging and other amenities, the long-lasting light for ski touring, the fact that I don’t have to spend time mowing my lawn until around Memorial Day because it’s dormant, etc., etc. I don’t even plan to pull out the bike or other warm weather stuff until around Memorial Day/June 1st, and by then, the weather is appropriate. That’s just about the time most practical skiing is finishing up, but until that point though, the skiing is typically great. Mother Nature actually has things synchronized pretty well as far as I’m concerned, but just like in the fall, folks are often chomping at the bit to move on to whatever is supposed to be next.
  15. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    LOL, Alex, you literally live… In NNE… And not just NNE, but in the mountains of NNE… And not just in the mountains of NNE, at an elevation of 1,500’… in the mountains… of NNE. You have literally signed your name on the dotted line for roughly 8 months a year of potentially wintry weather. Ginx’s advice about embracing it is right on. Even down here at our elevation, the snow isn’t typically gone from the yard until mid to late April, and then there’s generally time needed to dry things out. I don’t plan on summer mode around here until Memorial Day weekend or June 1st, which is when the leaves are finally fully out anyway. We’re lucky though, we’ve typically got snow around to carry us through to that point, unlike a lot of areas of the country. I’d say just embrace the exciting NNE weather and snowpack for several more weeks and let nature take its typical course. It’s a lot less stressful.
  16. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    March totals: 30.0” Snow/3.41” L.E. Last night’s portion of the current storm finished things off for the month of March, so the month came in with exactly 30.0 inches of snow. That’s nothing like the past couple of Marches, which were up in the 50 to 60-inch range due to huge storms like Winter Storm Stella and Winter Storm Skylar, but it’s right around average and what we’d typically expect.
  17. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Event totals: 3.0” Snow/0.49” L.E. Details from the 6:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 2.2 inches New Liquid: 0.11 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 20.0 Snow Density: 5.0% H2O Temperature: 22.8 F Sky: Flurries Snow at the stake: 20.0 inches
  18. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Event totals: 0.8” Snow/0.38” L.E. Details from the 12:00 A.M. Waterbury observations: New Snow: 0.8 inches New Liquid: 0.03 inches Snow/Water Ratio: 26.7 Snow Density: 3.8% H2O Temperature: 30.7 F Sky: Snow (2 to 10 mm flakes) Snow at the stake: 18.0 inches
  19. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    The trip up typically takes 30 to 45 min, depending on what part of the alpine you're going to.
  20. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    I just took a look at the local radar, and I guess the snow I’m seeing is the front edge of the moisture that appears to be pushing into the area.
  21. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    I’m not sure when the precipitation switched over down at this elevation, but we’ve got some snow falling here in the valley now with a tenth of an inch on the boards.
  22. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    That’s one of my favorite aspects of skiing Mansfield – especially from The Chin. You come down from The Chin to the top of the Gondola and you’ve already skied 800’ of vert, essentially the vertical of a small ski area. Then, you look down below your feet and you’ve still got another 2,000’ or so of vertical (the typically vertical of a large ski area) to go. Here’s a shot looking down from Profanity Chute when we were up there last spring – I love how you can see all that skiing in the alpine, but then below that you’ve got all the trails spread out It’s such a great setup, and it really doesn’t get any better than this time of year when that alpine snowpack is typically at its deepest.
  23. J.Spin

    The 2018-2019 Ski Season Thread

    Oh, sorry, I'd written Goat there, but indeed meant Upper Liftline being closed due to the snow getting so close to the lift as you mentioned in one of your posts. It's quite the impressive snowpack all around!
  24. J.Spin

    NNE Winter Thread

    Oh man, the Mansfield alpine looked so good on Sunday! You can see all the routes that people have been skiing in your pic, and even the Adam’s Apple seemed to have lots of skiable lines! We didn’t head up because our afternoon was spent skiing The Bruce, but I couldn’t help ogling the sites and snapping some images. I’ve got a couple images below that I took. Is that large snowfield (zoomed in the second image) the Rock Garden? It doesn’t even look like it because it’s so filled in, but I definitely want to hear there for some turns. It’s so great seeing all the great lines that people have been taking with this deep snowpack.
  25. J.Spin

    The 2018-2019 Ski Season Thread

    LOL PF, I was going to take that exact picture when we were out at the mountain on Sunday. It’s crazy to think that Upper Goat there, which is more typically closed because of coverage of challenging snow, was closed because of too much snow. It was sort of a shame because it looked really nice.
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