VABILLUPS1

12z NAM - two words for SE Virginia - GOOD GOD

We got get one every once in a while. I think you folks will do well too even if the system stays this flat. These things tend to get wetter as we get closer to the event and you guys are going to be so cold you will have 15-20:1 ratios. 

11 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

Accounts for fluffier ratios

I'm under that 21 in Va. Beach so, yeah, nice run. I'll sign for a quarter of that right now. 

0z GFS, CMC and UKMET all with the classic weak southern slider. Very common in a Nina. Inside of 5 days now - we'll see if it holds up. 

Keep hope alive:

Norfolk, VA with the daily double - record high of 102 and record hi-min of 82. The all-time hottest July record of +3.5 above normal will be shattered with a departure of +5  or more this month. Fifth 100+ day this month including four in a row from the 19th-22nd. I would say this will be a July to remember but I fear it's just a preview of what will be normal in 10-20 years.  

31 minutes ago, Cary said:

Norfolk 100+ for the third day in a row

Also the high minimum record for 7/21 was tied at 80F and that record was set just last year. There have been 16 high minimum records set in July at ORF just since 2000 and another 3 were set in 1999. There’s no global warming though. 

Interesting bay enhanced snow showers later tonight Southside HR. NAM has it going through noon tomorrow. 

12z Jan 14 Euro

at ORF

1/20 - 1p - 63F

1/20 - 7p -  28F
1/21 - 7a - 13F

I've lived here my whole life and I thought and I had seen everything possible other than a Cat. 3 hurricane but I have never seen a 50 degree temp change in 18 hours. Will be interesting to see if it verifies. 

Gonna be right on the edge in HR metro. Key will be how long it takes for the changeover from rain or rain/snow mix to all snow. Certainly looks like a couple of inches at least but could be a lot more if that changeover occurs quick enough. Somewhere around N.News to Suffolk or Wakefield area is going to jackpot with 6+.  

18z CMC jumps on board. Much higher QPF right on the coast - P-types not out yet but certainly a good bit of snow in there. 

12z Euro just went HAM - 6"+ for most of southside HR and NE NC but super sharp cut-off. Peninsula only 1-3" nothing for RIC but getting closer.