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Posts posted by TWCCraig
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Beautiful day, the HRDPS or the GEM-LAM hinted 80 degree temps briefly even for the island. Wouldn't be achievable without the offshore flow. Absolutely loves days like this!
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Something interesting I've noticed during the last solar eclipse in 2017 is how much the temperatures drop during the eclipse. I was in SC for that one, you were able to notice the temperature drop a couple degrees simply due to the lack of sun. I'm curious to see how the eclipse will effect high temps today, I can see temps peaking early. Most weather models do not take into account the loss of heating from a solar eclipse.
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9 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:
I remember reading this happens around fracking sites because of wastewater injection =\
One of the many reasons fracking was banned in our state.
Looking on USGS, there was a 2.2M earthquake less than a mile from today's earthquake back on March 14th, so there might be some aftershocks over the coming days as the area is still active. There happens to be a quarry right where the epicenter of those 2 quakes are although a quarry can't cause that large of a quake lol
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1 minute ago, LibertyBell said:
I'm surprised you don't remember August 2011. I enjoyed that one, this one felt a lot stronger.
Can we find a connection between these and heavy rainfalls that happened just prior? August 2011 was a very rainy month. We've been in a very rainy pattern now too.
I remember reading scientific papers linking heavy rainfalls and earthquakes-- is it a possibility?
If you think about it, the rain adds millions of tons of weight on top of the ground. Wouldn't be surprised if there's some correlation. August 2011 was very wet just like this past March
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Just now, LibertyBell said:
it definitely didn't feel like a 4.8, the one in August 2011 was 5.8? This felt MUCH stronger than that one and lasted a lot longer
That one was in Virginia, this one, although a little weaker, is a lot closer to home
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That was so cool. Sitting in my car as it rocks back and forth! Thought it was the wind but it wasnt that windy! Such a rare but cool event, I remember the one back in August 2011
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1 hour ago, psv88 said:
These clouds suck
55 and sunny here on the south shore. Clouds built up along the sea breeze boundary to the north, akin to a summer day where the north shore would be getting storms right now
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Gusts as high as 46mph at ISP and 50mph at JFK so far
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Decent moderate snow now, heaviest rates of the morning so far. Probably about an inch or two on the ground so far. Side streets covered
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Nice to finally have some snow! Turned to rain here now but temp is 30.9 so it's freezing rain
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Snowing.. temp of 35, warmer than most on the island. Nothing sticking
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Big wet flakes coming down now, after all the rain. 36 with the temp dropping. Not expecting any accumulation
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High of 82. Awesome weather. Might sneak in another warm day Monday. Some models are as warm as the mid 70's like the RGEM, and other models like the GFS are in the mid 50's. Crazy differences for a 48 hour forecast
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NYC had its warmest coolest temperature to date for the season on record until this morning. Similar situation at ISP though we should drop below these temperatures tonight
NYC:
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. RankEnding DateLowest Min Temperature Sep 1 to Oct 23Missing Count1 2023-10-23 48 1 - 1949-10-23 48 0 3 2021-10-23 47 0 - 2011-10-23 47 0 - 1903-10-23 47 1 6 2016-10-23 45 0 - 2013-10-23 45 0 - 2007-10-23 45 0 - 2005-10-23 45 0 ISP:
Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. RankEnding DateLowest Min Temperature Sep 1 to Oct 23Missing Count1 2023-10-23 44 1 2 1967-10-23 43 0 3 2021-10-23 42 0 4 2017-10-23 40 0 - 2011-10-23 40 0 - 1
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The HRRR is one of the few models I know that takes into account the smoke in the column and the effect it has on surface warming. HRRR has us barely going above 70 today and tomorrow solely based on the smoke. Most forecasts have mid 70's for us on LI, I think we fall well short of that unfortunately. Struggling to make it out of the low 60's so far
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Unbelievable. After several days of miserable skies and weather, as soon as the clouds clear, the smoke is back! I can't believe it's October and there's fires still raging in Quebec, arguably they never really got extinguished. Was hoping for a nice day with blue skies but that will have to wait
You can't make this stuff up!
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The Southern Pine Beatle has been wreaking havoc on Pitch Pines, which is the dominate native pine tree found on Long Island and in the New Jersey Pine Barrens, for a couple years now. The drought last summer really amplified the destruction and the warm winter last year didn't kill off any bugs, so this summer was set for another round of outbreaks. Activists have criticized the NYDEC for not doing enough and there maybe some validity to that. While efforts to combat the bug have stepped up over the past year, some feel that the state has been neglecting these conservation areas far too long. Precautionary measures include prescribed fires and early removal of trees that are under stress, potentially from the bug. Some of these outbreaks have gotten so bad that it's too late in some spots. It's just another unfortunate thing, the pine barrens out east remind me of the south, places like the Carolinas that have tons of pine trees. Would hate to see that go away
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87/72 now, max of 91 earlier. Officially a heatwave here!
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88/73, max of 91
Today's certainly hotter than yesterday. Combined with dewpoints in the 70's it genuinely felt hot today
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91/74 on the home station, looks like the sea breeze is trying to move north
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90/73 Feels like 98
First 90 since July
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86 degrees here. Hit a high of 87 before the sea breeze. Clouds really hurting temps today. Yesterday's GEM-LAM and a few runs of the HRRR picked up the clouds and showers for today
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8 hours ago, psv88 said:
Islip has been low all summer. Sure the east end always is cooler for the most part…but isp is not on the water and is not comparable at all to FOK. It is more comparable to FRG and shouldn’t be a full 6 degrees cooler. when JFK and FRG both hit 90 and isp at 84, somethings off
ISP has been in a sea breeze most of the summer compared to FRG. The days where FRG is several degrees higher than ISP is when ISP is in a sea breeze and FRG isn't. Yesterday had a southerly wind at ISP, FRG was NW most of the day, that's why FRG is hotter. ISP is very accurate, my highest temp in July was 91, ISP was also 91. My highest in August was 87, ISP was 88. It's been very accurate. The sea breeze has been a prominent feature for those on the south shore and east.
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April 2024
in New York City Metro
Posted
Central Park at 73, hottest spot in the whole area as it should be. Amazing what a lack of foliage can do this time of year for that station
69 on the island