timnc910

what is alarming is Florence hasn't even moved into the most favorable conditions yet

18z continues with the stall but no it has it sitting over eastern nc instead of the outerbanks. looks like the gfs is starting to fall in line with other guidance. it has a history playing catching in this time frame. If everything verifies as it stands now its going to be a wild ride for alot of nc.

gfs is back to a landfall around mhx. its looks to have took its meds again and coming in better agreement with the other model suites.

18z gfs coming sw of the 12z run lets see where it goes from here

Sleeting here in se nc Sent from my SM-G900R4 using Tapatalk

What the CMC has been showing is a rapidly dying Jose.. It pretty much squashes and fills Jose in allowing the ridge to Marias east and west connect sending it westward.. The CMC has been consistently showing this with previous runs.. at this point its a outlier but could be seeing something the euro and gfs picks up on in the coming days.. euro and gfs keeps Jose stronger in the upper levels that keep just enough break between the ridges which allows her to escape.. Not saying the euro and gfs is wrong especially with the euros verification scores... Sent from my SM-G900R4 using Tapatalk

Looking at current trends in all the global models it looks like the only ones that will have to worry about this storm is the Turks and Caicos reigon.. Models have to have a major shift for this to be a east coast threat other than rough seas at this point... Sent from my SM-G900R4 using Tapatalk