BuildingScienceWx

Received 2" of snow before transitioning to all pingers. Temp has been locked in at 28 for several hours now. 

Sleet now mixing in with the snow. Several reports to my south of freezing rain already in CT

1.75", heaviest snow of the evening. 1-2"/hr rates. Mix is very close though. 28/28

1.25" with snow coming down at a good clip. 28/28

Over a half inch on the ground. Officially the snowiest day since November 15th. 29/28. S, borderline S+

Moderate snow, roads covered. 30 degrees

Snow picking up a bit in intensity, decent snow growth. 31/26. Coating down.

First flakes here. 32/25

Overcast 33/23

Just now, RUNNAWAYICEBERG said:

You further south than me but I highly doubt you or I get a above freezing. 

Agreed, I think we're in some trouble with icing in our neck of the woods. First winter in Bethany (away from the city Bridgeport & Hamden) and I don't have a generator. 

4 minutes ago, Baroclinic Zone said:

Heights are just a hair higher over the northeast though.

Agree. Thicknesses were lower. Mostly due to 850 level trending south between hours 24 and 30.

Just now, ORH_wxman said:

I'll say this....a change rain is still possible. But it is just going to take a much more amped solution than what any model is spitting out today. We will need to go back to the solutions that attempted to cut the low inland...that will cut off the CAD dewpoint source from the N and NW...you'd still get a lot of ZR even on a track that tried to rip to ALB but the latent heat would eventually succeed even if the low at the last second formed an appendage out over block island or something. 

I think that type of track is becoming a lot less likely now. We've lost most of the northwest outliers even on the ensembles. There's still a few so we can't rule it out, but assuming the globals have the right idea, nobody is going to sniff freezing in CT outside of the GON region over to maybe the immediate coastline in SW CT but even there could be tough..the low is trying to string out to the east so SW CT's longitude keeps them colder...might even see rapidly falling temps before anyone else. I could see HVN never reaching freezing. Certainly just inland. Someone there could get a devastating ice storm. 

Thank you, that answers my question. I'm 5 miles northwest of HVN.

6 minutes ago, dendrite said:

Thatwill be IP in NH and most of MA.

What are your thoughts on my area in Bethany, CT? I'm just SW of the 1.0" reading. I have a feeling I'm in a location primed for ZR with this storm... Which is not a good thing.

20 minutes ago, EastonSN+ said:

Are we in Phase 7 already?

Yes, really moving now huh? Spent weeks in phases 4 and 5, but less than 48 hours in phase 7 lmao

Got a new trail cam for X-mas... went outside in the woods next to the house to install it and was lucky enough to have 4 ticks on me to pull off when I got back inside. One was crawling on my back... Happy winter

Should be fun to watch this start to crank:

https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/surface/level/orthographic=284.25,38.56,3000/loc=-93.568,24.995

Yard is already a muddy mess and this area seems to be the unfortunate jack for precip with most of the models spitting out (3-4").

Confluence is trending north and east on the last 4 run's of the NAM. That southern wave is an open propagating POS though..

7.25" final measurement. All sleet now. What an over performer and great way to start the season. Still 27F, hoping that temps come up a bit or tomorrow morning's commute is going to be a tough call for a delay or not..

Heavy sleet snow mix now. 6.75". 27 degrees with a gusty wind.

5.75" and still snowing moderately. Still all snow. 26/26. Definitely a little cooler at the surface than anticipated at this point.

4.25" as of 6:30pm. 26/26

Just took me 2 hours to drive from Wallingford to Bethany, stranded cars everywhere, especially on the big hill going up route 63

3 minutes ago, Hoth said:

Yeah, this is awesome right now.

Incredible snow rates in Hamden right now. Has to be 2"/hr

Temp has fallen below freezing finally. 31/31. Just getting into the heavy band moving in from W CT. Flake size improving dramatically.

Snow picked up in intensity pretty quick. 37/31

First flakes here in Hamden, CT. 38/30