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deathstar9

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Everything posted by deathstar9

  1. deathstar9
    Seems like snow totals are going to end up being a 25-50 mile west shifted Jan 2018. Hopefully winds can match.
  2. deathstar9
    Only storm I can find in the KU book with a gradient approaching 78-80MB is the March 1914 hyper bomb. 952 MB low (strongest non tropical ever recorded in the NE). Roughly a 1028-30 high centered over Iowa. NYC recorded an 84mph gust in that storm. Are there any others people can think of? Hopefully it means some epic winds.
  3. deathstar9
    Only storm I can find in the KU book with a gradient approaching 80MB is the March 1914 hyper bomb. 952 MB low (strongest non tropical ever recorded in the NE). Roughly a 1028-30 high centered over Iowa. NYC recorded an 84mph gust in that storm.
  4. deathstar9
    I also don’t believe I’ve ever seen an 80MB pressure gradient. 1996 for instance was 48MB.
  5. deathstar9
    At hr 33, 1050 high north of East MN, 972 MB low. Incredible gradient.
  6. deathstar9
    What must the max been in March 88 then? Tons of official 40-50” obs.
  7. deathstar9
    High is almost identical at 1046-48, Low should be stronger at 984 vs 968-70 for this one!
  8. deathstar9
    By comparison 1996 was 984 off NJ with a 1032 high though positioning of the high was different. This should have much more intense winds than 1996.
  9. deathstar9
    Kinda crazy modeling is showing a 1048 high north of WI/MI. Similar position and strength to the Feb 1978 high. Low though is going to be around 968 vs 984 in 1978. Speaks to the incredible gradient this storm will have.
  10. deathstar9
    Also with marginal temps and higher sun angle would prefer not to waste much qpf prior to 3-4pm!
  11. deathstar9
    RGEM a bit worrisome! Only like a 10-16 type event area wide haha.
  12. deathstar9
    True but this one gets it much further inland.
  13. deathstar9
    Wind and drifting might be a bigger story than the massive snow totals. Not sure the last time we had such insane wind.
  14. deathstar9
    The nam legit shows nyc getting 30-40 mph sustained winds for 12-15 hrs straight. Gusts probably 60+ easy.
  15. deathstar9
    Winds on the nam are beyond belief 30-35 sustained into NYC already by hr 36.
  16. deathstar9
    Winds were pretty middling with that one, this will have insane drifting. Looks like gusts 55-60 well inland could be 70-80 on the immediate coast.
  17. deathstar9
    Looks like light snow into the city around noon maybe a bit earlier. Snow in some capacity at least until Monday afternoon.
  18. deathstar9
    At the end of this run still precip all the way back into almost central PA so at least another 6-7 hrs with the low crawling.
  19. deathstar9
    There is a huge 1050 high but it’s north of Wisconsin.
  20. deathstar9
    Hrrr is legit Feb 78 but further SE type solution. 20ft drifts well inland if it verifys, probably 30-36 hr event.
  21. deathstar9
    HRRR 19z might be the most insane run I’ve ever seen. 30-36 in many spots on that run.
  22. deathstar9
    The 15z Sref is insane, parks the low about 75 miles south of LI for 12 straight hrs. Allows 30-35 mph sustained winds to get way inland.Truly a solution that gets close to Feb 78 (not quite of course).
  23. deathstar9
    The 15z Sref is insane, parks the low about 75 miles south of LI for 12 straight hrs. Allows 30-35 mph sustained winds to get way inland. Truly a solution that gets close to Feb 78 (not quite of course).
  24. deathstar9
    I’m no expert! Thought it was overrunning than transfer with a normal phase. Storm never got sub 980 but had very solid winds due to the close in arctic high creating a tight gradient. If this tucks in winds should be higher than 1996 but doubt we get as high or sustained as 1978.
  25. deathstar9
    You don’t need a triple phaser to get low 960’s though. Boxing Day and Jan 2018 did it with no triple phase. Feb 1978 was probably the best wind snow storm in the last 100 years and it was only around 980 with a 1040 high nearby giving it a huge gradient. 1996 also had an impressive high nearby and a tight gradient. With this one looks like a 1050 high but it’s further afield in central Canada.
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