vortex

1 hour ago, Chicago WX said:

Last gasp snow still snowing decently here. Measured the snow on my backyard bar (concrete top) and it had 9.5" on it. That's untouched since the storm began. So total storm total has surpassed dd's, considering compaction/settling. Finally, the drought is over, lol.

And a minor rant, which vortex probably shares, but the few local observers around really don't know what the f*ck they're doing with snow measurements. Always some nonsensical amounts. One county CoCoRAHS observer reported 2.7" of snow on 0.71" precip this morning at 5:00 AM. The storm was 99% snow. And the ratios certainly weren't that sh*tty.  

Yup.  They are absolutely terrible.   
Guarantee most wait until the snow has completed stopped until they measure.  
Probably measuring under a porch or something.   Lol. 
 

Pic from last night.  Cool how bright it was out from the snow.  

 

6 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

Who knew this was going to be a 30+ hour snowstorm (first to last flake)? 
Coming down rather hot here right now. Loving it. And great pic Alek. And everyone for that matter. 

How much you end up with?  
I’m sure metro wastewater will say 3 inches.  Lol. 

20 minutes ago, A-L-E-K said:

They grow up fast

Yes they do!! 
Cute kid. 
I lost some of my pics from my son playing in the snow, sucks,  actually think the ex took them to spite me.  Haha. 
 

6 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

Same here. Winds getting gusty too. 

I was trying to remember the last storm that I saw 10"+...and pretty sure it's Jan 5, 2014. This storm won't do it either for me, so the wait will go on...but geez, that's really awful. 

Snowing there?   

Driving north on 57 and rain snow line was just north of Peotone .

Heavy snow at 57 and route 30

Down to 32 but mostly rain now. 

2 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

I’m downtown today, and it’s been lightly snowing for an hour or so. Mostly rimed flakes. But as you said, flake size is real nice right now. If we can hold onto to that for the meat and potatoes of this event, then...

Definitely.  
 Looks like some better returns about to swing through shortly.  
 

Just started snowing here.  It’s been all snow with some nice flake size.  
 

13 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Low balling. 

Definitely lowered them from earlier. 
 

1 hour ago, Chicago WX said:

It’s been steady. Hope it’s the king again. But all other models are decreasing snowfall for here, for various reasons. And I’m still a little leery about that much snow, in a short amount of time. I think I’d make a call of 3-6” right now, all things considered. 

Plumes down to 5.6” here.  
Nice group between 6-8 but also a nice group between 4-6.  Lol. 
I’ll go 6” here. 
We definitely overdue.  

7 minutes ago, janetjanet998 said:

LOL at 12z PARA for us

such a waste of 1.4 inches of precip

Southern cutoff is rough.  

1 hour ago, Chicago WX said:

A lot to like if you're in and around Chicago on the 12z NAM. Mid/upper level lows all take a nice track for a band of heavy snow. Think I-80 to the border is going to cash quite nicely. I think most times, these systems like to bleed a little further north than forecasted. Read the overnight AFD from LOT, and they have the heaviest a little farther north...I-88 to far north central IL. And mainly rain from I-80 to the south. Again, I think it's more I-80 on north for the heaviest snows...and the changeover to all rain, after a brief start of frozen, looks solid for the southern CWA.  

So your saying Accuweather’s forecast of 8-12 in our area is wrong?   Haha.  

More than likely the typical last minute nudge north will screw us.  Still thinking we get a few inches as things look now.  That I-80 snow  barrier is a killer.   Lol 
 

10 hours ago, A-L-E-K said:

D10 putting out major msp blizzard vibes 

Last few bands were all snow here.  Maybe around an inch total.  

Last band that just came through was mostly sleet and freezing rain.   

7 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

After a lull, dry slot #1 if you will, current band started as all sleet, and has now transitioned back to all snow. Coming down pretty good with decent flake size right now. In the end, all of this won't amount to much here...but it'll be all frozen, and fun to work (walk) on tomorrow. 

Same here.  It’s actually blowing pretty good considering it was supposed to be a wet snow. 
Another lull before the stuff down by Paxton comes thru later.  

Spitting snow here.  NWS knocked us down to 1-2 with .10- .20 of crappy ice.  
Good luck up north.  

5 minutes ago, ILSNOW said:

18Z GFS

Southern cutoff is brutal here.  Haha. 

36 minutes ago, Chicago WX said:

Eh, I've been resigned to this not being a "clean" storm for here, for awhile. Would take a minor miracle for it to be all snow at this point. Overnight LOT AFD seems to indicate any freezing/non-snow frozen precip will be NBD here, with rain taking over. GFS hug, seemingly. Not sure I'd go that far yet, but further adjustments north might be the play...as they typically are with these types of systems. Oh well, onto to the next one for me I guess. Good luck to those up north...

I was sucked in for a second.  
We can always hope for the dry slot to cut down rain totals.  haha 

9 minutes ago, Hoosier said:

Do the modeled Chicago crushers ever trend south at this distance (rhetorical question)

Lol.  That’s without the typical  last minute jog north too.  

1 minute ago, RCNYILWX said:

The sweet spot between a strong system and the blocking preventing a warm cutter. Expecting some monster hits on the 12z EPS. Would like to see some southward spread as well. Quite a south end gradient on that run of the Euro for the I-80 and south crowd.

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I-80 is like the The Equator.   Lol.  

Just now, Hoosier said:

Not me, lol

Does look like at least a legit ice/snow threat around here with a lesser threat for plain rain.

Yeah. Haha. I’ll take the GEM. 

7 minutes ago, RCNYILWX said:

Still have nightmares of the March 2018 miss in a similarly pronounced west based -NAO pattern.

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Zero snow here while 50 miles southwest had 8-11 inches.