In my experience the screw zone is usually south of Monmouth/Mercer Counties in NJ and especially Philly south but like I said not in all cases as there have been a more then one occasion where the NYC metro got "screwed"
Even if we just get remnants of a tropical system that makes landfall to our south on the east coast or along the gulf coast that can still bring with it a whole slew of problems i.e. flooding, gusty winds etc.
Yeah I was never tracking it for snow here. There is nothing like tracking a powerful coastal storm regardless of precipitation type. Always fun and exciting.