nchighcountrywx

Appears headed to -20

https://tempestwx.com/station/81986/grid

It’s here 

HRRR has Beech Mountain at -20F during the day Friday.   Be ready 

Significant warning occurred overnight with temps rising 12 degrees above 4500’.  Cold rain Tuesday 

16.5 Grandfather Mountain.

12.7 Mount Mitchell

AS OF 630 AM EDT TUESDAY: IR SATELLITE CLOUD TOP TEMPERATURES OF   MINUS 8 TO MINUS 10 DEC C CONTINUE TO SUPPORT THE POTENTIAL FOR   SPOTTY SNOW FLURRIES ALONG AND NEAR THE TN BORDER IN NORTHWEST   UPSLOPE FLOW. ISOLATED TO SCATTERED FLURRIES MAY CONTINUE THROUGH   THE DAY AS THE SHALLOW UPSLOPE MOISTURE BRIEFLY INCREASES AND A BAND   OF VORTICITY ARRIVES ALOFT. OTHERWISE, A DEEP AND COLD TROUGH WILL   REMAIN IN PLACE OVER THE EASTERN CONUS THROUGH THE NEAR TERM PERIOD.   DESPITE GOOD INSOLATION EVERYWHERE EXCEPT THE SPINE OF THE SOUTHERN   APPALACHIANS, MAXIMUM TEMPERATURES WILL STRUGGLE IN THE 50S EAST OF   THE MOUNTAINS, WITH PLENTY OF 30S AND 40S ACROSS THE HIGH TERRAIN -   RUNNING SOME 15 TO 25 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL IN MANY LOCATIONS!    

Yes 

https://imgur.com/gallery/bqkxWw4

Fox Weather coming this year along with a new streaming weather service from The Weather Channel

https://www.theatlantic.com/culture/archive/2021/07/fox-news-weather-channel/619408/

GSP:

THE ARRIVAL OF THE COLD AIR WILL RAPIDLY BRING SFC TEMPS INTO THE   30S AT HIGH ELEVATIONS BEGINNING LATE EVENING; FREEZING LEVELS WILL   CONTINUE TO FALL SUCH THAT MIN TEMPS REACH THE MID 20S IN HIGHER   ELEVATIONS IN THE MORNING (MIN TEMP RECORD AT AVL DOES NOT LOOK   TO BE IN JEOPARDY). STILL LOOKING FAIRLY IMPRESSIVE IN TERMS OF A   NW FLOW SNOW EVENT, WITH THE MAJOR "CLASSIC" INGREDIENTS LOOKING   TO COME TOGETHER TO PRODUCE ACCUMULATING SNOW. THE STRONG WINDS   AND RAPID COOLING OF THE MIXED LAYER WOULD SUGGEST ABOVE-AVERAGE   SLRS, AND A NUMBER OF SOURCES STILL DEPICT A SMALL AMOUNT OF   INSTABILITY. STILL THINKING WE WILL SEE A GREAT LAKES CONNECTION;   ALWAYS TRICKY TO FIND GUIDANCE THAT PRODUCES BELIEVABLE QPF IN THE   UPSLOPE AREAS, BUT FEELING PRETTY GOOD ABOUT SNOW TOTALS OF 1 TO 2   INCHES IN MOST OF THE NW FLOW ZONE, WITH ISOLATED 3". QPF TAPERS OFF   AFTER 18Z, BUT AT LEAST SOME FLURRIES MAY LINGER INTO THU EVENING.  

https://www.hcpress.com/news/active-winter-season-has-dropped-over-two-feet-of-snow-in-boone-with-just-under-three-weeks-of-winter-remaining.html?fbclid=IwAR00qvOVXVzLsa8h_jLtscXm6xmvSd7_aEVZTYIxRw37ghiB9eVSljr9iCw
 

Coldest Temperatures This Winter

Beech Mountain: 0 degrees (December 26)

Blowing Rock: 7 degrees (December 26)

Boone: 9 degrees (December 26)

Deep Gap: 10 degrees (December 26)

Linville: 5.4 degrees (December 26)

Sugar Mountain: -1 Degree (December 26)

Valle Crucis: 9.7 degrees (December 26)

West Jefferson: 8.9 degrees (December 26)

Snow Totals This Winter

Beech Mountain: 52.7 inches

Boone: 25.7 inches

Sugar Mountain: 78.5 inches

31 minutes ago, Wow said:

The ice, as expected, was a bust. 

Exactly. Knowledgeable ones knew yesterday it would bust in many areas 

This type of bust is really a huge blessing.  Our lineman brothers in Virginia especially Southern Virginia cooperatives are still slammed from last Friday night with over half of the customers in Southside Virginia cooperative still out 

Anyone wishing for ice should think twice 

Southside Electric Cooperative in southern Virginia this morning still has 77% of their customers out this morning 48 hours after the event. Their area was torn up by ice

Our lineman need a break. They work harder than any NFL Lineman ever does.

Jacking and restringing wire and establishing equipotential grounding zones around the lineman to protect them from generator back feeds is tedious hard work.

https://poweroutage.us/area/state/virginia

Avery-Caldwell Mountains-Burke Mountains-
Including the cities of Ingalls, Banner Elk, Newland,
and Jonas Ridge
249 PM EST Thu Feb 11 2021

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM MIDNIGHT TONIGHT TO
NOON EST FRIDAY...

* WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total ice accumulations of a
light glaze.

* WHERE...Avery, Caldwell Mountains and Burke Mountains Counties.

* WHEN...From midnight tonight to noon EST Friday.

Full WPC guidance here 

https://origin.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/pwpf/wwd_accum_probs.php?ftype=probabilities&fpd=24&ptype=icez

Epic winter still in progress this year.

GSP  6 to 10 inches upslope snow inbound in mountains with higher amounts over 4500

1 hour ago, Buckethead said:

I like reading that. I got 10.5" from the nwf event in early December.

 

Never did get my propane though lol. Fortunately I have two other heat sources.

 

BTW, Suburban Propane sucks.

 

Sent from my SM-G970U using Tapatalk

 

 

 

Blue Ridge Propane does a good job but I don’t think they cover your area 

Sperry Piltz Ice Accumulation Index

http://www.usawx.com/icestormindex.htm

https://www.hcpress.com/news/the-first-30-days-of-winter-have-felt-like-well-winter-with-snow-still-everywhere.html?fbclid=IwAR3jQk3bOxgwtaaNs0X9tPOIcIGhVcAdXW00UN5s52ZGduMyKMgEIzUpQVc

14 minutes ago, CaryWx said:

MJO drives it.  In many cases (depending on what you what to see happen) it's the kabal force measure on how these indices will behave.

You are spot on 

On Friday the MJO gave signs the implied pattern was going to unravel 

Yes it is very disappointing however it has been a great run of winter since 11/29 in western NC with 41 days of general snow cover above 4500’ and already 60” this season in places.  Far better than last year 

BAMWX updated video.

Excellent work.