CNY_WX

Snow just started here @ 8:48. 17 degrees, dew point 9.

I think the media got them concerned about conditions this afternoon when the kids would be coming home. Just about every school in CNY is closed today. Syracuse City School District closed last night!

For what we perceive as a mediocre winter, many school districts in CNY are running out of snow days. I believe Central Square just used their fifth and last one today.

Actually Channel 9 has all but an inch or so falling with the front end thump. They’re only calling for an inch or so on Wednesday from snow showers in the Syracuse area.

That’s still from last night’s 0Z run. If you’re trying to see it on Tropical Tidbits it hasn’t been loading correctly for a couple of days now.

Lol

Regardless of p type this is going to be an interesting storm to watch unfold.

Wow that’s a pretty big change this late in the game. Definitely delays the changeover.

I wonder how much is front end and how much is back end?

They would love to have it this year.

I measured 1.4 inches of snow of a density so low you can look through it and see the surface it’s on. The liquid equivalent is 0.03 which gives a ratio of 46.67:1. Like I said last night you can use a leaf blower to clear it.

This stuff is pure fluff. Should be able to use a leaf blower to clear it, lol.

Just took the dogs out and it’s snowing nicely with good sized dendrites. Moon is visible through the snow!

I was suspicious of that 11.0 too but the 8.2 north of Phoenix is in the same ballpark.

I’m the 3.3 just across the county line on 0.15 LE so just a little more than 20:1. Wonder what Freak got?

Just measured 3.3 inches. Down to light snow.

It’s looking like the secondary will be too weak too late to keep the cold air locked in at mid levels. The system for late week looks even warmer.

Could be! It’s snowing heavily here right now. Unfortunately it looks like the band is settling to the south and I’ll be out of it pretty soon. Eyeballing it it looks like 2-3 inches so far.

I joke with my wife that I want to move to the Tug and she looks at me like I’ve grown a third eye. She hates snow.

It’s looking like a quick front end thump followed by a period of mixing the length of which will depend on how quickly the secondary low can ramp up. Then we should get some wrap around snows on the backside. I would be happy with 6 inches in that scenario.

So what’s the Kuchera on next week’s system for us on the Euro?

I don’t know the details of what the Euro is showing but the GFS gives us a 3-6 inch front end thump before changing to rain and the FV3 keeps enough of a coastal development to keep it mostly snow over us. GFS then follows up with a snow event the following weekend. What about the lake effect potential for tomorrow night? It looks like southern Oswego County will finally get into this one. Do we need a 2 foot forecast to get excited? Freak, I love your penchant for hyperbole but you and I both know you’re not going anywhere.

The way this winter has gone we’ll grasp at any straws we can!