HailMan06

4 hours ago, Stormlover74 said:

.RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM TO 8 PM EDT SUNDAY FOR GUSTY WINDS AND LOW RELATIVE HUMIDITY FOR NORTHWESTERN, CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

The National Weather Service in Mount Holly has issued a Red Flag Warning for gusty winds and low relative humidity, which is in effect from 10 AM to 8 PM EDT Sunday.

* AFFECTED AREA...Sussex, Warren, Morris, Hunterdon, Somerset,

  Middlesex, Western Monmouth, Eastern Monmouth, Mercer, Salem,

  Gloucester, Camden, Northwestern Burlington, Ocean,

  Cumberland, Atlantic, Cape May, Atlantic Coastal Cape May,

  Coastal Atlantic, Coastal Ocean and Southeastern Burlington.

* TIMING...Late morning through early evening Sunday.

* WINDS...West 15 to 20 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

* RELATIVE HUMIDITY...25 to 30 percent.

* TEMPERATURES...In the mid 30s to low 40s.

Welcome to brushfire season.

On 3/17/2023 at 3:10 PM, chubbs said:

 

It’s going to be another hot year…likely close to record-breaking.

5 hours ago, MANDA said:

Interesting shadow effect to the west of the Hudson Valley.

Can confirm. I drove up the Thruway to get to Middletown (Orange County) and noticed that driving.

1 hour ago, Wannabehippie said:

I cannot believe that yesterday Mercer county NJ got an EF2 tornado, in f-ing February. Confirmed by NWS. 

Central/South Jersey the new tornado alley?

12 minutes ago, Stormlover74 said:

 

I really hope this goes viral.

8 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Not necessarily.  We live on a smaller continent where the Pacific Ocean dominates.  This isn't Asia.

I've actually played with 3D simulations where you can geoengineer the planet and the only way the country turns into a desert is if you create a large mountain range like the Himalayas.

It's useful to consider geoengineering to stop sea level rise and to limit the death toll that severe weather outbreaks and hurricanes cause.  Removing the gulf would definitely stop lethal severe weather outbreaks and some of our worst hurricanes.

Of course this is all hypothetical, there is no real way to eliminate large bodies of water lol.  But it's interesting to see what the planet would look like if it was changed.

That sounds really cool. Could you provide a link if that’s possible?

10 hours ago, SnoSki14 said:

It is good that the west coast is benefiting from all this, they really needed it. 

Incredibly drought conditions could be reduced to nil in California when all is said and done which would've been unthinkable a few months ago. 

The downside is the growing drought in the plains, which is not good given that's our crop growth zone. We need big improvement there

A dry Midwest could lead to a hot summer for us, depending on where our air mass comes in from.

Our current multi-year La Niña is probably affecting the global temperature trend post-2019. Just eyeballing the chart it makes the trend appear lower than it otherwise would be.

1 hour ago, qg_omega said:

Channel 7 is on board

Lol at a 29F-16F split being considered bitter. 

Snow came in like a wall 15 mins ago. Now starting to lighten up a bit. Just a trace of snow otg right now.

4 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

Sell these redneck states to Cuba and Mexico and be done with them.

 

I was just thinking a couple nights ago… why don’t we just merge states with N/S cardinal directions in their name to get rid of some redundancy (ie. N./S. Dakota, N./S. Carolina)? While we’re at it give statehood to Puerto Rico and D.C. to balance out the states lost.

3 hours ago, Rjay said:

At least the 12z gfs was warming up for summer with an east coast landfall threat

 

 

 

 

On a slightly OT note I’m curious what our summer pattern will be like. I’ve heard that it could be an interesting year weather-wise.

3 hours ago, Rjay said:

At least the 12z gfs was warming up for summer with an east coast landfall threat

 

 

 

 

Lol just looking at the thickness lines you can tell the storm is warm-core.

2 hours ago, Volcanic Winter said:

I got down to 31F overnight, was surprised. Pinelands microclimate ftw.

I like how we’re discussing the weather like we’re still in October.

I think I just had some hail here in Bernardsville a couple mins ago.

2 hours ago, Brian5671 said:

Look at all the warmth in Eastern Canada going back to last spring....

Didn’t they have a full-fledged TC make landfall earlier this year?

5 hours ago, LibertyBell said:

For me it's the strong feeling that we've experienced the most extreme weather we are ever likely to experience in our lifetimes already, so anything we get from now on is just icing on the cake.  Back in the 80s I would throw a fit if a storm busted, but after all we've seen in the past 20 years, it's all fine by me lol.  No snow season will top 95-96 and no snowstorm will top January 2016 and we (hopefully) won't get anything like Hurricane Sandy ever again and the raging extreme heat we had in 2010 and 2011 will likely never again be experienced by us in our lifetimes either.

 

 

The #1 rule in weather is never talk definitively. Lots of things are certainly possible that we haven’t seen yet.

Does anyone know what that big smoke plume is by Bergen/Rockland counties?

Forkey’s going to jinx our rain event tomorrow with that thread he created.

On 7/27/2022 at 1:27 PM, forkyfork said:

these mid levels are brutal for convection

The freezing level at 550mb is pretty high.

2 hours ago, uncle W said:

oldies?...

Not to get too political but it’s NJ’s main conservative radio station so they tend to play down anything that could be perceived as CC effects.

55 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

1.) Intuition from a Real Live Meteorologist 

I selected six stations in the region to compare to Newark's monthly mean maximum (high temperature. That included four ASOS stations at Trenton-Mercer Airport, Atlantic City International Airport, Central Park in New York City, and Philadelphia International Airport. 

tossed

 

It’s 101.5 what do you expect?

3 hours ago, wthrmn654 said:

My Davis Rain gauge had 11.08/hr rain rate at some points today.

The fact that these rainfall rates aren’t as noteworthy anymore as they used to be speaks volumes to how much our climate is changing.

5 hours ago, forkyfork said:

bye bye

The arrival of our relatively new tropical season.

On 6/6/2022 at 9:18 PM, yoda said:

 

Gas prices sure could get interesting later in the summer….