ksstormhunter

IR shot showing a nice healthy system slamming the coastline. I see blizzard warnings on the coastline. Looks like you will pick up a couple of inches of snow for the Anchorage area....

Sorry not trying to tie those specific values to that type of Torndoes, those are just the sampling of values I put in the discussion, My outputs for potential tornado type tie into more than those I actually use more then just the instability indicies, I use 87 instability values and surface observation parameters, and upper air weather parameters.

Just pushed out my 19Z Severe Weather analysis. Right now showing AR through Eastern OK to NE TX for the next 24 hours with the highest instability areas. DeQueen, AR-McAlster, OK,-Dallas, TX to Little Rock, AR in the highest threar for the next 24 hours. Surface CAPE at this hour is 2100 (j/kg), 0-3KM SRH is around 288 m/s, and 0-1KM Shear running about 40 knots. Main threat EF2 type tornadoes, convective gusts around 70 knots, and hail up to 1.5" in diameter. Uploaded analysis http://smartwxmodel.net/severe.pdf'>http://smartwxmodel.net/severe.pdf and city specific forecasts http://smartwxmodel.net