Just pushed out my 19Z Severe Weather analysis. Right now showing AR through Eastern OK to NE TX for the next 24 hours with the highest instability areas. DeQueen, AR-McAlster, OK,-Dallas, TX to Little Rock, AR in the highest threar for the next 24 hours. Surface CAPE at this hour is 2100 (j/kg), 0-3KM SRH is around 288 m/s, and 0-1KM Shear running about 40 knots. Main threat EF2 type tornadoes, convective gusts around 70 knots, and hail up to 1.5" in diameter. Uploaded analysis http://smartwxmodel.net/severe.pdf'>http://smartwxmodel.net/severe.pdf and city specific forecasts http://smartwxmodel.net