aldie 22

Chuck just canceled the epic pattern 

2 minutes ago, stormtracker said:

The Euro dipping into that Marion Barry supply

Euro is a night owl...bitch is setting us up

Guaranteed Ji is going to start moaning if op runs don't start showing blue instead of 50s and rain 

I've spent the better part of the last 30 years regulating my emotions...don't get too high or too low that way things that disappoint don't bring me down much while still being able to enjoy the good times. This practice will serve me well with this potential upcoming pattern. You can definitely already tell the ones who will crash and burn if it fails to deliver. Epic is going to happen regardless of the patterns results lol 

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

Horrific

I think hours 1105-1200 are epic though have faith

64 and damp not a fan

Just now, Maestrobjwa said:

Why this time, though? He's just pointing out what could go wrong (as he usually does, lol). He doesn't bring up out of nowhere worries, but usually points out stuff with discussion of the models and such that may indicate something that has a chance (albeit small) of being a concern. Kinda feel like we need to be realistic, and if something COULD be a concern, we gotta temper expectations with that in mind.

Shut up dude...please 

7 minutes ago, psuhoffman said:

Last I want to say on this, I did that "upstairs analysis" several times over the last 10 days I've scrolled through the daily plots on the control runs, saw some H5 pass through VA, a 990 low off the delmarva and was like "there is our HECS" then went to the snow maps and was like..."where's the snow".  It was up in northern PA, similar to that storm 3 weeks ago.  It's also worth noting that the EPS Mean kind of hints at the same thing, with a trough axis to our south indicating a good storm track, but with a snow mean displaced north of us.  

So while everyone is drooling over the EPS H5, and I am too, I am just trying to put it out there that the EPS is hinting that we might have temp issues despite the perfect pattern.  Will we, who knows...but if it goes down that way the guidance did warn us.  That's all.  

I mean this with all due respect but you can be exhausting sometimes 

2 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

weatherbell has it largely from 4-10am. SFC 34-36. I guess verbatim it's ripping but obviously weird. also including light snow out west on Tues

 

Loudoun county really needs Ji to move

Funny story to me at least, I am having some steps put in leading from my driveway to my backyard and before they could do any work they needed the utility markers identified. Of course we got the first snow on Tuesday last week and they came out to mark on Thursday so my snow had orange and red paint lines on it and flags everywhere which sorta pissed me off but then it snowed again on Friday and covered up everything except the flags sticking out yay. Yesterdays melt has started to expose the paint markings again....best part now is that once that melts it won't be on my grass which i always hated because it took awhile to disappear. 

Not really hearing any dripping or seeing wet on the pavement...doesn't seem like a rapid eroding of the snowpack to me just yet.

I was living in Nokesville in 2016 on a farm...don't ask... this was my car and the driveway...disaster but fun

Snowpack holding on about 4" left give or take 

20 the major melting starts today...except for Ji his melting started in early December 

10 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

charles this is a massive 230kt jet extension

So would that mean that SoCal can stop recycling their own pee into drinking water?

8 degrees second single digit low in the last 7 days. Let's see how long the snowpack can hold on

0 weeks of winter in December 1 week in January 1 week in February and 1 week in March? Ok so 8-10" in January 15-20" in February and 30" in March...solid 3 weeks worth of winter 

I can see having snowpack until Wednesday at least and some piles a little longer.

5 minutes ago, Ji said:

I don’t remember a mid month torch. The pattern had just changed and the nao was very negative and people were talking about a heather A event

People...lol...you mean Ralph

It snowed twice this week it stuck relatively well both times, the snow has been on the ground with very little melting since Monday. That's an A in my book for the week...winter to date is incomplete so no grade yet.

Snowing hard big flakes

moderate snow now

snowing well under the front edge of the streamer

Looks like a band heading my way

Nice band coming through now...plowed road just wet though...blech