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aldie 22

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Posts posted by aldie 22

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    I guess if it is going to be super cold with any amount of precip falling the roads could get slick in spots. So far even the no good ICON was pretty close to getting the half inch line up to my backyard. I guess we have a little bit of time to see if this thing can make just a little more jog north or even better get others to show a capture

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    4 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

    Enough guidance gets the back edge of coastal enhancement over me that I 100% want a more amplified and developed system. It can only help me. I've been thinking 3-6 for like a week. No reason to change my mind but I do believe my chances (as they stand right now) favor the higher end of that and it may come a little easier than I first thought. Pretty cautious though. This entire evolution has been tough to figure out since d1 too

    Eta: my bust bar is sub 3". That would be pretty lame for an 8-10 hour event lol

    I just looked up where you live now...yeeks...do you have an accent now so you can fit in?

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    8 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

    ICON is unusually important for trends. You'd think consensus would narrow sharply over the next 2 suites 

    I mean you sort of have a vested interest in some NW movement of the snow line right?

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Just now, stormtracker said:

    Stop talking about the fucking 3k NAM.  It doesn’t show what we want!  Ignore it. 
     

    We are so back yall! 

    RIGHT....the 3k's wheelhouse is like 4 hours the 12k's wheelhouse is at least 3 times that!!

    • Like 1

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    2 minutes ago, high risk said:

    We should all acknowledge as a group that, even if the NAMs are spectacularly wrong on this event, we’re going to miss them like deceased grandparents when they’re retired next year.   

    I like that you said IF

    • Like 1

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    1 minute ago, Heisy said:


    Nam shouldn’t be used outside 12 hours, it’s that bad. Not to diffuse any excitement is may bring of course lol


    .

    The way all of the models performed with this one early on your statement is spot on for pretty much all of them.

    • Like 1

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Just now, dailylurker said:

    I honestly can't remember one time the nam was right. Maybe once in 2014 lol

    I'm of the opinion that during a full winter season each model is correct at least once. It's the Weather53 theory of forecasting. :hurrbear:

    • Like 1
    • Haha 2

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    This storm has created a few lasting memories...just last week I was telling my wife as we were looking at our snow stick ornament in the front yard "can you imagine that thing with 15-20" piled up?" We both laughed and hugged and then went to dinner. It's the little things :arrowhead:

    • Haha 5

    FOLKS Feb 19-20 Debacle

    in Mid Atlantic

    Posted

    Just now, mappy said:

    Justin Berk mentioned it this morning. 

    Thanks I also think Millville mentioned it on Saturday or something. I have no expectations with this storm but a bunch of people in the SE are probably sweating bullets right now.

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