aldie 22

This is nerve racking...how many more runs before this locks in?

A couple hearts just cracked

Man I can see the hearts breaking already 

8 minutes ago, mattie g said:

I see that you said “I know it won’t happen like this...” but the rest of your post has an air of expectancy about it. If I could, I’d suggest dialing it down just a bit and not getting too married to the idea that it will even snow next weekend. If we keep getting similar looks until we’re about 4 days out, then something tells me Ron Paul will be saving his arms in glee.

Grinch

3 minutes ago, showmethesnow said:

Kuchera output.

Winchester crew wont like this map

Forget about the fact that we might have a potential storm to track....jesus god it's December already! Where did the year go?

9 minutes ago, Ji said:

1041 high with a wet and active Nino jet. It's a classic el nino mid Atlantic type storm

This is the point when a system is modeled that I start looking at the southern extent to see how much room we have when it shifts north...cavemanish I know but

Hold

9 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

I won't name any names but there seems to be more dingdongs than normal posting around here. 

Its Don

I wonder what effect the earthquake in Alaska will have on the winter

If history is any indicator the Euro ensembles say what storm...it's how we roll here

8 minutes ago, yoda said:

Not sure if we are going to like the 12z Euro OP based on 192... 1032 HP in Quebec but around 1004mb SLP in NE MS

I agree

1 hour ago, frd said:

Well, thats great to hear, I did posted that a little while ago, but I was reading the entire thread and came across this .

 I feel you might enjoy. ( unless you saw it too ) .

I have read HM every day for the last 15 years , back to Wright Weather days, and dial up, and it is not often HM will allude to a weather period as possibly being "bad-ass " 

 

 

 

 

 

Lol that's Ji asking him

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

Bob.  Don’t take the 10 day prog seriously. 

Did you know 10 days is two weeks in business days

Ji's big newspaper article has him quoted as saying December is looking spectacular....#uhoh

Pretty comical how the winter weather projections changed from just an oh so short time ago....but...we do it every year

I wish I had a watermelon 

On 11/10/2018 at 9:11 AM, leesburg 04 said:

All the good vibes...we hardly knew ya...until tomorrow then we may know you again...until Monday when you leave again until Tuesday when you come back until Wednesday when your ass books again...until until until until 

I miss until 

6 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

Been my experience that ensembles tend to have a very flat, zonal flow to them most of the time when you go way out in time.  And 16 days is WAY out in time.

I've also noticed that day 16 ensemble is always 16 days away...strange

I just want to start seeing  (sn) show up in the text output on the gfs runs. Doesn't matter if it actually does sn I just want to see it

Upper 60s to 70 degrees is going to feel great

Rip and read means your forecast or analysis changes daily. I can't wait to see what tomorrow's ensembles show

18 minutes ago, Bob Chill said:

Check out the d14 AO verification. Gefs is busting high in the long range. This is the exact opposite of the last 3-4 years. We're moving into prime time for the AO to be a meaningful long lead indicator. If the gefs keeps busting high then good things are probably about to start happening no too far in future. Like in 2 weeks...

 

Ride it till it's broke bro

We need another until to happen I'd like it to be around December 19th or so

7 minutes ago, mappy said:

Winter cancel?

Shhh my money isn't on you