aldie 22

Every model combined has snow as far south as the NC border and as far North as the Pennsylvania border....those are your edges....now we refine down to the details tomorrow clearly somewhere between there it will snow decently perhaps a lot of places between those edges

Euro's cake is baked if it shifts now then it will be a ridiculous bust it might as well hang tough with the solution it is stuck on

Did you make a sleetman?

I'm beginning to think long tracking is full of ups and downs and model shifts and changes. I might have to do it again to be sure but that's where my head is right now.

Wait isn't the euro literally the only model showing this weak sauce? I don't know fellers....island and all

Do you think you can get more than Baltimore?

Today was fun, hopefully tonight is even better. Ask yourself, do you really think Ji cares if you have had a significant snowstorm since 2016?

Short Pump isn't getting 0.6

It almost always happens this way, Ji throws his tantrums and then the next model runs show improvement. It's like magic

42 in Leesburg expecting 4-6" give or take 4-6"

Of course, don't be so sensitive to my comments...i'm not talking to you

I get a chuckle when someone says those are clown maps yet it was those clown maps that gave them unreasonable expectations in the first place. Sometimes this place is downright silly.

feeling pretty solid with my call at this point

trust me, i'm pulling for you we got 29-30" in 2018-19 and if we do that again in 2020-2021 then two out of 3 years around 30" and yet some still complain excessively.

I'll take the under on that at best Leesburg is at 14" this year and that's being generous with measurements. I say when all is said and done Leesburg finishes with 24" which to me is a fine year, right on climo but I'm sure will be a great disappointment for some.

what did 0z look like?

**** *** *** **** ******* ****** ******

I read asterisk lol

Yes I do understand

I think it is interesting when people can point out storms from the past that screwed their area from whatever...subsidence zone, cold dry air bleeding in, temps not quite cold enough etc. I mean if you can point out that it has happened several times before then I don't know maybe it's me but perhaps it's not that unusual for your area. It doesn't make it less frustrating but it also doesn't make it less your climo. I hope we all get some nice snow later this week.

I suspect you may still end up around 6" total.

If 12z isn't 2 ft for some I suspect that I may log off until the evening runs.

I'm convinced most here don't like snow or at the very least are never satisfied with what the models show. We clearly have the big dog hunters and they shall remain nameless but then there are those who simply can't accept a 2-3" snowfall if a model showed more than that days prior. All I know is people can talk trend this or trend that the only thing that is real is what the model says on its current run then the next then the next until game time. Sure you can get a range idea from the model runs but ultimately what it says right now is only for right now. On to the next model run!!