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AllWeather

Meteorologist
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Posts posted by AllWeather

  1. 10 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

    Hi! Good to hear from you.

    Please chime in when you get the chance. We would love to have your insights.

     

    Let’s see - don’t think this is the same storm at 1/15, but don’t be shocked if we get another one of those H7 fronto bands setting up further north than progged. Could be over the LSV somewhere. May get a surprise in there. 
     

    Also, I really like the 2/15-2/22 timeframe. 

    • Like 8
  2. 1 minute ago, Itstrainingtime said:

    Your coverage/reports/forecasts on WGAL for the January 2016 storm were epic. I think they're still on the station's YouTube page.

    That storm was insane. I’ll never forget storm taking shape and the CCB aiming right into SC PA and thinking “man, someone is going to top 3’ from this”. But of course you have to be measured and conservative on air for hours, so it wasn’t until we had reports over 2’ ground truth that we started to verbalize the monstrous historic nature of the storm. 

    IMG_3764.jpeg

    • Like 4
  3. 24 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

    I miss the old WGAL part time Met that used to post on here. I think he got out of the business a few years ago. He knew his stuff, but was friendly with us hobbyists.

    Oh, hey! Used to be full-timer here. Glad I’m out - TV is a rough business. Super happy now and lurking often!

    • Like 9
  4. He deserves the reddest of tags. Pete is an amazing meteorolgist and one of the primary Winter Desk forecasters at WPC. I went to school with Pete. Great guys and very knowledgeable. This is the type of work that is done when looking at the big picture. It’s not just hemming and hawing over every single deterministic output. Yes, it’s great to look at, but parsing the details on the why is why we love what we do. I’ve been utilizing Cluster Analysis via DESI v3.2 which I unfortunately can’t share and trying to see the behavior of ensembles and potential outcomes. Pete broke down the primary features and some sneaky elements that could very easily sway the forecast. 
     
    I hope people get a lot out of the information provided. It’s one of the ways I learned about how things work in the synoptic world when it comes to Winter Systems. Years of just reading on here from previous Red taggers and knowledgeable posters. Been a great experience with a ton of laughs in the mix. Hopefully we can bring this one home! 

    Lots of Millersville U Met grads around here (myself included). Cool to see the strength of that program and where it has landed folks over the years.


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    • Like 11
  5. 2 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    Thanks.  Not sure if I consider that a full close off despite that small area in the middle.  Maybe someone who knows more than me could opine as usually a close off is a little more clean.  Larger, more circular.  

    It’s technically closed off as the height lines do form a (very) small circle. 

  6. 2 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

    Yeah there was a little "debate" this morning about going from boring to boom in a rather short period.  :P.

    Dont waste your time looking....just boys being boys....

    Thankfully the nooners helped to fix things a bit.

    Ha I saw. I lurk in the shadows a lot (and I bought a new phone since last year so just now signed in). 

  7. 12 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

    Hey Matt....Good do see you.  Always a good sign when folks like you are stopping in.  You liking where were at?  Nooners came in pretty close for 144 hrs out.  

    Love the ensembles coming around, but there has been SO MUCH SHIFTING in the short-term though of just our boring pattern for the next few days, so I follow the ensembles to see where the real trends lie. Being in the bullseye 140+ hours out though in this shifting pattern tends to lose confidence, so we'll see. Good to see a true Miller A though...it feels like it has been a while. 

    • Like 2
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