WIN

9 minutes ago, WIN said:

2 inches, still snowing lightly.

Oak ridge nj. Nw Morris County 

Actually 2.5. I just estimated b4. Decided to measure 

2 inches, still snowing lightly.

Oak ridge nj. Nw Morris County 

Up to 8 otg currently 

6.5 otg

With all the model waffling, this was a tough one. Kudos to the pros that held their ground! Watched Lee Goldberg on ch. 7 news at 11pm last night. He never backed down.

Oak Ridge NJ, NW Morris County

4.75 inches otg. Moderate snow.

5 minutes ago, forkyfork said:

imo the south bleeding finally stopped 

One can only hope...

1 hour ago, wdrag said:

The 353AM attached.Ihavent checked for an update.

 

In my opinion as I do my own non AMWX posts... once/day is enough... that steadies out all the model fluctuations and tends to keep my group on message whether its trending up or down. 

Agreed, 100% Walt.

29 minutes ago, wdrag said:

Not all the storm. Their map through 7p resides on their winter wx link

My point exactly.

1 hour ago, sussexcountyobs said:

NWS Mt. Holly new snow map issued at 9:53am this morning has cut my snow totals in half. From 6-8" to now 3-4"

That new map only goes through 7AM Tuesday.

On 1/25/2024 at 2:04 PM, milleand said:

Does anyone remember a storm in 1977 or 1978 that the media said was going to be all or mostly rain? Everyone woke up to a ton of snow. My father always brings it up but he can't recall exactly when it was. 

It was Jan 21st 1978. Woke up to about 17 inches of snow.

5 days later, the "Ohio Valley Bomb" as it was nicknamed washed most of it away.

Light snow, oak ridge nj. Nw Morris County 

20 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

They really should only issue it for south jersey if anywhere, but the whole idea of "state of emergency" should only be issued for something like Sandy.  Maybe they need to have a lower level of alert?  Did they ever think of that?  And they could call it "State of Preparedness".  Leave the "State of Emergency" only for historic and truly life threatening conditions.

Agreed

8 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Yup, lots of problems on the roads.  6.5" I think.... the earliest 6" storm there on record I believe (here we had  8" on November 7, 2012 a week after Sandy, and 14" in Freehold.)

 

I understand getting blindsided like that, but the problem is that after a while, it becomes like the "boy who cried wolf". Also issuing a state of emergency preemptively should be saved for much bigger, widespread storms.

IF a state of emergency is issued in a situation like this it should be limited to the areas under the WSW.

Finally, issuing  a state for 4 to 6 inches of snow is an overreaction, period! Just MHO. I

4 minutes ago, LibertyBell said:

Wasn't that the storm that was supposed to change to rain but never did?

I believe so. It changed in NYC as I recall, but way later than expected. 

34 minutes ago, dseagull said:

Murphy administration issues a state of emergency if a kitten sneezes.  

Ever since the November 2018 storm which caught many off guard as it was underforcast in many areas, they panic every time a snow flake flies.

15 minutes ago, kat5hurricane said:

No, the last 2 winters is not the norm. I grew up in the late 80s and 90s and never experienced back to back winters like this. The snow drought we've been through is unprecedented and now we have people (even a meteorologist mind you) saying that it normally takes a miracle to get snow around here. Lets gain some perspective, what we've seen the last 2 years is not the norm. Even in bad years, we usually still get double digits.

What we've seen the last 2 years is part of what goes into long term averages.

2 hours ago, kat5hurricane said:

NYC averages 25-30 inches a year. This isn't Atlanta. What we've seen the last few winters is NOT the normal outcome.

Yes it is. If you were around during the 80s & 90s you'd understand. 

12 minutes ago, rclab said:

Good morning WIN. I go back to the 50’s and 60’s. A heavy snow warning was given for an anticipated 4 inches of snow. Early TV forecasts by Dave Garroway and Jack Lescoulie were Quite different from today. Stay, as always.

 

 

YeH, I go back to the 60s, memorywise. I grew up in Maryland, and yeah the same there. When we moved to NJ in the early 70s, it was Bob Harris, Frank Field an Tex Antoine.

Bob was real good IMHO. Too bad he held himself out as a Met, when he wasn't. Frank Field just followed the NWS, no disrespect to him at all 

Tex Antoine, well we know what happened.

1 hour ago, jdj5211 said:

06Z GFS was a nice hit for the area.  Won't be heavy snow but showed a solid 18 hour storm....easily can pick up 4-8 inches in that setup.

It's funny how perspectives have changed over the last 20 years or so. In the 80s and most of the 90s, 4 to 8 was considered a heavy snowstorm.

Oak ridge, NJ

7 inches otg. Measurement at 1130pm. Very light whatever falling now. My final Measurement for the night.

Oak ridge nj, nw Morris County

6 inches otg, 3 in the last 90 mintues

Oak Ridge NJ. NW Morris County. 3 inches otg. Snowing at a pretty good clip.

Oak Ridge, NJ NW Moriss County. 1.5 inches otg as of 6PM

I remember with most of the winters during the 80s & 90s, the way I survived (emotionally) was I'd hope for one decent snowstorm and just get on with life.

Keeping expectations low kept me sane.