Bubbler86

GFS version of the SB Weekend storm. A bit close for S/E folks.

There you go. Jim Cantore with the high hair and I looked at MDT's 92 totals before sending that post but did not go out past that. Had just never heard anyone says Blizzard of 92 but my sometimes unfortunate LSV shaded glasses may have blinded me. I did make a post for the benefit of our Williamsport friends today so I am not always selfish.

The talk of the detriment it will do to bars in the North East will be getting ramped up soon.

I thought of you and @pawatch when I saw the WSW totals near you.

Yikes. The selfies are going a bit far all of a sudden. Put that snowmobile back in the shed!

Hopefully the former while still inside.

Of course for me personally my best snow is going to be when I bring up the CTP Radar and the screen is completed filled with DBZ's piling in from S/E to NW. That look always means we are measuring in feet and and we are in the meaty quadrant of CCB snow. I need the low to tuck in just a bit further South than NJ. So tuck or no tuck I say to Lupe please give us a DelMarVa tuck. I think you would be safe with that as well.

One Weenie tag for you not waiting for Blizz. Interesting thing about this one as it pertains to meteorology is that with a low that far off the coast we would usually want a full phase to explode possibilities but after looking at the temps I think keeping them separate but still partially interacting is the way to go.

Euro is close to seeing us go to the next "phase" of finally getting a snow storm...better than the cold front passage of yesterday. Not posting the snow map for this one. That is @Blizzard of 93 job whether he was born in 93 or not.

Big changes on the 12Z Euro for this weekend.

I thought of that but was not sure someone would do something confusing like that. What if you were born in 1969?

I think with temps you can punt much longer periods. Storms yea they change every 6 hours. If almost every bit of weather modeling shows warm temps for a two week period it is rare they are wrong big picture. Seems the MA thread is excited about the next two weeks. Almost like they are daring the HM's to punt.

DT punts every month. We are in the game the next few weeks regardless if anything works out or not. Not like its warm.

Blizzard92? It must have been one of those "technical a blizzard but only 2" of snow" blizzards or he lived somewhere else in 92. It would be interesting to hear some climate theories on why the 60's were so snowy. Having random snowy years is just random but to have them consecutive like that would suggest something caused it.

That storm probably made a lot of people on here heroes if they trusted the nam. To this day I have two people who talk about how I was the only one who knew 30" was coming. I thought that storm may have also began the reign of cashtown as the snow capital but may be thinking of another one.

Or you could rent them your snowmobile and profit?

Unless you like rain then it seems things always go your way.

Yep, its been two years of this parade. It's almost like we need to forecast on a grading scale because its not acceptable to just say we cannot forecast out beyond a few days.

This was Miller F (school grade scale) or Miller Z (Alphabetical Scale).

The Euro has a clipper and cold front passage at the same time. LOL.

True but this was a 3-4 day threat. LOL. The map I was referring to was from Tuesday at 12Z with the snow starting Friday night.

Here is the 12Z Euro snow map for this weekend. Thought I would post it just to show how bad it and the GFS did just a few days ago. Its one thing to be off by a hundred or so miles but the Euro showed snow in MD a few days ago and if you discount the 1-2" lollipops around Northern PA and New York the very same shield of snow is near Ottawa Canada. Just a mere 500 miles.

Probably in a literal sense as you cannot trust surface temps that far out but I was looking at it from the point of most systems starting off with the perfect track 5-10 days out and eventually trending north. No room for that to trend any where north. Its almost the very perfect track if we had a deeper cold air base to start. Would probably see waves of heavy snow pumping up into the LSV from the South East. Another alternate way this could work out would be for it to be a bit more south and east when it gets off the coast and intensify further south drawing in colder air while at the same time throwing its QPF blanket over us.

Great track but no cold air.

Looking at the 18z Nam I just noticed it briefly identifies a slp in the Gulf before the cutter takes over a few panels later. Oh to be back on the days where Gulf lows were a normal thing. Gfs is driving the surface low over Lancaster now. Sheesh.