If you GIF the last 18 runs of the FV3 it’s amazing.
I suspect during the government shutdown NCEP borrowed the old version of the Euro and plopped it in there.
Only rational explanation.
I will have to share my Guidelines for snowstorms if you haven’t read it.
I can be the villain in some places because we all know the SE ticks precede the NW climb back to the original thinking. Especially when it comes to the Euro.
It’s not impossible the QPF is underdone for some. Euro runs a few days ago had over 2” in spots. Even the best meso models can miss this with deepest banding and frontogenic forcing.
I foresee multiple 30” plus lollis.
I never got the obsession with the word “blizzard”. Having lived in NJ and PA I Lived through multiple blizzards. To be honest our good lake effect events like last week look more like a blizzard than they did.