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EasternLI

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About EasternLI

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  • Four Letter Airport Code For Weather Obs (Such as KDCA)
    KHWV
  • Gender
    Male
  • Location:
    Riverhead, LI

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  1. EasternLI
    Starting to wonder how much of that can be attributed to the AO which has been mainly positive for several months. Think that stubborn ridge that's been east of Japan has some relation to that at least.
  2. EasternLI
    MEI updated and has 2.4 for AS.
  3. EasternLI
    1877-78 was known as the year without a winter. Interestingly a very powerful el nino event that year.
  4. EasternLI
    Yeah, not too sure how that ultimately plays into all of this either. Unique circumstances.
  5. EasternLI
    Only one other year is remotely close to this year based purely on the VP200 charts. Similar story as a month ago. That one is 97-98, but this year is stronger...
  6. EasternLI
    Luckily there are some other ways to view the strength of enso besides SST related metrics and those are pointing at a record event as well. Record WWB's, record shear for the Atlantic hurricane season, VP anomalies that make all the other years pale in comparison. The MEI could be another and I'll be curious to see that once it updates with Sept included plus future updates. RONI vs ONI is an interesting conversation but I think both are likely useful in their own ways.
  7. EasternLI
    There's a whole different complexion to the Pacific look on modeling since a couple of days ago. Looks like a big GOA low idea was too aggressive and won't verify as was originally advertised. As a result, much more of an -EPO look coming up instead. Interesting to see the ridge east of Japan trend to be just a little bit squashed too during that time. Will be interested to see how much the current 11-15 day look transforms as we move forward with all that in mind.
  8. EasternLI
  9. EasternLI
    Will be interesting to see how the PDO responds through October with recurving typhoons on the menu for the month. Next one getting warmed up in the batters box now. Choi-wan. Which looks potentially stronger than Surigae was. TBD. Beyond that looks like pretty good chances for something to follow up too.
  10. EasternLI
    Yeah surprised winds weren't higher than that overnight. Not complaining
  11. EasternLI
    Ok here we go, this is great to see. We've been waiting for the recurving typhoons to show up and now it sure seems like they very well could be. We had that one occur what about a week ago now albeit not very impressive at all. My read on that one was I took it as a baby step. Now we have another one slated to do so. Typhoon Surigae. Beyond this one. It looks like chances are pretty good for another one to follow in about another week's time. As most models as of this morning give that impression. Sending these into the north pacific adds the fuel to help fire an Aleutian low. Wouldn't you know it, we're seeing a semblance of one on ensembles now. I don't think these things are unrelated and it will be really interesting to follow this. Feels right on time during October too.
  12. EasternLI
    Euro at 12z still likes the overnight tonight for the strongest winds as the system maxes out for us and starts the hard left turn. 70knts over a good chunk of LI and CT shoreline at 925mb
  13. EasternLI
  14. EasternLI
    Starting to get some daylight now and man it is ripping out there already. This is a hell of a storm coming at us.
  15. EasternLI
    Most models still have the strongest winds starting overnight tonight through early tomorrow... this is the euro.
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