EasternLI
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About EasternLI
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Definitely had more snow since the ~1" this morning. In fact it's still snowing now lol. No idea on the grand total for this, way too much wind blowing it everywhere. 11F
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Currently Snow. Blowing snow. 14F Deep winter vibe in this neck of the woods today.
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Cool radar loop. And it has started snowing here again now with this stuff from the east.
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Still coming down pretty good in this..
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~1" new snow OTG, maybe slightly more. That was a pretty heavy band that swung through here. Hoping the wind takes care of this later so I don't have to lol.
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Brutal.
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There is a meteorological term for that IMO. Internal variability within a longwave pattern. Stuff like wave spacing, shortwave interactions, etc. There's research out there that describes it in that way. I do believe chaos is even mentioned sometimes lol.
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What's the status of the NYC below freezing streak currently? EPS verbatim would have it continue right through next weekend.
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It was a possibility back in late December when I was looking at it more. TBH I haven't really checked on that since I mentioned it. Got sidetracked following the snow threats lol. There was a bunch of warm water (30C+) collecting east of 150E. It looks like most of that was downwelled to the subsurface instead. I think Ray has a great handle on this season and has done a tremendous job with his efforts this year. He's really nailed quite a lot of aspects about this season. I think we did see a very clean phase 8 pass recently. But it was also quite short lived like was mentioned. However we couldn't even get that to happen in recent years. So perhaps we're turning a corner, slowly.
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Always is. I hate how uncertainty always needs to be mentioned tbh. That should be a baseline given to anyone and everyone following weather. There are never certainties. As much as we would like there to be. There are only probabilities. What makes this one more interesting than usual is the -AO already in place prior to it happening this time. That leaves the door open for it to quickly couple and eliminate the typical lag time. I'm getting pretty confident the split is going to happen. Ensembles are getting increasingly on board. Plus we've already had the precursor pattern for it. Not to mention that the timing shown on guidance is in line with when you would expect to see one after the precursor pattern happens.
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No doubt. There's never really been anything ever thats looked free of problems has there? Opportunity is all we can ask for. I like ~7th though
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Groundhog is currently frozen. 6 more weeks of winter. Next legit threat. Big +PNA spike leading into it.
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