wokeupthisam

2.91 storm total, 0.46 of that fell after midnite.  5.55 for the month for Steintember so far.

Sunshine and drying breezes now, looking forward to the week ahead for some siding fixes

roughly a week give or take of Lee-watching - yielding so far:

56.8F/52.9F ; 00.02" precip since midnight ; 3.4mph G5.8mph  peak gust 19.5mph

ROI:  0.00012" rain / hr watched,  0.027mph avg wind / hr watched  

1.26" since midnight.  

47.1 now off a low of 27.9 here at the farm

10 hours ago, powderfreak said:

I love that even western skiers and riders throw shade about our “man-snow” vs powder.

Good times out there for sure!  https://www.alta.com/stories/rolling-in-the-deep

 

31.3F, snow shut off quick when that intense band finally moved away after ripping here all through my attempted cleanup.  Haven't measured other than by snowblower bucket and snow to thy knickers, but eyeballing 20-24 inches. 

Wet stuff, tough to move, power blinking but has stayed on, amazing looking at the snow pasted on trees and wires waving in the gusts.  A few nice roars overhead - took this video w sound after round 2 cleanup - that band was just pouring snow, made for a beautiful winter walk back to the house.

31.6F, S+ blowing snow vis <1/8

Power flickered 2x today but holding on so far...

vid from a couple hours earlier today:  

6 minutes ago, wxeyeNH said:

32.4F  Temperature has risen 4F since dawn.  Dim sun.  Bit of drizzle mixed with a few mangled flakes.  Wind is howling from east.  I don't understand as I should not be shadowed in this wind direction

Maybe subsidence as banding sets up?

1 minute ago, ineedsnow said:

thanks can see it perfectly

If the HRRR is right, you'll need a periscope to see it perfectly this time tomorrow  ; )

34F and -SN, melting as it lands

NNE at 3

25 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

Come to papa. One of a myriad of possibilities that we are going to simply watch, unfolds, not forecast.

Yup.  This will come down to where the banding and any pivot points set up.  Feasts a town or two away from famines...  Radar nowcast for sure

2 minutes ago, mahk_webstah said:

My zones have one to three Monday night and 6 to 10 Tuesday and then straight up forecast for snow Tuesday night and part of Wednesday implying the more significant accumulation.  I don’t see much of the model output that’s bullish for more than a foot up here as the zones apply but GYX seems pretty bullish actually. They even invoked the 2013 and 2015 storms

Yeah Gray wording leaned to the bullish side but they did caveat that the 2013 and 2015 storms had a different antecedent airmass.  It's a big difference in the upcoming IMO. 

Eyeballing 7" here, 31.4F and moderate snow but not stacking efficiently at all.  Insolation winning the battle, coatings just melting into the pack as fast as it stacks so not expecting any more accums here despite radar/fcsts.

3 minutes ago, Twitching Trucks said:

I’ll chime in on this for my inaugural post. 34* in Rochester, NH, falling steadily since sunset. Headed to sleep soon, as I’m on call and will likely be out at some point before the sun comes up. Hoping to wake to a full raging snowstorm at some point.


.

Welcome!  And good luck!

3.5 new, 31.8F slowly climbing with fog and SN-

35.2F / 23.9F

8 minutes ago, wokeupthisam said:

-16.2 and nearly steady.  Wind gusting over 20 at times still.  Not fake cold.  Snowing too, despite a hazy nearly-full moon.  Took a quick walk and it's surreal, 13" glacier pack, jet engine roar above the trees, and finger-numbing cold.  Thank God for 4 woodstoves and some black locust splits to burn!

 

-16.2 and nearly steady.  Wind gusting over 20 at times still.  Not fake cold.  Snowing too, despite a hazy nearly-full moon.  Took a quick walk and it's surreal, 13" glacier pack, jet engine roar above the trees, and finger-numbing cold.  Thank God for 4 woodstoves and some black locust splits to burn!

Impressive watching the Arctic Express arrive on time...

Two invasive insect species of concern in NE could have significant mortality of this year's population, if we can get cold enough.  Both the Emarald Ash Borer (EAB) and Hemlock Woolly Adelgid (HWA) populations are susceptible to anomalous cold events, especially as temps approach -20F.
"...researchers from the U. S. Forest Service and Minnesota Department of Agriculture found that the supercooling temperature for the Minnesota EAB population was about -13°F. Based on these results, a model was created that predicts that about five percent of EAB larvae should die when temperatures reach 0°F, 34 percent at -10°F, 79 percent at -20°F, and an impressive 98 percent should die at -30°F. (Venette, R.C. & Abrahamson, M. (2010) Cold hardiness of emerald ash borer  PDF , Agrilus planipennis: a new perspective.) 

Studies on the HWA show similar results.  Also their mortality is higher when the cold occurs after a period of relatively milder conditions, as the insects gradually adapt their supercooling ability in sustained cold periods, so this event holds promise for a (temporary) setback for these insects in 2023 in NE.  I'm cheering for -20F here overnight Friday for that reason alone.  Seems like an ideal setup to hamper those invasives for a season anyway, while not prolonging the severe conditions for people and wildlife.  Bring it!

Yup... "beware the Ides of March"  

39 minutes ago, powderfreak said:

Holy shit that’s bonkers.  

HRRR end of run, but still, -24F up here by Friday evening.  It has -17F here by 8am.

7PM Fri…

Interesting to track as we head closer.  00Z run verified 2F too warm, had 13F at 2Z, actual was 11F.  Not significant but kinda bored watching models right now  lol

2nd cleanup was about 5in of fluff from the mid-aftn band.  Great over-achiever, might have guessed from the panic around the feeders this am - it's like they think they'll never find food again  ; )

30.2/30F  closing in on 13" for the storm, still S+ but heaviest looks about ready to move east

Snow stake shows about 16" settled

27.5/27.3  that margin has been consistent for 12+ hours...

S+ last 40 mins, 8.5 new

10am today: