peribonca
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Everything posted by peribonca
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December 16-17, 2020 Winter Storm Obs/Nowcasting
peribonca replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
If DC flips back to some frozen looks like 10pm might be the time. Here's hoping for a nice back-end... for once we don't have a low racing up to the north-east so it does have some potential once it passes our latitude. -
12z HRRR not bad... snow -> mix -> dry slot for DC then back to a bit of snow.
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I don't like brown snow anyways
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PBP Icon confluence a bit better @ 21h
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Soundings even for southern MoCo don't look too bad for a period of moderate wet snow starting at noon. May surprise some and make the afternoon rush tricky.
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Snownado!
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If anything that looks further EAST than 12z
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That temp gradient in northern Pakistan is amazing
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On a side note, I really miss showmethesnow's morning updates!
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To all those who are missing November weather during this warm spell don’t worry we’ll have months on end of typical November weather coming up!
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BWI: 10/24 RIC: 11/1 IAD: 10/24 DCA: 11/14 Tie: 90F
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Tornado warning in Baltimore
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Down in the northern neck it definitely has the feeling of a developing tropical low. Gusty winds, dark skies and rain bands
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Feels like our climate is now summer x6 months then November x6 months
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Don’t worry, it’ll be back in March
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A bit of training over the central part of the district right now
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18z gfs almost gets it done on day 6.
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Everytime it looks like dry air is going to win out some light snow comes back into DC. Looks to stop in next 2 hours but wow what an amazing storm. Been a pleasure tracking and discussing with you all.
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The good thing is that the departing low has a more easterly trajectory instead of our usual nor'easters. That'll make this event last longer than we're used to.
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Pivoting death bands are awesome. Just missed it in Jan 2016 but radar looks fantastic right now!
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WAA definitely performed well... got upper range of expected area wide. Now let's max out on the coastal for double digits!
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After that lull in DC the fun is about to get started! A nice coastal deform band should form and add another 2-4 inches +
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GFS looking good for an overnight shellacking
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Nice returns streaming up towards DC from the Southwest will be here in 30-45min ... Fun times ahead ladies and gents!
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Closed 500 Low on GFS @ 12hours
