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boo radley

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Everything posted by boo radley

  1. Lmfao. They get soooo crazy. It snowed all day here, looked pretty so it’s a win regardless. Not like this day and age much classifies as a paralyzing storm, so enjoy what you get and drink in the snow while it’s falling.
  2. Lol I’m gonna disregard random snow hole on gfs since it gives lock haven west of me another 11.
  3. That low is wayyy more tucked than I thought looking at qpf distribution. If that comes to fruition well inland is still in game for big totals.
  4. I think we see nice 5 to 9 out of this thing yet, especially with parent low being healthy still.
  5. Lol if we can get region wide 5 plus event this thing was a success. Poconos and north Jersey will jackpot as usual with these things, but if you watch jackpot you won’t enjoy snow falling in your backyard.
  6. Agreed, I’ll be happy 4 to 7 or so. Thinking best dynamics end up Lehigh valley north and east.
  7. Wagons north and east it appears on new short term models.
  8. RAP 15z has most of pa in .5 to .75 precip, Far eastern PA and into New England see the 1 inch and up precip amounts.
  9. Lol I was so pumped I remember watching college bball night before thinking no biggie then had early dismissal next day with it pouring snow.
  10. I also remember one that worked out I think it was January of 2000, we’re supposed to get inch or two and had warning event.
  11. I remember this well! Was 10 at the time and waited all day to see if the returns got closer and they never made it. 8 to 12 forecast, none measured.
  12. I’m happy with 4 to 6, way more than I was supposed to get a few days ago. These guys are pros and I’m guessing they see reason to have skepticism with largest model output. Will definitely respect their calls.
  13. For here anything more than 4 or 5 isn’t a bust, for LSV I’d say anything more than 7 or 8 from this would be good total. Bust would be if thump erodes and coastal low gets going too far north and east and we end up with lower end advisory stuff.
  14. Bust potential with Miller Bs last until it’s actually taking place. Sooo many moving parts.
  15. Nam shows how one small change can effect totals a lot.
  16. They must feel this is an over correction north of 0z models given what they’re looking at.
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