jaf316
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Everything posted by jaf316
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A flake falls in bexley! hooray!
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Still pinging in bexley. There might be a few flakes mixed in -- it's hard to tell -- but if there are, they're few and far between
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I don't know you, but I now officially hate you (he said as he watched sleet pellets bounce off his window...) (kidding, of course -- enjoy the snow!)
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It's been so long since we've had a real winter storm to track that I forgot about this phase of the weather tracking experience: the mass weenie suicides! (and just to be clear, no offense to anyone is intended. I'm one of those weenies...)
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Cool to see moisture plume still stretching all the way down to Mexico on the radar. We still have a long way to go with this one. Gfs doesn't show cbus switching over until late afternoon/evening, but still shows a healthy accumulation overnight.
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Cmh still at 40 degrees
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I take you for a glass-half-empty kind of guy. Am I right?
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Yeah, the GFS has shown virtually the same solution for 11 straight runs. If it ends up being wrong it'll be a pretty epic fail.
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NAM continues to take a dump on our storm -- but it's marginally better. It ups the snowfall in Columbus from 0.3 inches (6z) to 1.6 inches (12z). Progress!
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Slightly lower amounts for NW OH compared with 18z, but pretty much the same as before for central.
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For what it's worth, the 3k NAM is a bit better for us
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I will say that the GFS has been remarkably consistent over the past several runs. Canadian has been a little more all over the place.
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Oy, I was hoping for a little more agreement by today...
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Yup, that's some sexy weather porn right there...
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Is the FV3 reliable (I mean, as much as we can consider any weather model "reliable")?
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I think you're right. The pressing high seems to be getting a little bit stronger with every run. Just hope it doesn't get too strong and miss to the south. It's gotta balance at just the right spot for us to jackpot.
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Looks to me like a slight bump north
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And GEM bumps NW. Major ice-fest for central OH. So there you go...
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Well, if anything the 0z gfs shifted a smidge SE from the 18z position. And I have a feeling we'll see plenty more smidges between now and Thursday...
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Don't give up hope yet. We still have a few more days of anxious hand-wringing and nervous teeth-gnashing ahead of us before the inevitable happens. And isn't that what it's really all about...?
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Yeah, I know. But I like looking at the pretty colors...
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Gfs clown maps on tropical tidbits give us more than a foot and a half -- but they include all frozen precip in 10:1 ratios. And verbatim it's mostly sleet/freezing rain.
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Oy... Meanwhile, back on the weather front: Latest Euro puts us back on the good side (mostly) of the baroclinic zone next week. Worth watching...
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My house would be sitting under a glacier if you totalled up all the virtual snow the GFS has given me over the past few years...
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I'm gonna frame that and put it on my wall
