north pgh

NAM is North 

Wind is really howling out there. Rain about to blow through.

As far as tomorrow I trust the Canadian after how it scored the last one. I think 1-2 is a solid bet tomorrow night. 

30 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

Fwiw. Wouldn't take much for us to see 3 or 4.

 

Unless it goes further south LOL

7 minutes ago, Rd9108 said:

HECS or bust at this point. Not really interested in a 3-6 storm that melts by midday. I should have no excuses for my golf game with this weather.

Don't get me wrong, I will take a 1-3 storm anytime during the day but if it happens while I'm asleep then to me it's no fun shoveling it if you can't see it falling.

This storm is moving so fast we probably wouldn't even see a flake fall unless you were awake at 4:00 am. I'll drive to my meeting tomorrow morning with a few flakes in the air and bare wet ground and take it. On to the next week. No biggie. 

2 minutes ago, KPITSnow said:

But man we are cursed here. We went from being 50 miles too far south to 50-100 miles too far north in like 3 runs 

Yes these models are ridiculous.

3 minutes ago, TimB said:

Yep. Looking like we’re losing the NAM too. Entire precip shield misses us SE.

Boy I was making fun of the Canadian for being so far east but it was right.

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA
1258 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024

OHZ041-PAZ007-013-014-020>022-073-077-078-121800-
Columbiana-Mercer-Lawrence-Butler-Beaver-Allegheny-Armstrong-
Westmoreland-Indiana-Higher Elevations of Indiana-
1258 PM EST Sun Feb 11 2024

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for east central Ohio and western
Pennsylvania.

.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.

Hazardous weather is not expected at this time.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Monday through Saturday.

There is a chance for winter weather impacts early Tuesday morning
with a crossing low pressure system. There still remains a lot of
uncertainty in precipitaiton type, snow liquid ratios, and the
position of snow bands. A Winter Weather Advisory or Winter Storm
Warning may need to be issued in the next 24 hours.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

$$

I think we are looking at a 1-3 event with most of it falling while I'm asleep which are not my favorite storms. Wake up, shovel and then watch it start melting Tuesday afternoon. Yawn.

4 minutes ago, TimB said:

And there it goes. Stick a fork in it.

As usual it will turn out to be an I-80 special. The only hope we have is that it drops south 50 miles tomorrow. Can only hope. 

I'm pretty sure that the Canadian will come North but that would put us in a sweet spot at least for now on that model.

7 minutes ago, RitualOfTheTrout said:

Its been consistent with doing that in some form. Looping back through the previous runs that SWPA warm tongue / dryslot signal is on display.

Crazy the difference in solutions right now on the models. 

Agree 100%.

Odds are in our favor for a decent hit only because we haven't had one for so long but are against us because we are most likely to get fringed.

We may not find out until Sunday night or Nowcasting on Monday.

Maybe a Thunderstorm early tomorrow?

Euro has the storm as well. 

Storm is there. Now it will be a matter of track and precip type and amounts. I am sure that there will be ups and downs through the next 3-4 days.

I think regardless of whether we can land something Tuesday, The cold NW flow kicks in the rest of the week. At this point I'd be happy to see a clipper move in during this time. 

Tuesday and Sunday of next week may be our best chance of landing a good snowfall. At least we can start tracking again maybe.

Tomorrow is groundhog day

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE National Weather Service Pittsburgh PA 1136 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2024 OHZ039-048>050-057>059-068-PAZ021-029-073-077-078-WVZ001>003-230300- /O.EXA.KPBZ.WW.Y.0009.240123T0600Z-240123T1700Z/ Tuscarawas-Coshocton-Harrison-Jefferson OH-Muskingum-Guernsey- Belmont-Noble-Allegheny-Washington-Westmoreland-Indiana-Higher Elevations of Indiana-Hancock-Brooke-Ohio- Including the cities of New Kensington, Monessen, Indiana, Armagh, Caldwell, Martins Ferry, New Philadelphia, Pittsburgh Metro Area, Greensburg, Wheeling, St. Clairsville, Wellsburg, Latrobe, Cadiz, Weirton, Murrysville, Canonsburg, Coshocton, Dover, Steubenville, Washington, Cambridge, Lower Burrell, Follansbee, and Zanesville 1136 AM EST Mon Jan 22 2024 ...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 1 AM TO NOON EST TUESDAY... * WHAT...Freezing rain expected. Total snow accumulations up to one inch north of I-80 and ice accumulations up to one tenth of an inch. * WHERE...Portions of east central Ohio, southwest and western Pennsylvania, and northern and the northern panhandle of West Virginia. * WHEN...From 1 AM to noon EST Tuesday. * IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions. The hazardous conditions could impact the Tuesday morning commute. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... Slow down and use caution while traveling. The latest road conditions can be obtained by calling 5 1 1. Please report snow or ice accumulations by calling 412-262-1988, posting to the NWS Pittsburgh Facebook page, or using Twitter @NWSPittsburgh. && $$

Congrats south hills posters! You deserved it. 

I remember a band like that over me in January of 2004 that dropped 4 inches in 3 hours. 5 to 10 miles from here the stars were out.

That band looks similar to the band that went into Orchard Park New York last weekend.