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RobertSul

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    February 2019 Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    1 hour ago, michsnowfreak said:

    While this Winter has been far from my preferred Winter, I can certainly say it's been active. From Jan 17-Feb 23 i will have had 20" of snow, 3 ice storms, temp ranges of 56° to -15° (wind chills -40°), and hurricane force winds.

    Hurricane force winds?? When?

    February 23-25th Winter Storm

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    Winter Storm Watches for west and central lower Michigan. 

    Was surprised by the issuance of the watch itself, but then especially by the condition of  "Up to 3"" of snow, which would usually warrant a winter weather advisory if any headline at all. The very strong winds/near whiteout conditions are probably the deciding factors here.   
      

    ...WINTER STORM WATCH IN EFFECT FROM SUNDAY MORNING THROUGH LATE
SUNDAY NIGHT...

* WHAT...High winds are forecasted to combine with occasional snow
  and falling temperatures to potentially lead to widespread
  impacts for the area. Westerly winds could gust over 60 mph.
  Blowing snow could potentially lead to near whiteout conditions.
  Accumulations of up to 3 inches are possible.

* WHERE...Portions of central, south central, southwest and west
  central Michigan.

* WHEN...From Sunday morning through late Sunday night.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...An increased risk for tree damage and
  widespread power outages exists with this storm. Plan on
  difficult travel due to poor visibilities...slick roads and high
  winds.

    Winter Storm? Jan 18-19th, 2019

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    46 minutes ago, michsnowfreak said:

     We saw several 1-1.5" events in November but since then just a few dustings. Im sure you went over a half inch in Nov a few times vut i get what youre saying. Standards far lower than usual this winter!

    Those several 1-1.5" snow events favored areas to the east and north of my backyard, I distinctly remember seeing that on radar. There was one event where we got an inch, sure, but fussing over a half inch just really hits home how bad this winter has been locally, lol.

    EDIT: Meant for my original post to say much more than half an inch. 

    Winter 2018-19 Medium/Long Range Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    3 hours ago, Frog Town said:

    The system around the 7th/8th of January is well adverstised by the non-US models, but not so much by the GFS and others.  The other thing that this system has going for it, is the period of transition to a -AO and +PNA.  This is typically a good time for our sub forum.  

    I hope so! I haven't seen anything over an inch so far this year, and even then it's melted by mid-afternoon. Starting to feel like Missouri in these parts (no offense to that part of the sub-forum). 

    December 2018 General Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    2 hours ago, (((Will))) said:

    I just found out the coolest thing.

    I was looking through a year of raw KCMX metar data.

    I can now quantify how awesome this place is compared to Maine and San Diego.

     

    In the past 67 days.......................it has been sunny 8 times. That is roughly 11% of the time.

    Since the middle of October, it has been sunny only 4 times. That is roughly 8.8% of the time.

    Since October 25, it has been sunny 2 times, or 5.5% of the time.

    The last time it was sunny was 15 days ago.

    It is not forecasted to be sunny in the next 8+ days.

     

    There's a saying I've heard a few times when people are bragging about how bad the weather is to scare new people off - 'it doesn't just snow 300 inches; you also do not see the sun between October and February.'

    That is awesome.

    Lake effect weather is the best. San Diego can keep deluding itself into thinking it has something to offer. No, San Diego is the Hallmark Channel pretending to be a community. The content may be 'nice' - but it's still shit and the people are uniformly shallow, 2 dimensional bit characters existing some 80 odd years of worthless banality.

    San Diego is a child's drawing of a figurine cast in dog shit - peopled by stinking shadows; a smear of banality claiming humanity.
    Los Angeles sashays drunkenly then frets dumbly back and forth across the San Andreas and is finally heard from no more.
    It wants to be a a yarn with some sort of dynamism. It isn't.
    It's a tragicomedy, this one a 50 year old whore of a house wife, indignant and impetuous;
    This one a rich girl who cuts her arms and thinks it's dynamic; this one from Silver Lake whose one line, 'Did I tell you I'm a vegan', represents the culmination of a subplot of personal discovery, the evolution of one man who towered over his privilege and *showed everyone* by appreciating buddhism, rap music, played native american whoops and hollers on Thanksgiving because HE KNOWS, he vapes, gets stoned, and, at the arc of his story tells the audience that there are, like, spinning dervishes from Iran who, he read, said that EVERYTHING is EVERYTHING and if you do mind expanding drugs you become a vegan because you just REALIZE.' The scene fades out as he reads his horoscope.
    Life picks and tugs randomly through sequential variation at these unremarkable dangling subplots until the facade reverts back to inevitable natural selection and the cold, impersonal universe expands as San Diego flatters itself in a mirror signifying nothing.

    Out, out, San Diego. The rest of us can't wait for you to fall into the sea. It doesn't even snow there.

    I think the best weather place for you might be a hotel in Colorado.

    • Haha 2

    Winter 2018 Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    23 minutes ago, OrdIowPitMsp said:

    Total accumulated snowfall this season. Central Minnesota, Central/Western Iowa and most of Indiana seem to be the early season losers. 

     

    Hopefully we can squeeze out an inch tonight and thread the needle with the weekend system up here. CONUS_accumulated_snow.thumb.png.dcbc7d6503b653183f77d0e14e8c4cb1.png

    How often is it that every state in the CONUS, except one, has had at least a trace of snow before December?

    November 2018 General Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    On 11/16/2018 at 2:16 AM, Stebo said:

    At least us midwesterners know how to drive...

    It is insane what happened there today.

    Well if Detroit had 8 million people crammed into it, with an early snow storm occurring in mid-October by climatological comparisons, receiving 6+ inches when they were supposed to get 1 or 2, with the heaviest snow falling during the evening commute that catches /millions/ off guard, then I think there might be similar issues. 

    • Like 1
    • Haha 2

    November 15-16 Storm Potential

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    6 hours ago, Hoosier said:

    The list to watch for St. Louis.  All 3"+ calendar day snows in November.  It has been 38 years since it happened.  As you can see, most of these are the 20th or later and the only year that did it between the 1st and 15th was 1951.

     

    7.6"  11/26/1975

    5.7"  11/27/1980

    5.5"  11/27/1977

    5.2"  11/19/1972

    It’s interesting that from 1972 - 1980, it was almost an every other year occurrence to have 5”+ in November.

    • Like 1

    October 2018 General Discussion

    in Lakes/Ohio Valley

    Posted

    9 hours ago, WxMatt21 said:

    Hey, I'll take this versus an all-out North American blowtorch. We need that cold air to continue pooling up to our north so that when it matters, it can spill east.

    I imagine this would be better for lake effect, especially if the warmer southern half of the spit flow were to warm them into November. 

    Forecast/storm discussions and part II Manitoba Mauler

    in New England

    Posted

    Ah, my hometown! Best of luck to you and take pictures (I know my folks won't be :| ). Southborough typically does well, jackpotted in the '97 blizzard.

    Hey guys, I have a motel booked in Southborough MA....thoughts? Based on latest data I'm trying my best to pick the best spot. I am starting to lean on NE CT, but I can't decide. Any last second opinions before I leave?!

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