Srain

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FAIRBANKS AK
110 PM AKST THU NOV 17 2011

...ANOTHER DAY OF RECORD COLD TEMPERATURES IN THE INTERIOR...

THE FIRST COLD WEATHER OUTBREAK OF THE SEASON HAS SETTLED IN OVER
INTERIOR ALASKA. UNUSUALLY FRIGID TEMPERATURES FOR MID-NOVEMBER HAVE
BEEN OBSERVED ACROSS MUCH OF THE REGION. TEMPERATURES COLDER THAN
40 BELOW ZERO ARE BEING REPORTED IN VALLEYS IN THE CENTRAL AND
NORTHEASTERN INTERIOR. INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES ALSO INDICATE
TEMPERATURES UNDER 50 BELOW ZERO IN SOME OF THE COLDEST VALLEY
LOCATIONS.

SEVERAL RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES WHICH WERE SET MORE THAN 40 YEARS
AGO WERE BROKEN OVERNIGHT IN THE FAIRBANKS AREA. THIS INCLUDES
RADIO STATION KJNP IN NORTH POLE WHICH BOTTOMED OUT AT 49 BELOW
THIS MORNING...BREAKING THE PREVIOUS RECORD OF 46 BELOW SET BACK
IN 1969. OTHER RECORDS FROM 1969 THAT WERE BROKEN THIS MORNING
INCLUDE EIELSON AIR FORCE BASE AT 43 BELOW...THE FAIRBANKS AIRPORT
WITH 41 BELOW AND THE UNIVERSITY EXPERIMENTAL STATION AT 41 BELOW
WHICH BROKE RECORD SET IN 1918. OUTSIDE OF FAIRBANKS... MANLEY HOT
SPRINGS REPORTED A BONE CHILLING TEMPERATURE OF 54 BELOW WHICH
BROKE THE PREVIOUS LOW OF 51 BELOW SET IN 1956.

RECORD OR NEAR RECORD LOW TEMPERATURES ARE POSSIBLE AGAIN FRIDAY
MORNING. THE RECORD LOW FOR NOVEMBER 18TH AT THE FAIRBANKS AIRPORT
IS 33 BELOW...38 BELOW AT EIELSON AIR FORCE BASE...AND 41 BELOW
AT KJNP IN NORTH POLE.

TEMPERATURES FROM 15 TO 35 DEGREES BELOW NORMAL WILL PERSIST OVER
MUCH OF THE INTERIOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. SOME MODERATION IS
EXPECTED ON THE WEEKEND...THOUGH HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL REMAIN
WELL BELOW ZERO. THE COLDER AIRMASS IS EXPECTED TO SETTLE IN OVER
THE INTERIOR AGAIN EARLY NEXT WEEK.

THE AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN FAIRBANKS THIS WEEK IS AROUND 9 ABOVE
WITH AN AVERAGE LOW OF 7 BELOW ZERO.

BELOW IS A SUMMARY OF OFFICIAL LOW TEMPERATURES AS OF NOON
THURSDAY UNLESS OTHERWISE NOTED.

FAIRBANKS AREA:
NORTH POLE (KJNP).......................49 BELOW (NEW RECORD)
NORTH POLE WOODSMOKE SUBDIVISION........47 BELOW 
FORT YUKON #2...........................44 BELOW
EIELSON AIR FORCE BASE..................43 BELOW (NEW RECORD)
CLEAR SKY...............................42 BELOW
FAIRBANKS AIRPORT.......................41 BELOW (NEW RECORD) 
UNIVERSITY EXPERIMENTAL STATION.........41 BELOW (NEW RECORD)
UAF WEST RIDGE..........................40 BELOW (NEW RECORD)
GOLDSTREAM CREEK........................40 BELOW

OUTSIDE OF FAIRBANKS:
MANLEY HOT SPRINGS......................54 BELOW (NEW RECORD)
TELIDA RAWS.............................47 BELOW (UNOFFICIAL)
CHALKYITSIK RAWS........................46 BELOW (UNOFFICIAL)
FORT YUKON AIRPORT......................46 BELOW
NIKOLAI.................................45 BELOW
TANANA AIRPORT..........................42 BELOW
NENANA AIRPORT..........................42 BELOW
COLDFOOT RAWS...........................41 BELOW (UNOFFICIAL)
BETTLES AIRPORT.........................40 BELOW

$$

Out of curiosity, has anyone heard from Doug Heady, aka Joplinmet? He hasn't been on here since April...

I saw reports that he was on duty at the station, providing imformation throughout the event.

Good to see you back and posting like 'old times', JoMo. We wish you and yours the very best.

I'm ok. My family is ok. We just got power and phone service restored. 3 blocks away is completely gone though. I'll post a more detailed account once I check in with everyone.

Great news! We know it's been one heck of a ride and are glad you are OK!

Looking at Piotrowski's video, at times you can hardly tell it's a tornado but a huge mass of boiling black clouds. Move this with a forward speed of 69 mph and you have some idea of what the people in 1925 must have seen. Incidentally, a 20 minute leadtime is excellent for a mesoscale event of only 9 minute's or so duration.

Steve

Strongly agree.

I hate to ask, but any word on JoMo yet?

None at this time.

Whether it's a tornado warning or emergency...people should take cover. I don't see how you can justify not needing to take cover..just because it's not a tornado emergency. That decision logic is flawed...just take cover.....period.

Bingo!

We beat this same issue to death with the April events. Warnings are warnings, period!

I was not following this right as it happened, and can someone verify if Joplin had just a tornado warning, or if a tornado emergency was issued? I went through the Central Forum thread and do not remember seeing any tornado emergency?

The cell was warned and sirens were sounded.

Memories of the (1953) Waco, TX tornado come to mind as well. Thoughts continue for JoMo and all those in the path.

CNN reports debris from St. John's Hospital in Joplin found 70 miles away...

Residents 70 miles away from Joplin in Dade County were finding X-rays from St. John's in their driveways, said Foreman, indicating the size and power of the twister.

http://www.cnn.com/2011/US/05/22/severe.weather/index.html?hpt=T1&iref=BN1

JoMo is one of the core members from the old Western sub forum on Eastern. Our thoughts are with those in Joplin tonight.

I'm amazed at the hostility toward a suggestion of simple building standards.

In CA it is simply an expectation-- and guess what? When our metroplex of 8 million had a direct hit by a quake that produced whopping Level IX shaking right in the city, only 75 people died-- out of 8 million. Strict CA building codes saved thousands of lives.

I'm seriously laughing. Miami/Dade building codes that were put in place after Andrew certainly proved worthy for me and my old home in the Keys (adopted Miami/Dade codes in Monroe County) that was built 1999. I had $42.00 damage from Wilma while neighbors in 'older homes' lived in FEMA trailors for month afterwards.

CNN/FOX spending most of their time on the Royal wedding with only blips about the tornadoes

I will say that TWC did a great job yesterday (I had not watched their programming in my years). The Bryan Norcross/Greg Forbes team were very informative and hopefully this positive trend will continue from that organization.

It’s not very often in the world of weather that we have a chance to witness such extreme meteorological events. It has been amazing to see the parameters and data we saw day after day come to fruition. Hopefully more lives were saved with the advanced warnings of the day. Regardless of the standing, (i.e. Super Outbreak/74) this will rank as one of the more destructive and deadly multi day events of modern US history. My thoughts are with all that have suffered from this event.

DAY 4-8 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK

NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK

0359 AM CDT THU APR 21 2011

VALID 241200Z - 291200Z

...DISCUSSION...

WHILE SOME DETAILS VARY...THE 00Z ECMWF/GEFS/UKMET ARE IN AMPLE

GENERAL AGREEMENT WITH THE EXPECTED AMPLIFICATION OF THE LARGE SCALE

PATTERN LATE THIS WEEKEND/EARLY NEXT WEEK...HIGHLIGHTED BY A

PROMINENT WESTERN/CENTRAL CONUS UPPER TROUGH.

ON DAY 4/SUNDAY...THE SOUTHERN HIGH PLAINS WILL LIKELY BE A FOCUS

FOR AT LEAST SOME SURFACE BASED SEVERE THREAT NEAR/EAST OF A DRYLINE

ACROSS WEST TX AND PERHAPS INTO OK. OTHER ELEVATED STORMS CAPABLE OF

SEVERE HAIL ARE PROBABLE SUNDAY NIGHT FROM OK INTO THE OZARKS/LOWER

MO VALLEY. BUT GIVEN LINGERING UNCERTAINTY REGARDING THE EXTENT OF

PRE-DARK SURFACE BASED DEEP CONVECTION...LARGELY OWING TO

ANTICIPATED MODEST LARGE SCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT/ONLY WEAK HEIGHT

FALLS...TOO MUCH UNCERTAINTY CURRENTLY EXISTS TO DELINEATE A 30

PERCENT EQUIVALENT SEVERE RISK AREA.

FOR DAY 5/MONDAY...HAVE INTRODUCED A SEVERE RISK AREA FOR PORTIONS

OF THE SOUTHERN PLAINS TO THE ARKLATEX/OZARKS. WHILE TIMING/SPATIAL

DETAILS VARY TO A DEGREE...REASONABLE CONFIDENCE EXISTS THAT A

SOUTHERN STREAM SHORTWAVE TROUGH WILL OVERSPREAD A MOIST AIRMASS TO

THE EAST OF THE DRYLINE/COLD FRONT. AS SUCH...SEVERE STORMS SEEM

LIKELY MONDAY/MONDAY NIGHT ACROSS THIS REGION.

INTO DAYS 6/7 TUESDAY/WEDNESDAY...AS THE NEXT PORTION OF THE CENTRAL

CONUS UPPER TROUGH PIVOTS EASTWARD...A RELATIVELY

WIDESPREAD/MULTI-ROUND SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED FROM THE SOUTHERN

PLAINS EAST-NORTHEASTWARD INTO THE MIDWEST AND LOWER/MIDDLE MS RIVER

VALLEY. WHILE SEVERE STORMS SEEM LIKELY EACH OF THESE

DAYS...SPECIFIC PREDICTABILITY IS STILL QUITE LIMITED IN THIS TIME

FRAME.

..GUYER.. 04/21/2011

http://www.spc.ncep..../md/md2040.html

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?/topic/108-texas-obs-and-discussion-thread/