SnowDeac

3 hours ago, yotaman said:

B- for me this winter. 3 snow events. 4" for the 1st, 2" for the 2nd, and a heavy snow shower for our third. Along with record cold for early January. Would have been a A except for this month being so warm. Does look like winter is over for us as far as winter weather is concerned. I still hope for some freezes later this month and into early March.

New Bern's average annual snowfall is under 2 inches, and 6+ gets a B-? Yikes. I've seen snow twice, with a T and 4.5 and would probably go C+ (CLT average right at 4 inches).

2 hours ago, NCSNOW said:

 

This will work Better: Your future GFS I beleive

 

 

Wait, this is the new GFS product coming out soon(ish)? If so, I fully support. I don't think we'll have to worry about suppression city with this one, and the NW trend could be our friend (until it ends up in Ohio).

Charlotte couldn't get a WSW if the storm from The Day After Tomorrow was coming through. 

Shows another big dog ice storm for next Friday, as well. MOAR THREATS!

For those already warm nosed, I think the only shot at any accumulations will be the backside/deform band snow that is being depicted currently by all of the short term models. Hopefully can paint a wide swath of an inch or two.

1 minute ago, strongwxnc said:

http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=GSP-N0C-1-24

Thanks. That line is definitely moving NW. Might be time to punt for the CLT metro.

Anyone have the correlation coefficient radar link? Would likely be very useful for some.

Didn't take me long this winter. South Charlotte may be the worst place in the country to be a snow lover. I can smell the huge flakes up by Lake Norman.

Always funny watching the S VA folks root for the NW trend that crushes the dreams of 97% of this board. Posts like "epic run of the GFS", just twist the knife.

Have seen this song and dance far too many times to get excited for the CLT metro. The NW trend already seems to be real, and almost every storm since 2014 has either trended warmer or had a warm nose within 24 hours of the event.

About to punt and go to bed. CC radar can't make it through CLT. Creeping back NW. Congrats to the same folks that win out every time. At some point, we'll learn to stop hoping/betting against climo. You'd think the people who get paid money to do this would learn as well.

Don't think we're out of the game here yet, but sure is discouraging to see folks 25 miles north already having snow sticking. I think I'm just going to start drinking beers with friends after work and let things fall as they may. Sounds way more fun and less stressful at this point.

Just now, DopplerWx said:

gfs giving us a foot of snow less than 12hrs from onset, if we mix and get screwed i will never forget it.

December of 2000 comes to mind... Well not with the mixing, but with the foot of snow modeled.

5 minutes ago, BlueRidgeFolklore said:

Very unwise, especially considering it's already been snowing in those areas. It's already getting slick and you haven't even decided if you're leaving yet.

Good call. I have a 2WD Explorer. Snow/skiing isn't worth life and limb. Maybe we'll end up on the right side of things in terms of precip types for once, but I'm not counting on it.

Where are you located? Your point/click location is showing in WV.

At this point, only hope for CLT is that the 850 low track is being misinterpreted by the short term models and it stays to our SE, correct? Otherwise WAA is going to bust these forecasts bad.

What are the odds this could happen?

F*** this. First cliff dive/visit to this thread of the season.

Seriously considering a drive up to Sugar or Beech for a chase and some spontaneous skiing. No way I'll be able to convince any friends to join though, so it'd just be a solo chase with the pup. Unsure if that's wise with no 4WD. Family also has a lake house at Gaston which looks to be almost in the jackpot zone still, but that's almost 4 hours from CLT.