SnowDeac

1 hour ago, Bevo said:

Alta is great but don't sleep on Solitude and Brighton. You could spend a week skiing Solitude and not hit the entire mountain.

Interesting. I've not skied Brighton, but skied Solitude last month (was out there for work). Unfortunately, Honeycomb Canyon was closed due to avalanche danger, which seems to make up like half the mountain and a ton of great terrain. We skied the majority of the rest of the mountain in about 5 hours, though we were lapping it pretty good. Eager to get back into Honeycomb when it's open.

Before too long, there's a decent chance Baton Rouge will be much colder and even snowier than Asheville. Just a comical situation unfolding.

On the plus side, snow plumes show a mean of around 70 inches for Snowbird/Alta in Utah over the next 7 days, where I'm headed late next week.

40 minutes ago, ILMRoss said:

This is a really good question. I think this is a representation of a few things: 

GFS/Euro et al represent surface pressures in areas of elevation by taking the parcels at that elevation, and running them through an equation that converts to what the surface pressure would be at sea level. Mexico has a lot of elevation, and ground truth for most stations would likely be sub 950mb readings, which is why this is needed. This process can produce "wonky" isobar patterns (can also see this across the rocky mountains). This can create a "jumpy" representation of low pressures, which is why it looks like lows can shift to weird geographic locations.

Another thing is just the orientation of the trough- with a big trough oriented across the MS valley, shortwaves will dive Southeast-ward across that region, which will also naturally produce southward-ish moving low pressures. 

Lastly, you won't see as many cyclones (low pressures) forming in the gulf as you do the east coast- both the temperature gradient and low level vorticity, items you need to churn out big low pressures, aren't really as strong as they are the east coast, which is why you don't naturally see as many gulf lows form. 

Thanks. Awesome stuff.

Why are all these Lows dropping almost due south through Mexico on the Euro, vs coming into the gulf/continuing east? Seems wonky.

Congrats to the Upstate folks. Y’all really deserved an over-performer.

Now, Charlotte proper and south of town have to be due. Haven't had a satisfying storm since 2014. 

Not sure how/why south Charlotte is now under a WWA. Interesting. Guess they just included the whole county. 

Heavy burst of sleet/rain/wet snow in Charlotte. Back to mostly rain now. Don’t think this side of 85 will ever flip. 

Getting some chunky rain in Charlotte proper. Any chance this changes over even here with the heavier returns?

It's funny how Brad P (who I love) rips people apart (mostly on Twitter) for posting/believing in fantasy snow maps, but he's been hyping this potentially-fantasy "arctic blast" for a few days now". Posted the potential for single digit temps at CLT less than 48 hours ago. We might not be below freezing with these trends!

Wrapping up here as mostly rain, few wet flakes mixed in. Nothing even close to sticking. Not a total bust, since it did indeed briefly snow hard, and we were never going to get more than an inch, but I'll call it a semi-bust. Just once in my life, I'd like to see one of these events trend colder and overperform.

Snowing fairly hard now near uptown but very wet and not gonna accumulate. Still 36. 

Just a drizzle still here. The uptown CLT heat island/snow hole in full effect.

Sleet/rain/small flake mix in Madison Park

Absolutely nuking in Gaston County right now. Hoping that band stays together and makes it to CLT.

Big flakes coming down in Clover, SC - York County. The whole CLT metro is about to change over for a burst before too long. Wind picking up considerably, but doesn't appear much of anything is falling other than a light drizzle.

Just now, Wow said:

will be rain with snow mixed in.. el busto

ULL swinging through eventually, sun setting. I'm thinking rates will fairly quickly overcome for you.

10 minutes ago, sarcean said:

From what I have seen around the Charlotte area so far, my day is ruined and my disappointment is immeasurable. 

This was never our storm (very few are), though it's currently snowing in Cherryville and Bessemer City. Bet the North and West metro flips over in the next half our.

3-9 PM or so was pegged as our main window dating back to yesterday morning.

Precip hole now for the CLT metro. At least we won't get any more rain for a while!

6 minutes ago, BullCityWx said:

That super cold late January snow in 2014? It wasn’t a ton of snow but it had been so cold that things were a mess 

Yep good call. Forgot about that one due to the big dog later in February. By far the best storm of the decade, but still cut down by probably 3+ inches.

Not sure anything frozen left right now falling. Just a hard, cold white rain. 

Fairly heavy rain with sleet in between Uptown and South Park. Just realize I’ve lived here since 2010 and I cannot recall a significant all snow event since I’ve been here.

I'll bet a lot of money that the north CLT (note this is not a mby post as I don't live there!) metro sees considerably more than a trace-1/2 inch. Likely more than the Triangle. Mooresville/Denver/N Huntersville always do very well in these setups. 

This is going to be one where just south of Uptown CLT, we'll be lucky to see any accumulation, but at my in-laws north of Huntersville/Denver, they'll probably get 3-4 inches. Happens 2-3 times a year it seems.

1 hour ago, eyewall said:

Any cams showing snow yet?

They need a better webcam, but here you go.

https://nchighpeaks.org/davis/

32/24 and snowing on top of Mitchell already. It's coming. Wish I had chased. I think someone will get 3 inches +. 

13 minutes ago, magpiemaniac said:

Another gusty day.  Does the NWS keep wind records because the last three months have to be the windiest period on record I’ve ever remembered?  Maybe I’m just paying more attention than before.

Not so fast my friend...

https://twitter.com/wxbrad/status/1256045772166004738?s=20