Blizzardo

Yes same thing for Sayreville. Bloomfield is still an advisory for 2-4 but Im thinking thats going to change. Im heading up there into work soon. May the snow gods bless us all with white gold!

Actually most of the time, those bands remain stationary and pound until they snow themselves out. Rarely do they move much...

Or they end up east of NYC over long island into Connecticut...

Those bands tend to actually favor a little more east in NJ.. just west of NYC

Changing to sleet here

that baby is still juiced! 8-10 all of northern jersey. looks great

34 here in South Amboy on the Raritan bay. It feels like snow!

and I'll take that RGEM map any day of the week!! lol

its not a matter of relying on it, its understanding that someone will get it and there is subsidence on the outsides. its just a matter of not knowing exactly where it will set up shop until its game time and the short range models come into play. there is always happy campers...and heartache in every storm.

a snippet from OKX 4:36pm discussion, " .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... The low will track slowly to Cape Cod through Monday night as it continues to strengthen. Minor differences in the thermal profiles between ECMWF, NAM, and GFS, with GFS a bit warmer than the other two. Despite these minor differences, this continues to be a low confidence precipitation forecast, especially in the metro area and along the coast, with higher confidence inland. As the surface and 850 mb lows pass east of Long Island, colder air will filter in, allowing the wintry mix line to move south Monday morning and afternoon. There will also be uncertainty in precipitation intensity Monday morning and afternoon as models are hinting at a heavy band of precipitation developing somewhere across northeast New Jersey and the Lower Hudson Valley, that might make its way into the New York City metro area, but where exactly this sets up is still largely unknown. This band will also add to the uncertainty in precipitation type as dynamic cooling of the column would occur in the heavier precipitation, changing precipitation back to snow quicker than forecast. With all that in mind, thinking is that a changeover to all snow is expected early Monday evening for the New York City metro area and western and central Long Island. The Twin Forks of Long Island may not changeover completely or at all. As for snowfall amounts, 6 to 12 inches are possible across portions of Northeast New Jersey, the Lower Hudson Valley and inland southeastern Connecticut. A Winter Storm Watch continues for these areas. This is a long duration event, with a snow to wintry mix (or rain) to snow changeover for many places. There may be impacts the Monday morning and evening commutes depending on location and precipitation type transitions. 3 to 6 inches are expected across southern Westchester and portions of Northeast New Jersey and portions of inland southeastern Connecticut. 1 to 4 inches are expected for New York City, metro New Jersey, central and western Long Island, and coastal . Less than an inch is expected for the Twin Forks of Long Island and coastal New London. Liquid equivalent amounts will generally be between 1 and 1 3/4 inches."