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snowman21

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  1. And for our NNE friends:

    ID     STATION                            10%     20%     30%     40%       50%       60%     70%     80%     90%
    -----  -------------------------------  ------  ------  ------  ------    ------    ------  ------  ------  ------
    MVLV1  VT MORRISVILLE 4 SSW             AUG 21  AUG 28  SEP  1  SEP  3    SEP  6    SEP  9  SEP 13  SEP 17  SEP 22
    PTFM1  ME PITTSTON FARM                 AUG 25  AUG 29  SEP  1  SEP  3    SEP  6    SEP  9  SEP 12  SEP 16  SEP 20
    FISM1  ME FT KENT                       AUG 24  AUG 30  SEP  1  SEP  4    SEP  7    SEP 10  SEP 14  SEP 17  SEP 22
    HTNM1  ME HOULTON 5N                    AUG 23  AUG 30  SEP  2  SEP  5    SEP  7    SEP 10  SEP 14  SEP 18  SEP 24
    NORV1  VT NORTHFIELD 3 SSE              AUG 23  AUG 29  SEP  2  SEP  5    SEP  8    SEP 11  SEP 15  SEP 18  SEP 23
    ISLV1  VT ISLAND POND                   AUG 25  AUG 31  SEP  3  SEP  6    SEP  9    SEP 12  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 25
    NEWN3  NH NEWPORT                       AUG 24  AUG 31  SEP  4  SEP  7    SEP 10    SEP 13  SEP 17  SEP 20  SEP 25
    PLFV1  VT PLAINFIELD                    AUG 23  AUG 30  SEP  3  SEP  7    SEP 10    SEP 13  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 25
    PLYN3  NH PLYMOUTH                      AUG 26  AUG 31  SEP  3  SEP  6    SEP 10    SEP 13  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 24
    PQIM1  ME PRESQUE ISLE                  AUG 26  SEP  1  SEP  4  SEP  6    SEP 10    SEP 13  SEP 17  SEP 21  SEP 25
    RANM1  ME RANGELEY                      AUG 25  AUG 31  SEP  3  SEP  6    SEP 10    SEP 12  SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 23
    DANM1  ME DANFORTH                      AUG 28  SEP  2  SEP  5  SEP  8    SEP 11    SEP 14  SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 26
    IZG    ME FRYEBURG E SLOPES AP          AUG 28  SEP  2  SEP  5  SEP  8    SEP 11    SEP 14  SEP 17  SEP 21  SEP 26
    CAR    ME CARIBOU WFO                   AUG 31  SEP  3  SEP  6  SEP  9    SEP 12    SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 26
    CAVV1  VT CAVENDISH                     AUG 29  SEP  2  SEP  6  SEP  9    SEP 12    SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 26
    FARM1  ME FARMINGTON                    AUG 28  SEP  2  SEP  5  SEP  8    SEP 12    SEP 15  SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 26
    PIKN3  NH BENTON 5 SW                   AUG 30  SEP  3  SEP  7  SEP 10    SEP 13    SEP 17  SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 27
    FVE    ME FRENCHVILLE AROOSTOOK AP      AUG 31  SEP  4  SEP  7  SEP 10    SEP 13    SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 27
    SUNV1  VT SUNDERLAND 2                  AUG 31  SEP  4  SEP  7  SEP 10    SEP 13    SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 26
    BRAM1  ME BRASSUA DAM                   AUG 31  SEP  4  SEP  8  SEP 11    SEP 14    SEP 17  SEP 20  SEP 24  SEP 28
    DFXM1  ME DOVER-FOXCROFT WWTP           AUG 30  SEP  4  SEP  7  SEP 11    SEP 14    SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 27
    MIDM1  ME MIDDLE DAM                    AUG 29  SEP  3  SEP  7  SEP 11    SEP 14    SEP 17  SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 27
    PATM1  ME PATTEN 2                      AUG 31  SEP  4  SEP  7  SEP 11    SEP 14    SEP 17  SEP 20  SEP 24  SEP 28
    RUTV1  VT RUTLAND                       AUG 31  SEP  4  SEP  8  SEP 11    SEP 14    SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 26
    TMWN3  NH TAMWORTH 4                    SEP  1  SEP  4  SEP  7  SEP 10    SEP 14    SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 28
    ESHM1  ME EAST HIRAM                    SEP  1  SEP  5  SEP  9  SEP 12    SEP 15    SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 25  SEP 29
    MONN3  NH MONROE 5 NNE                  AUG 31  SEP  4  SEP  8  SEP 11    SEP 15    SEP 18  SEP 20  SEP 24  SEP 28
    MVL    VT MORRISVILLE STOWE STATE AP    SEP  1  SEP  5  SEP  8  SEP 12    SEP 15    SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 28
    SPRM1  ME SPRINGFIELD                   AUG 31  SEP  4  SEP  8  SEP 12    SEP 15    SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 25  SEP 29
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    BRLN3  NH BERLIN                        SEP  1  SEP  5  SEP  9  SEP 12    SEP 16    SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 28
    CORM1  ME CORINNA                       AUG 31  SEP  5  SEP 10  SEP 13    SEP 16    SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 28
    HOLM1  ME HOLLIS                        SEP  1  SEP  5  SEP  9  SEP 13    SEP 16    SEP 19  SEP 21  SEP 25  SEP 28
    GREM1  ME SEBEC LAKE                    AUG 31  SEP  5  SEP  9  SEP 13    SEP 16    SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 30
    BRNM1  ME BARNARD                       SEP  1  SEP  6  SEP 11  SEP 14    SEP 17    SEP 20  SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 29
    CHLV1  VT CHELSEA 2 NW                  SEP  2  SEP  7  SEP 11  SEP 15    SEP 17    SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 25  SEP 28
    CON    NH CONCORD ASOS                  SEP  2  SEP  7  SEP 11  SEP 14    SEP 17    SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26  OCT  1
    ENOV1  VT ENOSBURG FALLS                SEP  1  SEP  6  SEP 10  SEP 14    SEP 17    SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 30
    HRTM1  ME HARTFORD                      AUG 29  SEP  5  SEP 10  SEP 14    SEP 17    SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 30
    MPV    VT MONTPELIER AP                 SEP  2  SEP  7  SEP 11  SEP 14    SEP 17    SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26  OCT  1
    RDSV1  VT READSBORO 1 SE                SEP  2  SEP  7  SEP 11  SEP 15    SEP 17    SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 30
    KEEN3  NH KEENE                         SEP  3  SEP  7  SEP 12  SEP 15    SEP 18    SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 27  OCT  1
    FFLN3  NH FRANKLIN FALLS DAM            SEP  1  SEP  6  SEP 11  SEP 15    SEP 19    SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 29  OCT  3
    NPTV1  VT NEWPORT                       SEP  3  SEP  8  SEP 12  SEP 16    SEP 19    SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 27  OCT  1
           VT WATERBURY 2 SSE               SEP  4  SEP  9  SEP 13  SEP 16    SEP 19    SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1
    WDLM1  ME WOODLAND                      SEP  1  SEP  8  SEP 12  SEP 16    SEP 19    SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 29  OCT  2
    WDSV1  VT WOODSTOCK                     SEP  2  SEP  8  SEP 12  SEP 16    SEP 19    SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 26  SEP 30
    BRIM1  ME BRIDGTON 3 NW                 AUG 29  SEP  6  SEP 12  SEP 16    SEP 20    SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 30  OCT  3
    AFN    NH JAFFREY                       SEP  5  SEP 10  SEP 14  SEP 17    SEP 20    SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  3
    NCON3  NH NORTH CONWAY                  SEP  5  SEP 10  SEP 14  SEP 17    SEP 20    SEP 23  SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1
    DDH    VT BENNINGTON MORSE ST AP        SEP  5  SEP 11  SEP 15  SEP 18    SEP 21    SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 28  OCT  2
    ROCV1  VT ROCHESTER                     SEP  3  SEP  9  SEP 14  SEP 17    SEP 21    SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  2
    SLSN3  NH SALISBURY                     SEP  6  SEP 11  SEP 15  SEP 18    SEP 21    SEP 24  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  2
    WBTM1  ME WEST BUXTON 2 NNW             SEP  6  SEP 12  SEP 15  SEP 18    SEP 21    SEP 24  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  2
    GLDN3  NH GREENLAND                     SEP  6  SEP 12  SEP 16  SEP 19    SEP 22    SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    MLT    ME MILLINOCKET FAA AP            SEP  8  SEP 13  SEP 17  SEP 20    SEP 22    SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    RIPM1  ME RIPOGENUS DAM                 SEP  4  SEP 11  SEP 15  SEP 19    SEP 22    SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    SBYV1  VT SALISBURY 2 N                 SEP  6  SEP 11  SEP 15  SEP 19    SEP 22    SEP 24  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  4
    VSF    VT SPRINGFIELD HARTNESS AP       SEP  8  SEP 14  SEP 17  SEP 20    SEP 22    SEP 25  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  3
    CWLV1  VT CORNWALL                      SEP  7  SEP 13  SEP 17  SEP 20    SEP 23    SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    DURN3  NH DURHAM                        SEP  6  SEP 12  SEP 16  SEP 20    SEP 23    SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    EDNV1  VT EDEN 2 S                      SEP  9  SEP 14  SEP 18  SEP 21    SEP 23    SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  5
    MADM1  ME MADISON                       SEP  5  SEP 12  SEP 17  SEP 20    SEP 23    SEP 26  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  5
    MLTM1  ME MILLINOCKET                   SEP  7  SEP 13  SEP 17  SEP 20    SEP 23    SEP 26  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    POWV1  VT POWNAL 1 NE                   SEP  9  SEP 14  SEP 18  SEP 21    SEP 23    SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  5
    DURM1  ME DURHAM                        SEP 11  SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 22    SEP 24    SEP 26  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    HUDN3  NH HUDSON 1 SSE                  SEP 10  SEP 14  SEP 18  SEP 21    SEP 24    SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  4
    1V4    VT SAINT JOHNSBURY               SEP  8  SEP 15  SEP 19  SEP 21    SEP 24    SEP 26  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    BGR    ME BANGOR AP                     SEP 11  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 22    SEP 25    SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  5
    BELM1  ME BELFAST                       SEP 11  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 23    SEP 25    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  7
    DAW    NH ROCHESTER SKYHAVEN AP         SEP 10  SEP 15  SEP 19  SEP 22    SEP 25    SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  5
    RUMM1  ME RUMFORD 1 SSE                 SEP 11  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 23    SEP 25    SEP 28  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  5
    SARV1  VT ST ALBANS RADIO               SEP  9  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 22    SEP 25    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  7
    WEAN3  NH WEARE                         SEP 10  SEP 15  SEP 19  SEP 22    SEP 25    SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  6
    EXJV1  VT ESSEX JUNCTION 1 N            SEP 11  SEP 17  SEP 21  SEP 24    SEP 26    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  7
    LEB    NH LEBANON MUNI AP               SEP 13  SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 23    SEP 26    SEP 28  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  5
    SANM1  ME SANFORD 2 NNW                 SEP 11  SEP 17  SEP 20  SEP 23    SEP 26    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  2  OCT  5
    IWI    ME WISCASSET AP                  SEP 14  SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 24    SEP 26    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  6
    JONM1  ME JONESBORO                     SEP 15  SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 25    SEP 27    SEP 30  OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  8
    MILN3  NH MILFORD                       SEP 12  SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 24    SEP 27    SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  6
    WVLM1  ME WATERVILLE TRTMT PLT          SEP 12  SEP 18  SEP 22  SEP 24    SEP 27    SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  7
    GNR    ME GREENVILLE MAINE FORESTRY SV  SEP 13  SEP 18  SEP 22  SEP 25    SEP 28    OCT  1  OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  8
    HANN3  NH HANOVER                       SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26    SEP 28    SEP 30  OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  7
    NASN3  NH NASHUA 2 NNW                  SEP 13  SEP 19  SEP 22  SEP 25    SEP 28    SEP 30  OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  8
    ROBM1  ME ROBBINSTON                    SEP 15  SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26    SEP 28    OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  5  OCT  9
    WLYM1  ME WESLEY                        SEP 15  SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26    SEP 28    SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  8
    GARM1  ME GARDINER                      SEP 17  SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 27    SEP 29    OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  5  OCT  9
    VRNV1  VT VERNON                        SEP 17  SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 27    SEP 29    OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  6  OCT 11
    BTV    VT BURLINGTON WSO AP             SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 28    SEP 30    OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  6  OCT  9
    GRAM1  ME GRAND LAKE STREAM             SEP 17  SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 27    SEP 30    OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  5  OCT  9
    MNCN3  NH MASSABESIC LAKE               SEP 18  SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 28    SEP 30    OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  7  OCT 11
    MTSN3  NH MT SUNAPEE                    SEP 16  SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 27    SEP 30    OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  6  OCT 10
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    BLFV1  VT BELLOWS FALLS                 SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 28    OCT  1    OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  6  OCT 10
    ELLM1  ME ELLSWORTH                     SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 27  SEP 29    OCT  1    OCT  3  OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 11
    ORNM1  ME ORONO                         SEP 18  SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 28    OCT  1    OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT 11
    PWM    ME PORTLAND JETPORT              SEP 20  SEP 24  SEP 27  SEP 29    OCT  1    OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  7  OCT 11
    HLBN3  NH DEERING                       SEP 20  SEP 24  SEP 27  SEP 30    OCT  2    OCT  4  OCT  6  OCT 10  OCT 15
    LEWM1  ME LEWISTON                      SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1    OCT  2    OCT  4  OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 12
    AUG    ME AUGUSTA FAA AP                SEP 24  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 10  OCT 14
    NEWM1  ME NEWCASTLE                     SEP 23  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT 10  OCT 14
    WRKM1  ME WEST ROCKPORT 1 NNW           SEP 21  SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT 11  OCT 15
    GYX    ME GRAY                          SEP 23  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 16
    MHT    NH MANCHESTER AP                 SEP 24  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 11  OCT 15
    SHRV1  VT SOUTH HERO                    SEP 24  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 12  OCT 16
    LKPN3  NH LAKEPORT 2                    SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  3    OCT  5    OCT  8  OCT 10  OCT 13  OCT 17
    BHRM1  ME ACADIA NP                     SEP 24  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  3    OCT  6    OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 15  OCT 19
    EPO    ME EASTPORT                      SEP 25  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  5    OCT  7    OCT  9  OCT 13  OCT 16  OCT 21
    PCLM1  ME PORT CLYDE                    OCT  2  OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 11    OCT 14    OCT 16  OCT 19  OCT 22  OCT 26

     

  2. With all this talk about frost, guess it's a good time for our first frost date probability tables. Here are the 1981-2010 climate normals for SNE.

     

    ID     STATION                            10%     20%     30%     40%       50%       60%     70%     80%     90%
    -----  -------------------------------  ------  ------  ------  ------    ------    ------  ------  ------  ------
    BARM3  MA BARRE FALLS DAM               AUG 27  SEP  2  SEP  5  SEP  9    SEP 12    SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 27
    BIRM3  MA BIRCH HILL DAM                AUG 28  SEP  2  SEP  5  SEP  9    SEP 12    SEP 16  SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 26
    HUNM3  MA KNIGHTVILLE DAM               SEP  2  SEP  7  SEP 11  SEP 15    SEP 17    SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26  OCT  1
    WORM3  MA WORTHINGTON                   SEP  2  SEP  8  SEP 12  SEP 15    SEP 18    SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 26  SEP 30
    LNBM3  MA LANESBORO                     SEP  2  SEP  8  SEP 13  SEP 17    SEP 20    SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  3
    LXDM3  MA LENOX DALE                    SEP  6  SEP 11  SEP 15  SEP 17    SEP 20    SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1
    WGMC3  CT WIGWAM RSVR                   SEP  3  SEP 10  SEP 14  SEP 18    SEP 20    SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  3
    ORE    MA ORANGE MUNI AP                SEP  5  SEP 12  SEP 17  SEP 20    SEP 22    SEP 25  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  3
    BAKC3  CT BAKERSVILLE                   SEP  9  SEP 14  SEP 17  SEP 20    SEP 23    SEP 25  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  3
    FVLC3  CT FALLS VILLAGE                 SEP  7  SEP 13  SEP 17  SEP 20    SEP 23    SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  5
    PSF    MA PITTSFIELD WB AP              SEP 10  SEP 14  SEP 18  SEP 21    SEP 23    SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    AHRM3  MA AMHERST                       SEP  6  SEP 13  SEP 18  SEP 21    SEP 24    SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  6
    MHLC3  CT MANSFIELD HOLLOW LAKE         SEP  9  SEP 14  SEP 17  SEP 21    SEP 24    SEP 26  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4
    GBRM3  MA GREAT BARRINGTON 5 SW         SEP 10  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 23    SEP 25    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  7
    GVLM3  MA GROVELAND                     SEP 10  SEP 15  SEP 19  SEP 22    SEP 25    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  5
    AQW    MA NORTH ADAMS                   SEP 11  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 23    SEP 25    SEP 28  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  6
    TLLM3  MA TULLY LAKE                    SEP 10  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 22    SEP 25    SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  6
    WMDM3  MA WEST MEDWAY                   SEP  8  SEP 14  SEP 19  SEP 22    SEP 25    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  6
    BLAM3  MA BORDEN BROOK RSVR             SEP  9  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 23    SEP 26    SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  7
    NWPC3  CT SHEPAUG DAM                   SEP 12  SEP 18  SEP 21  SEP 24    SEP 26    SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  7
    WTPC3  CT WEST THOMPSON LAKE            SEP  9  SEP 15  SEP 20  SEP 23    SEP 26    SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  7
    NRNM3  MA NORTON WEST                   SEP  9  SEP 16  SEP 20  SEP 24    SEP 27    SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  8
    OXFM3  MA BUFFUMVILLE LAKE              SEP 15  SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 25    SEP 28    OCT  1  OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  8
    KGNR1  RI KINGSTON                      SEP 10  SEP 16  SEP 21  SEP 25    SEP 28    SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  8
    BAF    MA WESTFIELD 2 NE AP             SEP 15  SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 25    SEP 28    SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  8
    CMMM3  MA CUMMINGTON HILL               SEP 16  SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 27    SEP 29    OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  6  OCT 11
    HAVM3  MA HAVERHILL                     SEP 15  SEP 20  SEP 24  SEP 27    SEP 29    OCT  1  OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  8
    MNDM3  MA MAYNARD 2                     SEP 14  SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 26    SEP 29    OCT  1  OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  9
    NFKC3  CT NORFOLK 2 SW                  SEP 15  SEP 20  SEP 23  SEP 26    SEP 29    OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  6  OCT 10
    TAN    MA TAUNTON MUNI AP               SEP 15  SEP 21  SEP 24  SEP 27    SEP 29    OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  6  OCT 11
    BEDM3  MA BEDFORD                       SEP 18  SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 28    SEP 30    OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  7  OCT 11
    BEVM3  MA BEVERLY                       SEP 18  SEP 22  SEP 26  SEP 28    SEP 30    OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  6  OCT 10
    BROM3  MA BROCKTON                      SEP 15  SEP 21  SEP 25  SEP 28    SEP 30    OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  6  OCT 11
    MVY    MA VINEYARD HAVEN AP             SEP 14  SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 26    SEP 30    OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  7  OCT 13
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    BLLC3  CT BULLS BRG DAM                 SEP 19  SEP 24  SEP 27  SEP 29    OCT  1    OCT  3  OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 12
    DXR    CT DANBURY MUNI AP               SEP 20  SEP 24  SEP 27  SEP 30    OCT  1    OCT  3  OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 14
    FIT    MA FITCHBURG MUNI AP             SEP 19  SEP 23  SEP 26  SEP 29    OCT  1    OCT  3  OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 12
    LLLM3  MA LOWELL                        SEP 16  SEP 22  SEP 26  SEP 28    OCT  1    OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  7  OCT 11
    SBRM3  MA SOUTHBRIDGE 3 SW              SEP 21  SEP 25  SEP 27  SEP 30    OCT  1    OCT  3  OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 13
    WALM3  MA WALPOLE 2                     SEP 19  SEP 24  SEP 27  SEP 30    OCT  1    OCT  3  OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 12
    EBRM3  MA EAST BRIMFIELD LAKE           SEP 21  SEP 25  SEP 28  OCT  1    OCT  2    OCT  4  OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 13
    IJD    CT WILLIMANTIC WINDHAM AP        SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 28  SEP 30    OCT  2    OCT  4  OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 13
    BED    MA BEDFORD HANSCOM FLD           SEP 22  SEP 25  SEP 29  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT 10  OCT 15
    BVY    MA BEVERLY MUNI AP               SEP 23  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT  9  OCT 14
    BRLC3  CT BURLINGTON                    SEP 22  SEP 26  SEP 30  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT 10  OCT 15
    EWB    MA NEW BEDFORD MUNI AP           SEP 20  SEP 25  SEP 29  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT 10  OCT 14
    PYM    MA PLYMOUTH MUNI AP              SEP 22  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT 10  OCT 14
    REAM3  MA READING                       SEP 22  SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  7  OCT 10  OCT 15
    TAUM3  MA TAUNTON                       SEP 20  SEP 25  SEP 29  OCT  1    OCT  3    OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 16
    DANC3  CT DANBURY                       SEP 24  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 13  OCT 17
    BDL    CT HARTFORD                      SEP 24  SEP 28  SEP 30  OCT  1    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 16
    LWM    MA LAWRENCE MUNI AP              SEP 23  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 12  OCT 16
    MMK    CT MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNI AP       SEP 24  SEP 28  SEP 30  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 15
    MIDM3  MA MIDDLETON                     SEP 22  SEP 27  SEP 30  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 11  OCT 16
    FTFR1  RI NORTH FOSTER 1 E              SEP 24  SEP 28  SEP 30  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 12  OCT 16
    NRWC3  CT NORWICH PUB UTIL PLT          SEP 23  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  2    OCT  4    OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 12  OCT 17
    HINM3  MA HINGHAM                       SEP 24  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3    OCT  5    OCT  7  OCT 10  OCT 13  OCT 17
    MTCC3  CT MT CARMEL                     SEP 26  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  3    OCT  5    OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 14  OCT 20
    PEAM3  MA PEABODY                       SEP 24  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3    OCT  5    OCT  7  OCT 10  OCT 13  OCT 17
    PLYM3  MA PLYMOUTH-KINGSTON             SEP 24  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  3    OCT  5    OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 14  OCT 19
    EFRM3  MA ROCHESTER                     SEP 23  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  3    OCT  5    OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 15  OCT 20
           MA JAMAICA PLAIN                 SEP 25  SEP 30  OCT  1  OCT  4    OCT  6    OCT  8  OCT 10  OCT 13  OCT 17
    STFC3  CT STAMFORD 5 N                  SEP 26  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  4    OCT  6    OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 14  OCT 19
    STRC3  CT STORRS                        SEP 24  SEP 29  OCT  1  OCT  4    OCT  6    OCT  9  OCT 13  OCT 16  OCT 21
    ORH    MA WORCESTER                     SEP 26  SEP 30  OCT  2  OCT  5    OCT  7    OCT  9  OCT 12  OCT 15  OCT 20
    EWAM3  MA EAST WAREHAM                  SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  6    OCT  8    OCT 11  OCT 13  OCT 17  OCT 21
    MLTC3  CT MIDDLETOWN 4 W                SEP 27  OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  5    OCT  8    OCT 11  OCT 14  OCT 18  OCT 24
    LWMM3  MA LAWRENCE                      SEP 28  OCT  1  OCT  4  OCT  7    OCT  9    OCT 12  OCT 15  OCT 18  OCT 23
    WST    RI WESTERLY STATE AP             SEP 29  OCT  2  OCT  4  OCT  6    OCT  9    OCT 11  OCT 14  OCT 17  OCT 22
    MQE    MA BLUE HILL                     SEP 29  OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  8    OCT 11    OCT 13  OCT 16  OCT 19  OCT 24
    HYA    MA HYANNIS BARNSTABLE MUNI AP    SEP 29  OCT  3  OCT  6  OCT  9    OCT 11    OCT 14  OCT 16  OCT 20  OCT 25
    NZW    MA SOUTH WEYMOUTH NAS            OCT  1  OCT  3  OCT  7  OCT  9    OCT 12    OCT 15  OCT 18  OCT 21  OCT 26
    GON    CT GROTON NEW LONDON AP          OCT  2  OCT  6  OCT  8  OCT 11    OCT 13    OCT 16  OCT 19  OCT 22  OCT 27
    MARM3  MA MARBLEHEAD                    OCT  1  OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 11    OCT 13    OCT 16  OCT 19  OCT 22  OCT 27
    PVD    RI PROVIDENCE                    OCT  2  OCT  5  OCT  8  OCT 11    OCT 13    OCT 16  OCT 19  OCT 22  OCT 28
    HYSM3  MA HYANNIS                       OCT  2  OCT  6  OCT  9  OCT 12    OCT 15    OCT 17  OCT 20  OCT 24  OCT 29
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    EDGM3  MA EDGARTOWN                     OCT  3  OCT  8  OCT 11  OCT 14    OCT 17    OCT 20  OCT 23  OCT 26  NOV  1
    GTNC3  CT GROTON                        OCT  5  OCT  9  OCT 12  OCT 15    OCT 17    OCT 20  OCT 23  OCT 28  NOV  2
    NWBM3  MA NEW BEDFORD                   OCT  4  OCT  8  OCT 12  OCT 15    OCT 18    OCT 21  OCT 25  OCT 29  NOV  2
    UUU    RI NEWPORT STATE AP              OCT  5  OCT  9  OCT 13  OCT 16    OCT 19    OCT 22  OCT 25  OCT 28  NOV  2
    BDR    CT BRIDGEPORT SIKORSKY AP        OCT  8  OCT 12  OCT 15  OCT 18    OCT 21    OCT 24  OCT 28  NOV  1  NOV  5
    CQX    MA CHATHAM MUNI AP               OCT  8  OCT 12  OCT 15  OCT 18    OCT 21    OCT 23  OCT 26  OCT 29  NOV  2
    TIVR1  RI TIVERTON                      OCT  8  OCT 12  OCT 16  OCT 19    OCT 22    OCT 25  OCT 28  NOV  1  NOV  5
    ACK    MA NANTUCKET FAA AP              OCT 10  OCT 15  OCT 19  OCT 22    OCT 25    OCT 28  OCT 31  NOV  3  NOV  7
    BOS    MA BOSTON                        OCT 13  OCT 18  OCT 21  OCT 24    OCT 27    OCT 29  NOV  1  NOV  3  NOV  7
    BID    RI BLOCK ISLAND STATE AP         OCT 12  OCT 18  OCT 22  OCT 25    OCT 28    OCT 31  NOV  3  NOV  6  NOV 12
    NPTR1  RI NEWPORT ROSE                  OCT 12  OCT 17  OCT 21  OCT 25    OCT 28    OCT 31  NOV  2  NOV  5  NOV  9
    CHH    MA CHATHAM                       OCT 18  OCT 23  OCT 27  OCT 29    NOV  1    NOV  3  NOV  5  NOV  9  NOV 14

     

  3. 54 minutes ago, Sugarloaf1989 said:

    I said scattered foliage, reading comprehension fail? Eating at Shake Shack. Long walk from parking, but it feels good to walk. No falls yet today.

    I think it's stressed trees. The shoreline is going to be mostly green for about the next two months unless the pattern changes dramatically in the next few weeks.

  4. 14 minutes ago, rimetree said:

    I've seen a stat where we've had 35 AN months vs. 1 BN month since 2010 or something like that. Pretty telling.

    I don't think it's quite that extreme anywhere in the northeast, but it seems that AN months outnumber the BN ones by a ~3:1 ratio.

  5. 1 hour ago, J Paul Gordon said:

    Sure, but what is the formula for that? Do we just add a couple of degrees C/F? Do we multiply by certain factor? Is there an agreed upon norm?

    If we are doing science, we need the numbers. If we are doing ideology/religion we can simply invoke the creed "I believe in Climate Change".

    Of course the climate is changing (it does us well to remember that 15,000 insignificantly short years ago a kilometer of ice covered the place I live in) and currently it is warming. Human beings very likely have an affect on this. Precisely what effect and how long the warming will continue is open for debate. There are other factors at play, too, including solar activity, etc. that may mitigate or enhance GW/CC.

    It worries me when GW is thrown into predictions without further qualification. It would help if there was a standard value being added to predictions and those predictions were checked against what actually happens.

    Maybe instead of calling it global warming just think of it more generically as bias. If someone bet you that a month was going to be above or below normal, which way would you lean without looking at anything?

  6. 9 minutes ago, Typhoon Tip said:

    I doubt we'll add to departures after tomorrow... In fact, tomorrow's low might get boot-legged by a midnight an 11:55 pm low... 

    Tomorrow's fropa has that double look about it ...where there's a line of TCU if not a shower/boomer here and there. Front goes by and the wind backs NNW/N for the rest of the afternoon. The wind flips onshore like it was just waiting the whole time for any excuse to do so around three or four in the afternoon...  That'll be a kind of secondary knocking the feet out from under this thing for coastal regions.

    Fri morning in Boston may be rather under the radar whip-lashy actually.. T1 temps are 17 C... That could graying mid or upper 60s ... and the NAM grids try to peg it there all day - after being close to a 100?  mmm, that's a pretty fantastic 24 about face. I can smell the ocean over in Cambridge -

    I believe you have until 1 AM to bootleg your lows because of daylight savings time.

  7. 5 minutes ago, CoastalWx said:

    Speaking of snow, KBOS has a big issue with no snow observer right now. The only thing that seems doable is to train the observers and pay them for it, but that seems to be easier said than done from what I hear. Not good.

     

     

    Don’t they have a weather observer in the tower? I really don’t see the big deal about having that guy go down and stick a ruler in the snow once an hour on the dozen or so days a year that BOS has measurable snow.

  8. I think the observing network being much denser today thanks to the internet helps bump up the reported frequency of big storms because an 18 inch jack would never go unreported now. 20+ years ago you had no reliable way to know that Tolland got 19 inches while BDL and ORH reported just 5 or 6. Anecdotally I've noted that it feels like we can't radiate as well on clear nights anymore (other than that one guy in Bakersville), though I haven't done the proper research on it, but my back of the envelope math shows BDL tacking on about half a day per year to its growing season in the fall right now, and only experiences about half the number of cool fall mornings compared to 20-25 years ago. I know some will blame the fact that its an airport and we shouldn't measure in a place that's so wide open and exposed to the atmosphere (sarcasm), but it's always been an airport. Has the area around the airport really changed that much to impact nighttime temperatures this dramatically in such a short period of time? Have they added more 'macs near the thermometer? More commercial development around the airport itself? Even middle of nowhere co-ops with reliable and long periods of record exhibit similar behavior with generally higher mins and less duration of snow cover.

  9. 3 hours ago, Great Snow 1717 said:

    Going to be a torch fall and winter too...….

    Fall is usually a torch going by the last couple of decades, so that's not really going out on a limb. According to my calculations, if you look at the five SNE first order sites, of the last 20 falls, 9 of them were torches (three month departures 1.5+), 14 of them above average (at least +0.3), and 3 below average. I think this may be a factor in hurting SNE fall foliage.

  10. 48 minutes ago, JustinRP37 said:

    I am not disagreeing on that at all. Winter has always had the most variance when you look at North America, and more so the northeast. You get winds off the ocean at any point and you can jump to 50+, on the flip side you can get colder than cold with a dry cold wind from the north. And higher humidity of the summer months does tend to stabilize temperatures. Dry air is easier to cool and heat. All I was pointing out is in our state of the climate it is much easier to string together above normal months and weeks versus stringing together below average months and weeks. 

    Alaska and the high plains have the highest variance in temperatures especially Montana and the Dakotas. The top 57 sites with the highest monthly standard deviation in mean temp are all in AK, MT, ND, SD, or MN. New England states are generally middle of the road.

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