Reb

3 minutes ago, Vol4Life said:

Do we need the 850 to track a little further south to keep this from happening?

If it ticks south a little more and cuts just to the SE of the apps, ETN will be in for a jackpot

3 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

I think you're going to do much better than me with this one Reb. 

I suspect I will have boundary layer problems until the precip is just starting to move out, but the ~50 miles between me and Blount county will make a ton of difference. The low starts to deepen as the precip is moving out for me, but I think foothills areas will get really good rates for a while. 

The 14z HRRR actually shows areas closer to the mts turning before me in SE Morgan county. 

I recently moved to Seymour so I’m a little close to the mountains than I was 

What a beautiful and impressive system to watch unfold 

3 minutes ago, Holston_River_Rambler said:

12z RGEM shows major mixing issues for those of us in the central and southern valley just along the edge of the plateau:

Right on cue

Live cam in Memphis for anyone interested in seeing what unfolds

https://www.graceland.com/graceland-cam

Not so great for our WTN folks but pumping up totals and filling some holes in the eastern portion

NAM coming in better. Low is slower and sw, building a bit better than previous run.

3 minutes ago, TellicoWx said:

Tonight's power snowball numbers (for my town) 8, 8, 7, 6, 8, 9 (inches per each models 0z run)...I will like to cashout with 50% of those please lol

I recently moved to Seymour…I think I see a double digit paint job on recent runs . Not getting that but Ill take whatever flakes Mother Nature provides 

RAP keeps getting better….epically better.

Just now, TellicoWx said:

This image from the 0z RGEM speaks volumes...back that center up 50 miles and those type of returns, would be crazy. (0z RGEM looks good regardless)

With the trends that have been taking place I would almost expect that to be the case

2022’s keyword - - - “amped”

looking like a really fun night ahead tomorrow!

Yup fixing to get NAM’d

GFS looking beefy

That dude and his dog would be walking the yellow brick road if winds were 150+. Props to Jokko guy though for being there 

1 minute ago, STxVortex said:

Looking at AF 302 and 303's last reported positions I guess that I'll go outside in about 30 minutes and look for them overhead on approach to Kelly. And listen too, maybe 302 lost an engine...

Chatter on Twitter is that NOAA P3 Orion will take off from FL shortly to intercept

4 minutes ago, STxVortex said:

Could you clarify that? AF303 is progressing back to KSKF. But AF302 was outbound and getting close to Ida, but the data stopped about 25 minutes ago, 0655utc [on Levi's feed]. So has AF302 been aborted?

6 minutes ago, jcwxguy said:

AF303 is finished. Now we wait for AF302

This plane has turned around and headed back to dry land 

Just now, Shocker0 said:

Truckers are looking for anywhere to park off exit 311 on I40. Just took this. Bout to look at the interstate

https://snipboard.io/MW1ODh.jpg

We are running all of our guys from KY to Knox and back up tonight via 75, let me know if you have more info

Sleet in SE Knox

6 minutes ago, Stovepipe said:

I'm not one to judge.  You go on with ya bad self!

Nothing here yet but...

15 minutes ago, PowellVolz said:

Interesting that snow and frozen precipitation being reported per mping north of Atlanta




.

CAD?

1 minute ago, Carvers Gap said:

Not sure why, but the TT site just flat hammers a larger area.  Has 8" for Chattanooga.

3km not as generous, but definitely a strong signal. It’s more useful short term anyways.

Radar really blossomed within the last half hour 

0z NAM cut way down on totals, trending towards HRRR

HRRR is still depicting a liquid valley throughout most of the event