Calderon

Going to be interesting with interaction and a merger probable between the two TOR warned cells southwest of STL. I'm much more concerned for areas roughly from Edwardsville, to Valley Park, to Pacific, and points east of there, including downtown and the Metro East (Scott AFB). 

Here we go with the grouping southwest of STL getting SVR and TOR warnings.

Idiots like that are going to learn the hard way one day with a sudden deviation in motion or something spearing the car being centrifuged out of the funnel. 

2 minutes ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

Updated warning text advises spotter confirmed tornado near eureka. 

Naturally. 

Lots of destructive interference and RFD surges are keeping that huge hailer in check for tornadoes at the moment.

1 minute ago, SchaumburgStormer said:

CC drop over washington

It's not colocated with the velocity couplet. 

Memphis taking over for Little Rock NWS.

1 minute ago, KoalaBeer said:

Man hopefully it avoids Smithville, don’t need to relive that horror. Terrible situation unfolding, maybe it just barely went north of Amory? Looking at google maps it looks less developed on the north side of town.

Unfortunately, Smithville's misfortunes look to be had again any moment. 

Likely hit the paper mill and a boat factory on the northwest side by the river. 

There's a very solid chance it fully cycled before it redeveloped quickly near/over Black Hawk given both couplet degradation and CC drop disappearing for at least 2 scans. The former you could see a handoff with the couplet almost seeming to occlude into the larger developing circulation. 

Kind of surprised the Cheyenne tornado was rated only EF2 given some of the contextual damage in the path. 

Hondo, TX just gusted to 55kts with frontal passage, no convection. It is about to blast down here in SATX.

76mph at Love Field and 63mph at Executive/Red Bird Airport.

NAS JRB Fort Worth lost power and no observation came out to catch the squall. 

Also, sirens going off in most of Dallas County for all municipalities. 

Update: City of Dallas keeps continuously reactivating with about 30 second pauses between them. 

77mph at Fort Worth Meacham Airport (FTW). Ironically, it is the METAR.

1 minute ago, radarman said:

"destructive" SVR coming for W of Ft Worth.  Winds to 80

And barreling right down the I-20/TX-183 corridor during the evening rush. Good lord...

4 minutes ago, cheese007 said:

Metroplex dodging a bullet given what's going on in east TX

That cell in Palo Pinto County is riding that OFB right into the northern core of the Metroplex. Don't count your beans this early.

Also monitoring a potential sleeper hail threat near SAT and AUS areas towards the midnight timeframe. 

3 hours ago, Ed, snow and hurricane fan said:

I'm not sure I understand EWX's justifications for reluctantly including Travis County in the WS Watch, that the higher elevations in the W. part of the county might be cold enough for freezing rain.  The new AUS airport at Bergstrom gets colder than the old Mueller site does, because cold air drains to the lower elevations.

The ASOS moved a few years ago at a lower part of the AUS property and the office in New Braunfels has mentioned that with all the record lows seen lately at Bergstrom versus Mabry. 

Part of it is also the county is a singular zone versus say some in Florida put as "inland" versus "coastal." 

The fact models usually struggle with these shallow cold air masses and they're trending with icing now up to the edge of the Escarpment in Bexar County is getting concerning. Austin and nearby could be in some big trouble. 

1 hour ago, WxSynopsisDavid said:

Definitely a very bad situation for Selma. I wouldn’t use “catastrophic” to describe that damage though. Appears to be EF2/EF3 as there’s a lack of completely destroyed and slabbed buildings. A lot of interior/exterior walls still standing. For that reason I highly doubt it gets higher than a weak EF3 when survey teams assess the damage. Very fortunate this thing didn’t hit in April with a more amplified jet and rich gulf moisture. 

Problem is in Selma is that you can see a lot of subpar, older, and/or poor construction and a good majority of homes will probably be totaled. 

That drastic a jump makes me just want to say “toss it” with this run. Something seems way off.


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The fact we could potentially have verifiable blizzard conditions in the STL area, especially Metro East, is freaking wild.


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Bassfield gets hit again for the 2nd time in under 3 years. Yeesh, what terrible luck.

The supercell near Wisner, LA is going to be a problem for the Jackson area in time. It's got a lot of space outside of the thunderstorm over Waterproof, LA.