friedmators

30C EW spike is pretty intense.


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No ERC imminent per flight level winds.


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How long does it take SSTs to recover after a hurricane pass?


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The band headed into Sarasota and points West had some hurricane force winds off the deck.


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The eye is warming fast.


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1 minute ago, wkd said:

I've been using COD radar for a long time but I still can't understand how you get to this radar graphic.  What Nexrad should I click on?

subregional..choose off FL then click nexrad

VHTs going up everywhere.

ITS PUKING SNOW at the 78/287 intersection.

About 8" 78/287 intersection

4" 78/287 intersection

about 3" 78/287 intersection

Just now, mikem81 said:

How did it compare to 12Z. More interested in trend at this point....

identical in NJ

HRRR trying to start the party early tomorrow.


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Great front end thump for everyone but with the storm so close to the coast on models now, these dry slots almost always penetrate deeper inland than modelled. 8-12 is a very realistic call. 

Mean


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I'd also like to see other than a 10:1 snow map. From 30 miles north of NYC I'm thinking ratios will be more like 12 to 14:1.

You can see at 60-66 the Euro picks up on the fact there will be an insane mega band near or just north of NYC

I expect Blizzard Warnings between 195 and 80 for sure.


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RGEM is tucked. dry slot n rain after 5-10

RGEM and 3K are worlds apart with timing.

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GEM with the CNJ death band...nice little 20-30"